Introduction

As the MLB season continues its march towards the playoffs, the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates face off in a game that holds significant implications for both teams. The Reds, pushing for a playoff spot, will be looking to capitalize on their superior win percentage, while the Pirates will be eager to turn the tide with a home stand victory. This National League showdown is set to be a thrilling encounter.

Game Time

The action begins at Thursday, August 7 at 06:40 PM ET in PNC Park, a controlled environment with limited power output.

Odds & Spread Line

Cincinnati Reds: +148
Pittsburgh Pirates: -189
Over/Under Line: 7.5
Spread Line:
Cincinnati Reds: +1.5 (-150)
Pittsburgh Pirates: -1.5 (+125)

Latest Team Records

Cincinnati Reds: 60-55 (Win %: 0.522)
Pittsburgh Pirates: 49-66 (Win %: 0.426)

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Cincinnati Reds

• Elly De La Cruz: 0.279 AVG, 19 HR, 73 RBI
• Austin Hays: 0.265 AVG, 10 HR, 43 RBI
• TJ Friedl: 0.273 AVG, 10 HR, 37 RBI

Pittsburgh Pirates

• Bryan Reynolds: 0.236 AVG, 10 HR, 53 RBI
• Andrew McCutchen: 0.249 AVG, 11 HR, 39 RBI
• Oneil Cruz: 0.208 AVG, 18 HR, 48 RBI

Team Analysis

Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds are navigating this season with a respectable win percentage and a balanced team performance. On the road, they have been somewhat inconsistent, but with standouts like Elly De La Cruz and Austin Hays in their lineup, they possess the capability to turn any game in their favor. TJ Friedl has also been a valuable contributor, adding to the Reds’ offensive depth.

The Reds’ recent form has been steady, if not spectacular, with a 3-2 record in their last five games. The team will be looking to improve their run production on the road, which has been slightly below their overall average. However, with their key players showing good form, they could be poised for a positive result in this matchup.

• Batting Average: 0.247
• Total Runs Scored: 520
• Home Runs: 117
• OPS: 0.712
• ERA: 3.85
• WHIP: 1.23

Away Record: 27-29 • Home Record: 33-26
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (2.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (3.8 RPG)

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Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been struggling this season, but they’ve shown flashes of potential at home. Players like Bryan Reynolds and Andrew McCutchen have contributed consistent performances, while Oneil Cruz has shown the ability to change games with his power hitting. Their challenge will be to find consistency in their performances, especially against a solid Reds team.

The Pirates’ recent form at home has been more positive, with a 2-3 record in their last five games. Despite their overall struggles this season, they have been scoring at a higher rate at PNC Park, and will be looking to exploit their home-field advantage in this matchup. If they can turn their recent scoring form into wins, they could pose a challenge for the Reds.

• Batting Average: 0.232
• Total Runs Scored: 405
• Home Runs: 81
• OPS: 0.65
• ERA: 3.88
• WHIP: 1.22

Away Record: 17-39 • Home Record: 32-27
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.5 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Cincinnati Reds lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)

• May 21, 2025: CIN 1 @ PIT 3
• May 20, 2025: CIN 0 @ PIT 1
• May 19, 2025: CIN 7 @ PIT 1
• April 13, 2025: PIT 0 @ CIN 4
• April 12, 2025: PIT 2 @ CIN 5

Over/Under Trends

Cincinnati Reds’ last 10 games have averaged 7.8 total runs per game, with 2 of those going over the posted total of 7.5.

Pittsburgh Pirates’ last 10 games have seen an average of 10.8 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same line of 7.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Considering the recent form and home advantage, the Pittsburgh Pirates look set to capitalize on their scoring potential. With key standouts like Bryan Reynolds and Andrew McCutchen in good form, and an improved scoring average at home, the Pirates present a formidable challenge for the Reds. The Pirates have shown that on their day, they can compete with the best, and this game provides them with an opportunity to do just that.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are well-positioned to handle business.

Over/Under Prediction

In their last five games, the Pittsburgh Pirates have posted 4.4 runs per game, while the Cincinnati Reds have averaged 2.8. This recent output is key to judging the total.

These teams are combining for 7.2 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 7.5, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Under 7.5.

Bookmakers

Current odds sourced from: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, MyBookie.ag, Bovada, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetUS, Fanatics, BetRivers.

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