Introduction

As the Colorado Rockies hit the road to face the St. Louis Cardinals, this expert pick seeks to dissect the matchup intricacies and recent performance data to give an informed baseball betting edge. The Rockies have been struggling, particularly on the road, while the Cardinals have shown consistent scoring punch in their home games. However, head-to-head history reveals a different story, with the Rockies leading 2-1 in the last three games. This intriguing backdrop sets the stage for an exciting matchup.

Game Time

The game is set for Monday, August 11 at 07:45 PM ET inside Busch Stadium, where scoring trends lean towards the under.

Odds & Spread Line

Colorado Rockies: +160
St. Louis Cardinals: -196
Over/Under Line: 9.0
Spread Line:
Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (-125)
St. Louis Cardinals: -1.5 (+104)

Latest Team Records

Colorado Rockies: 30-86 (Win %: 0.259)
St. Louis Cardinals: 59-59 (Win %: 0.5)

Injury Report

Colorado Rockies are missing Angel Chivilli (Personal), listed as Out.

The St. Louis Cardinals are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Colorado Rockies

• Hunter Goodman: 0.278 AVG, 22 HR, 64 RBI
• Mickey Moniak: 0.267 AVG, 17 HR, 45 RBI
• Jordan Beck: 0.276 AVG, 14 HR, 42 RBI

St. Louis Cardinals

• Willson Contreras: 0.26 AVG, 16 HR, 65 RBI
• Alec Burleson: 0.282 AVG, 14 HR, 51 RBI
• Ivan Herrera: 0.3 AVG, 10 HR, 42 RBI

Team Analysis

Colorado Rockies

The Colorado Rockies have been struggling on the road. The lack of offensive consistency has been a major obstacle for the Rockies, with their key players, Hunter Goodman, Mickey Moniak, and Jordan Beck, failing to deliver standout moments consistently. Their recent form of 0-5 in the last five games indicates a desperate need to turn things around.

The Rockies’ poor road performance has been compounded by a weak batting average and a high ERA. This, coupled with their low win percentage, paints a bleak picture for the Rockies’ chances in this matchup. However, their recent head-to-head history against the Cardinals, where they lead 2-1, provides a glimmer of hope.

• Batting Average: 0.236
• Total Runs Scored: 430
• Home Runs: 119
• OPS: 0.688
• ERA: 6.02
• WHIP: 1.62

Away Record: 14-45 • Home Record: 16-42
Last 5 Games: 0-5 (3.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 2-8 (4.8 RPG)

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St. Louis Cardinals

The St. Louis Cardinals, on the other hand, have been improving steadily, especially in their home games. Key players such as Willson Contreras, Alec Burleson, and Ivan Herrera have found their rhythm, contributing significantly to the team’s scoring consistency. Their recent form of 3-2 in the last five games shows a team trending upwards, and this could spell trouble for the Rockies.

While their overall win percentage is balanced, the Cardinals have a strong home record, which could give them the edge in this game. Although their recent head-to-head history against the Rockies is in the latter’s favor, the Cardinals’ current form and home advantage make them a formidable opponent in this matchup.

• Batting Average: 0.25
• Total Runs Scored: 515
• Home Runs: 112
• OPS: 0.708
• ERA: 4.22
• WHIP: 1.29

Away Record: 26-34 • Home Record: 33-25
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.2 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Colorado Rockies lead 2–1 (Last 3 games)

• July 23, 2025: STL 0 @ COL 6
• July 22, 2025: STL 4 @ COL 8
• July 21, 2025: STL 6 @ COL 2

Over/Under Trends

Colorado Rockies’ last 10 games have averaged 15.3 total runs per game, with 8 of those going over the posted total of 9.0.

St. Louis Cardinals’ last 10 games have seen an average of 8.1 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same line of 9.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Given the St. Louis Cardinals’ strong home form and upward trending offensive potential, they are the smart pick for this game. While the Colorado Rockies have a favorable head-to-head history, their poor road performance and lack of offensive consistency make them the underdogs in this matchup.

We’re siding with the St. Louis Cardinals to finish on top.

Over/Under Prediction

Averaging 4.0 runs per game lately, the St. Louis Cardinals are ramping up offensively, while the Colorado Rockies are putting up 3.4. That could influence how this matchup shapes up against the total.

These teams are combining for 7.4 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 9.0, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Under 9.0.

Bookmakers

Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics.

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