Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Monday, July 21 at 06:40 PM ET)

Introduction

Pull up a chair, because this American League and National League showdown is going to be a spectacle. We have the Detroit Tigers going up against the Pittsburgh Pirates, two teams with a rich history and eye-catching form. A matchup like this truly encapsulates the thrilling unpredictability of Major League Baseball.

Game Time

The action begins at Monday, July 21 at 06:40 PM ET at scenic PNC Park, neutral but slightly pitcher-friendly.

Moneyline Odds

Detroit Tigers: +108
Pittsburgh Pirates: -118
Over/Under Line: 7.0

Latest Team Records

Detroit Tigers have a record of 59-40 with a win percentage of 0.596, while the Pittsburgh Pirates hold a record of 39-60 with a win percentage of 0.394.

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Detroit Tigers

  • Riley Greene: 0.281 AVG, 25 HR, 79 RBI
  • Spencer Torkelson: 0.235 AVG, 21 HR, 59 RBI
  • Gleyber Torres: 0.275 AVG, 9 HR, 45 RBI

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Bryan Reynolds: 0.231 AVG, 10 HR, 46 RBI
  • Andrew McCutchen: 0.255 AVG, 8 HR, 31 RBI
  • Oneil Cruz: 0.216 AVG, 16 HR, 38 RBI

Team Analysis

Detroit Tigers

Shouldering a steady rhythm, the Detroit Tigers have been generating some commendable plays lately. The combined strength of key players like Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, and Gleyber Torres is driving dynamic offense, making them a tough adversary. However, their recent run of form sees them needing a rebound with a string of unfortunate losses in their last five encounters.

Despite the recent downcast results, the Tigers have been able to maintain a respectable away record. Though their performance fluctuates, the raw untapped potential they carry is riveting and if they can successfully tap into consistent plays, the Pirates will have a hard fight on their hands.

  • Batting Average: 0.25
  • Total Runs Scored: 483
  • Home Runs: 125
  • OPS: 0.743
  • ERA: 3.68
  • WHIP: 1.22

Away Record: 28-22 • Home Record: 32-18
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (2.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.6 RPG)


Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been generating some engaging plays recently, but they too sadly find themselves struggling to maintain a winning momentum. But the impact and efforts of key players like Bryan Reynolds, Andrew McCutchen, and Oneil Cruz must not be overlooked as they continue to lay the foundation for the team’s offense.

Their recent form shows they are in desperate need of a rebound with a discouraging string of losses. With their home advantage in this match, they will surely aim to utilize it for a bounce back and bring their performance back on track.

  • Batting Average: 0.23
  • Total Runs Scored: 331
  • Home Runs: 66
  • OPS: 0.64
  • ERA: 3.86
  • WHIP: 1.22

Away Record: 13-37 • Home Record: 26-24
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (2.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 1-9 (2.3 RPG)


Head-to-Head History

Pittsburgh Pirates 1–2 Detroit Tigers (Last 3 games)

  • 2025-06-19: PIT 8 @ DET 4
  • 2025-06-19: PIT 2 @ DET 9
  • 2025-06-17: PIT 3 @ DET 7

Over/Under Trends

Detroit Tigers‘s recent games have seen an average of 9.5 total runs scored per game over their last 6 matchups, with 4 games going over the total line.

Pittsburgh Pirates‘s recent games have averaged 7.1 total runs per game over their last 7 matchups, with 2 games going over the total of 7.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Heading into this game, the smart bet falls onto the Pittsburgh Pirates. Although the odds are evenly placed, the Pirates hold the edge due to their home advantage. Their need to rebound may just drive them to push their limits against the Tigers, and could likely swing the advantage in their favor.

Momentum and trends favor the Pittsburgh Pirates at -118 to prevail.

Over/Under Prediction

Averaging 2.6 runs per game lately, the Pittsburgh Pirates are trending upward offensively, while the Detroit Tigers are putting up 2.8. That could influence how this matchup shapes up against the total.

These teams are combining for 5.4 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 7.0, a key benchmark in MLB betting markets. Our pick is Under 7.0.

Bookmakers

Odds courtesy of: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Bovada, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, FanDuel, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics, BetUS.

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