- July 18, 2025
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MLB Prediction: Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners (Friday, July 18 at 10:10 PM ET)
Introduction
It’s time for an exciting MLB showdown as the Houston Astros gear up to take on the Seattle Mariners. This highly anticipated matchup is sure to bring plenty of fireworks, with both teams bringing immense talent and tenacity to the field. The two American League West contenders come face-to-face in this game, each seeking to climb the division standings and make their mark this season. It’s bound to be a hard-fought meeting full of suspense and strategy.
Game Time
First pitch will be thrown at Friday, July 18 at 10:10 PM ET at T-Mobile Park, favoring pitchers with cool air and big dimensions.
Moneyline Odds
Houston Astros: +119
Seattle Mariners: -132
Over/Under Line: 7.5
Latest Team Records
Houston Astros have a record of 56-40 with a win percentage of 0.583, while the Seattle Mariners hold a record of 51-45 with a win percentage of 0.531.
Injury Report
Key injuries for the Houston Astros include:
- Chas McCormick (Oblique) – Status: 10-Day-IL. McCormick (oblique) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Sugar Land on Friday, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
- Luis Guillorme (Hamstring) – Status: 10-Day-IL. The Astros selected Guillorme’s contract from Triple-A Sugar Land on Saturday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
- Pedro Leon (Knee) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Leon was pulled off his rehab assignment at Triple-A Sugar Land on Wednesday after aggravating his left knee sprain, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
- Ronel Blanco (Elbow) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Blanco’s (elbow) Tommy John procedure included an internal brace and a repair of the flexor tendon in his forearm, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reported Friday.
Key injuries for the Seattle Mariners include:
- Collin Snider (Forearm) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Snider (forearm) began a minor-league rehab assignment with Triple-A Tacoma on Saturday, giving up two hits and no walks in one scoreless inning. He struck out one.
- Gregory Santos (Knee) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Mariners general manager Justin Hollander said Monday that Santos (knee) threw three “light bullpens” last week, Circling Seattle Sports reports.
- Bryce Miller (Elbow) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Miller (elbow) resumed a light throwing program last week in Arizona, Adam Jude of The Seattle Times reports.
Key Player Stats
Houston Astros
- Jeremy Pena: 0.322 AVG, 11 HR, 40 RBI
- Jose Altuve: 0.277 AVG, 17 HR, 52 RBI
- Isaac Paredes: 0.257 AVG, 19 HR, 49 RBI
Seattle Mariners
- Cal Raleigh: 0.259 AVG, 38 HR, 82 RBI
- Randy Arozarena: 0.251 AVG, 17 HR, 48 RBI
- Julio Rodriguez: 0.252 AVG, 14 HR, 50 RBI
Team Analysis
Houston Astros
The Astros are coming in with a steady rhythm and formidable batting lineup. Their strength lies in their consistent offensive potential showcased by players like Jose Altuve and Isaac Paredes who have been key contributors. However, the recent loss of momentum with a last 5 games record of L-W-L-L-L indicates that the Astros need a rebound.
Though Jeremy Pena has been delivering an impressive performance, the Astro’s batting average and run production have been seeing some dips recently. The team is striving to regain their consistency and it’s critical for them to capitalize on scoring opportunities in the coming games. Nevertheless, the Astros’ resilience and potential make them a tough competitor.
- Batting Average: 0.258
- Total Runs Scored: 418
- Home Runs: 110
- OPS: 0.734
- ERA: 3.61
- WHIP: 1.16
Home Record: 33-19 • Road Record: 23-21 • Last 5 Games: L-W-L-L-L (3.4 runs per game)
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners are displaying an encouraging wave of momentum, most notably in their capacity to hit long balls with players like Randy Arozarena and Julio Rodriguez leading the charge. With a W-W-W-L-L record in the last 5 games, the Mariners are maintaining a steady scoring consistency and are poised to turn things around.
Moreover, the Mariners’ standout hitter Cal Raleigh seems to be in excellent form, and his high RBI contribution has significantly boosted the Mariners’ offensive strategy. As a whole, the team’s strong roster and recent performances suggest that they’re ready to challenge the Astros and possibly come out on top.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 451
- Home Runs: 136
- OPS: 0.743
- ERA: 3.89
- WHIP: 1.26
Home Record: 25-21 • Road Record: 26-24 • Last 5 Games: W-W-W-L-L (9.2 runs per game)
Head-to-Head History
Seattle Mariners 2–3 Houston Astros (Last 5 games)
- 2025-05-25: SEA 3 @ HOU 5
- 2025-05-24: SEA 1 @ HOU 2
- 2025-05-24: SEA 5 @ HOU 3
- 2025-05-23: SEA 2 @ HOU 9
- 2025-04-09: HOU 6 @ SEA 7
Over/Under Trends
Houston Astros‘s recent games have seen an average of 5.7 total runs scored per game over their last 7 matchups, with 2 games going over the total line.
Seattle Mariners‘s recent games have averaged 6.7 total runs per game over their last 7 matchups, with 1 games going over the total of 7.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Considering their recent performances and the momentum they’ve been carrying, it appears that the Mariners are the stronger squad heading into this matchup. They’ve outperformed in scoring and their key players are delivering top-notch performances at the right moment. Given these factors, it seems the Mariners are the smart bet for this showdown.
With trends leaning in their favor, the Seattle Mariners at -132 look poised to prevail.
Over/Under Betting Prediction
Our pick is Under 7.5. These two teams have combined for just 6.2 total runs per game over their recent stretches, with only three overs between them in their last 14 matchups. Both clubs are trending under the posted total, and with disciplined pitching staffs and inconsistent offensive output, this matchup sets up well for a low-scoring affair. Look for runs to come at a premium.
Pick: Under
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