Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Saturday, August 9 at 06:40 PM ET)

Introduction

In an intense National League showdown, the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates will square off in a game that promises to deliver in terms of strategic plays and intense action. The Reds look to find their rhythm on the road, while the Pirates aim to utilize their home-field advantage to secure another victory in this series.

Game Time

The first pitch is scheduled for Saturday, August 9 at 06:40 PM ET at scenic PNC Park, a neutral park with a slight under lean.

Starts in 16h 53m

Odds & Spread Line

Cincinnati Reds: -120
Pittsburgh Pirates: -101
Over/Under Line: 8.5
Spread Line:
Cincinnati Reds: -1.5 (+146)
Pittsburgh Pirates: +1.5 (-176)

Latest Team Records

Cincinnati Reds: 60-56 (Win %: 0.517)
Pittsburgh Pirates: 50-66 (Win %: 0.431)

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Cincinnati Reds

  • Elly De La Cruz: 0.279 AVG, 19 HR, 73 RBI
  • TJ Friedl: 0.278 AVG, 10 HR, 37 RBI
  • Austin Hays: 0.26 AVG, 10 HR, 44 RBI

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Bryan Reynolds: 0.239 AVG, 11 HR, 54 RBI
  • Andrew McCutchen: 0.249 AVG, 11 HR, 39 RBI
  • Oneil Cruz: 0.208 AVG, 18 HR, 49 RBI

Team Analysis

Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds are striving to improve their road performance, having shown tenacity in their recent games. Players like Elly De La Cruz and TJ Friedl have been instrumental in maintaining the team’s offensive potential, but the Reds need to display more consistency, especially on the road. Their RPG in the last 5 games has dipped significantly, which they need to address heading into this game.

The Reds have had their moments of brilliance, particularly in games where Austin Hays stepped up, but they need more players to rise to the occasion. The team’s current form isn’t overly impressive, but they’ve shown resilience in the face of adversity. With their key players fit and ready, the Reds will be looking to turn the tides in this game and steal a game away from home.

  • Batting Average: 0.246
  • Total Runs Scored: 521
  • Home Runs: 117
  • OPS: 0.707
  • ERA: 3.89
  • WHIP: 1.24

Away Record: 27-31 • Home Record: 33-26
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (2.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.6 RPG)


Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates are exhibiting strong form at home, leveraging the comfort and familiarity of their home turf to their advantage. Players like Bryan Reynolds and Andrew McCutchen have been consistent in their performance, contributing significantly to the team’s offensive production. The Pirates, however, need to ramp up their scoring consistency to maintain their winning momentum at home.

Oneil Cruz has been a standout player for the Pirates, delivering key performances when required.Their current form signals a team that’s gradually getting into its groove, and they’ll be looking to continue their upward trajectory in this game.

  • Batting Average: 0.233
  • Total Runs Scored: 414
  • Home Runs: 83
  • OPS: 0.651
  • ERA: 3.85
  • WHIP: 1.21

Away Record: 17-39 • Home Record: 34-27
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (3.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.3 RPG)


Head-to-Head History

Pittsburgh Pirates lead 4–1 (Last 5 games)

  • August 08, 2025: CIN 2 @ PIT 3
  • August 07, 2025: CIN 0 @ PIT 7
  • May 21, 2025: CIN 1 @ PIT 3
  • May 20, 2025: CIN 0 @ PIT 1
  • May 19, 2025: CIN 7 @ PIT 1

Over/Under Trends

Cincinnati Reds’ last 10 games have averaged 8.0 total runs per game, with 2 of those going over the posted total of 8.5.

Pittsburgh Pirates’ last 10 games have seen an average of 10.3 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same line of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

With the Reds looking for redemption on the road and their key players showing promising form, it’s hard not to favor them in this game. The Pirates have turned corners recently, but the Reds’ potential for a strong offensive display coupled with their resilience gives them a great chance. It won’t be a walk in the park, but the Cincinnati Reds have the tools to come out on top.

We’re siding with the Cincinnati Reds to take one away from home.

Over/Under Prediction

Averaging 3.6 runs per game lately, the Pittsburgh Pirates are ramping up offensively, while the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 2.2. That could influence how this matchup shapes up against the total.

These teams are combining for 5.8 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.5, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Under 8.5.

Bookmakers

You’ll find these markets at: FanDuel, Fanatics, MyBookie.ag, BetMGM, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings.

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