- July 22, 2025
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MLB Prediction: Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Tuesday, July 22 at 06:40 PM ET)
Introduction
The Detroit Tigers will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates in an American League and National League showdown. Both teams are preparing for this anticipated clash, no doubt aiming to showcase their strengths and improve their respective league standings.
Game Time
First pitch will be thrown at Tuesday, July 22 at 06:40 PM ET at scenic PNC Park, neutral but slightly pitcher-friendly.
Moneyline Odds
Detroit Tigers: -141
Pittsburgh Pirates: +115
Over/Under Line: 8.0
Latest Team Records
Detroit Tigers have a record of 60-40 with a win percentage of 0.6, while the Pittsburgh Pirates hold a record of 39-61 with a win percentage of 0.39.
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Detroit Tigers
- Riley Greene: 0.28 AVG, 25 HR, 79 RBI
- Spencer Torkelson: 0.233 AVG, 21 HR, 59 RBI
- Gleyber Torres: 0.282 AVG, 9 HR, 45 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Bryan Reynolds: 0.229 AVG, 10 HR, 46 RBI
- Andrew McCutchen: 0.255 AVG, 8 HR, 31 RBI
- Oneil Cruz: 0.214 AVG, 16 HR, 39 RBI
Team Analysis
Detroit Tigers
The Detroit Tigers, despite coming into this contest on the back of a difficult 1-4 run in their last five games, have shown glimpses of why they sit relatively comfortably in the upper echelons of their league. Tiger hitters such as Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, and Gleyber Torres have demonstrated their offensive potential throughout the season, even during this rough patch. They have the ability to turn games with individual brilliance and can be relied upon for key RBIs and Home Runs.
Although the Tigers would be looking to bounce back and regain their winning momentum, it won’t be an easy task, especially considering the competitive nature of the Pirates lately. However, given the Tigers’ higher win percentage and their players’ ability to pull out vital scores at pivotal times, they certainly have a chance.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 485
- Home Runs: 125
- OPS: 0.741
- ERA: 3.66
- WHIP: 1.21
Away Record: 28-23 • Home Record: 32-18
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (1.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (2.9 RPG)
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pittsburgh Pirates, while currently sitting lower in their league, have shown in recent games an ability to rise to the occasion. They currently have two consecutive wins, giving them a boost they can capitalize on. Bryan Reynolds, Andrew McCutchen, and Oneil Cruz are the standout performers for Pirates who will look to maintain their standing in the face of a formidable Tigers side. These key players will hope to spur their team on with vital contributions at the plate.
The Pirates have the advantage of the momentum from the recent victories, as well as home ground advantage. Despite a generally lower win ratio than the Tigers, the Pirates have had an even record against their opponents in the past four match-ups, which could boost their confidence coming into this game.
- Batting Average: 0.229
- Total Runs Scored: 333
- Home Runs: 66
- OPS: 0.638
- ERA: 3.89
- WHIP: 1.22
Away Record: 13-37 • Home Record: 27-24
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (2.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 2-8 (2.6 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Pittsburgh Pirates 2–2 Detroit Tigers (Last 4 games)
- 2025-07-21: DET 0 @ PIT 3
- 2025-06-19: PIT 8 @ DET 4
- 2025-06-19: PIT 2 @ DET 9
- 2025-06-17: PIT 3 @ DET 7
Over/Under Trends
Detroit Tigers‘s recent games have seen an average of 9.5 total runs scored per game over their last 6 matchups, with 4 games going over the total line.
Pittsburgh Pirates‘s recent games have averaged 7.1 total runs per game over their last 7 matchups, with 2 games going over the total of 8.0.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Despite their lower league standing, the Pittsburgh Pirates have shown their mettle in recent games and have potential to upset the odds against the Tigers. Their recent victories underscore the value inherent in their Moneyline pick. With their ever-reliable key players and a confident sheen from recent wins, the Pirates could be prowling for another win in this matchup.
All signs point to a win for the Pittsburgh Pirates at +115.
Over/Under Prediction
Averaging 2.4 runs per game lately, the Pittsburgh Pirates are trending upward offensively, while the Detroit Tigers are putting up 1.4. That could influence how this matchup shapes up against the total.
These teams are combining for 3.8 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.0, a key benchmark in MLB betting markets. Our pick is Under 8.0.
Bookmakers
You’ll find these markets at: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetRivers, BetUS, BetMGM, Fanatics.
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