Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays (Monday, July 21 at 07:35 PM ET)

Introduction

It’s a thrilling American League showdown as two MLB rivals — the Chicago White Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays — are set to clash on the diamond. With the midpoint of the season behind us, both teams look to bring their A-game, in hopes of strengthening their respective league standings.

Game Time

Matchup set for Monday, July 21 at 07:35 PM ET inside the dome at Tropicana Field, a tough place to score runs.

Moneyline Odds

Chicago White Sox: +180
Tampa Bay Rays: -227
Over/Under Line: 9.0

Latest Team Records

Chicago White Sox have a record of 34-65 with a win percentage of 0.343, while the Tampa Bay Rays hold a record of 52-47 with a win percentage of 0.525.

Injury Report

Key injuries for the Chicago White Sox include:

  • Davis Martin (Forearm) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Martin (forearm) is expected to be activated within the next week, MLB.com reports.

The Tampa Bay Rays are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Chicago White Sox

  • Lenyn Sosa: 0.274 AVG, 9 HR, 34 RBI
  • Miguel Vargas: 0.219 AVG, 10 HR, 35 RBI
  • Luis Robert Jr.: 0.201 AVG, 10 HR, 38 RBI

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Junior Caminero: 0.257 AVG, 25 HR, 64 RBI
  • Jonathan Aranda: 0.316 AVG, 11 HR, 50 RBI
  • Yandy Diaz: 0.291 AVG, 15 HR, 57 RBI

Team Analysis

Chicago White Sox

Coming into this game, the Chicago White Sox look to build upon their recent form, which has seen an uptick with three wins in their last five outings. Their improving rhythm and scoring consistency, reflected in their average of 6.8 runs per game, indicate they are in a good position to turn the tide. Players such as Lenyn Sosa and Luis Robert Jr. have been shouldering the offensive load and their continued performances will be crucial.

However, the White Sox must address their inconsistency with maintaining momentum, especially with a challenging road game against the Rays. This game will provide a litmus test to assess the potency of their offense and pitching against higher-tier opponents. Their road record significantly lags behind their home performances, necessitating an improved showing from the Sox during this road swing.

  • Batting Average: 0.222
  • Total Runs Scored: 352
  • Home Runs: 78
  • OPS: 0.646
  • ERA: 4.1
  • WHIP: 1.38

Away Record: 14-36 • Home Record: 21-29
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (6.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.8 RPG)


Tampa Bay Rays

The Tampa Bay Rays, sitting on a lukewarm 2-3 record from their last 5 games, are seemingly striving for consistency. The offensive trio of Junior Caminero, Jonathan Aranda, and Yandy Diaz has been instrumental in propelling their scoring — a critical factor they’ll rely on in the forthcoming games. However, the Rays’ scoring potential, currently sitting at 3.8 runs per game, seems subdued.

Notwithstanding the bumpy ride on the road, the Rays demonstrate a robust home record. As the Rays welcome the White Sox on their home turf, they will be looking to capitalize on their home ground advantage. Maintaining scoring consistency while tightening their defense will be key.

  • Batting Average: 0.258
  • Total Runs Scored: 464
  • Home Runs: 109
  • OPS: 0.728
  • ERA: 3.74
  • WHIP: 1.2

Away Record: 22-22 • Home Record: 30-26
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (3.6 RPG)


Head-to-Head History

No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.

Over/Under Trends

Chicago White Sox‘s recent games have seen an average of 7.0 total runs scored per game over their last 6 matchups, with 1 games going over the total line.

Tampa Bay Rays‘s recent games have averaged 6.3 total runs per game over their last 6 matchups, with 1 games going over the total of 9.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Despite the statistical underdog tag, the Chicago White Sox present an interesting bet. Their recent surge, coupled with sweeping performances from pivotal players, indicates an underdog that’s baring its fangs. The return of offensive stalwart Davis Martin could provide that extra spark the Sox need to come out on top.

The Chicago White Sox at +180 look like a strong bet to handle business.

Over/Under Prediction

The Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 3.8 runs per game across their last five, and the Chicago White Sox are at 6.8. Recent form suggests where this total might land.

Scoring has been on the higher side lately, with recent matchups averaging 10.6 total runs. With the line set at 9.0, a key number in MLB betting, this one leans toward the Over 9.0.

Bookmakers

Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Bovada, Caesars, BetUS, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics.

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