Introduction

Prepare for an exciting showdown in this American League and National League matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs. Both teams enter the contest with distinct playing styles and ambitions, creating a high-impact baseball affair with plenty on the betting table. This MLB prediction analyzes both teams’ recent performances and key player influence to bring to light the best betting opportunities.

Game Time

Mark your calendars for Monday, August 04 at 08:05 PM ET. The Cincinnati Reds’ resilience will be tested on the road against the Chicago Cubs’ home fortitude at Wrigley Field.

Moneyline Odds

Cincinnati Reds: +115
Chicago Cubs: -141
Over/Under Line: 8.0

Latest Team Records

Cincinnati Reds: 58-53 (Win %: 0.523)
Chicago Cubs: 64-46 (Win %: 0.582)

Injury Report

Neither team has significant injury issues at the moment, setting up an interesting game where both teams are at full strength.

Key Player Stats

Cincinnati Reds

• Elly De La Cruz: 0.283 AVG, 19 HR, 72 RBI
• Austin Hays: 0.274 AVG, 10 HR, 42 RBI
• Miguel Andujar: 0.298 AVG, 6 HR, 27 RBI

Chicago Cubs

• Pete Crow-Armstrong: 0.27 AVG, 27 HR, 78 RBI
• Seiya Suzuki: 0.246 AVG, 26 HR, 81 RBI
• Michael Busch: 0.269 AVG, 21 HR, 61 RBI

Team Analysis

Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds arrive into this game after a mixed performance of late. In their last 5 outings, the Reds haven’t exactly fired on all cylinders, securing only two wins. Their hitters, including Elly De La Cruz, and Austin Hays haven’t been able to consistently create scoring opportunities. However, on brighter note, their road form shows flashes of brilliance, which is a positive steer for bettors.

• Batting Average: 0.247
• Total Runs Scored: 510
• Home Runs: 115
• OPS: 0.714
• ERA: 3.89
• WHIP: 1.24

Away Record: 25-28 • Home Record: 33-25
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.7 RPG)

---

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs, on the other hand, exhibit a slightly better form. Winning three of their past five games indicates a level of confidence and positive team rhythm. With hitters like Pete Crow-Armstrong and Seiya Suzuki on their roster, they pose a significant threat to the Reds’ defense, especially considering their convincing performance at home.

• Batting Average: 0.254
• Total Runs Scored: 574
• Home Runs: 158
• OPS: 0.765
• ERA: 3.93
• WHIP: 1.23

Away Record: 30-26 • Home Record: 34-20
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.6 RPG)

---

Head-to-Head History

Chicago Cubs lead 4–2 (Last 6 games)

• June 01, 2025: CIN 3 @ CHC 7
• May 31, 2025: CIN 0 @ CHC 2
• May 30, 2025: CIN 6 @ CHC 2
• May 25, 2025: CHC 11 @ CIN 8
• May 24, 2025: CHC 4 @ CIN 6
• May 23, 2025: CHC 13 @ CIN 6

Cincinnati Reds’ last 10 games have averaged 8.2 total runs per game, with 3 of those going over the posted total of 8.0.

Chicago Cubs’ last 10 games have seen an average of 9.8 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same line of 8.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Considering all the key parameters, the Chicago Cubs appear to be the better bettors’ choice for this matchup. They have displayed a higher level of consistency and effectiveness, particularly at home. Furthermore, their roster brimming with power hitters such as Pete Crow-Armstrong and Seiya Suzuki provides them the offensive edge over Cincinnati Reds. In recent encounters, the Cubs have managed to get the better of the Reds, which indicates a favorable trajectory in this matchup.

Hence, we’re confident in backing the Chicago Cubs for a win in this matchup.

Over/Under Prediction

When we analyze the offensive output of these two teams, we see that the Cubs are generating an average of 4.4 runs per game, while the Reds are slightly ahead with 5.0. Such high-scoring consistency among both teams provides a strong indication towards the total.

Collectively, these teams have been accounting for 9.4 runs per game recently, a number which notably surpasses the over/under line of 8.0. As a result of the prevailing scoring trends, our judgment leans towards Over 8.0.

Bookmakers

Secure competitive odds for this game with reliable bookmakers like FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Bovada, Caesars, DraftKings, BetUS, BetRivers, BetMGM, and Fanatics.

Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.