Introduction

Two National League rivals are ready to reignite their intense rivalry in this MLB matchup analysis. The Chicago Cubs are hitting the road to square off with the St. Louis Cardinals. Both teams are showing different forms, with the Cubs struggling on the road, while the Cardinals have found their rhythm at home. Still, recent head-to-head history suggests a closely contested showdown is on the horizon.

Game Time

Matchup set for Sunday, August 10 at 07:10 PM ET at Busch Stadium, a low-scoring venue with deep dimensions.

Odds & Spread Line

Chicago Cubs: -127
St. Louis Cardinals: +107
Over/Under Line: 8.0
Spread Line:
Chicago Cubs: -1.5 (+146)
St. Louis Cardinals: +1.5 (-178)

Latest Team Records

Chicago Cubs: 66-49 (Win %: 0.574)
St. Louis Cardinals: 59-58 (Win %: 0.504)

Injury Report

Chicago Cubs are missing Eli Morgan (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL; Justin Steele (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL.

The St. Louis Cardinals are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Chicago Cubs

• Pete Crow-Armstrong: 0.261 AVG, 27 HR, 78 RBI
• Seiya Suzuki: 0.251 AVG, 27 HR, 84 RBI
• Michael Busch: 0.264 AVG, 21 HR, 61 RBI

St. Louis Cardinals

• Willson Contreras: 0.259 AVG, 16 HR, 65 RBI
• Alec Burleson: 0.285 AVG, 14 HR, 50 RBI
• Ivan Herrera: 0.301 AVG, 10 HR, 42 RBI

Team Analysis

Chicago Cubs

The Chicago Cubs come into this matchup with a balanced road record, but recent form leaves more to be desired. Pete Crow-Armstrong, Seiya Suzuki, and Michael Busch have provided the consistent scoring punch, but the team’s rhythm, particularly on the road, has been off in recent games.

Over the last five, they’ve only managed 3.6 RPG, and their road OPS has dipped, putting pressure on timely hitting against a stingy Cardinals bullpen. However, their average of 3.6 runs per game points to an offensive cold streak that they’ll need to break out of to secure a win against the Cardinals.

• Batting Average: 0.253
• Total Runs Scored: 588
• Home Runs: 164
• OPS: 0.759
• ERA: 3.91
• WHIP: 1.22

Away Record: 31-27 • Home Record: 36-22
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.0 RPG)

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St. Louis Cardinals

The St. Louis Cardinals have displayed impressive form at home, lending them a distinct advantage in this matchup. Key standouts like Willson Contreras, Alec Burleson, and Ivan Herrera have been instrumental in their strong performances, contributing significantly to the team’s scoring consistency.

Despite a few setbacks in their last ten games, the Cardinals have looked sharp at key times, particularly at home. At Busch Stadium, St. Louis has leaned on contact hitting and late-inning relief—a profile that plays well against a Cubs lineup scuffling away from home. The Cardinals’ average of 4.0 runs per game in their last five games suggests they’re finding their offensive rhythm at the right time.

• Batting Average: 0.251
• Total Runs Scored: 514
• Home Runs: 112
• OPS: 0.709
• ERA: 4.18
• WHIP: 1.29

Away Record: 26-34 • Home Record: 33-25
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.2 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Chicago Cubs lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)

• August 09, 2025: CHC 9 @ STL 1
• August 08, 2025: CHC 0 @ STL 5
• July 06, 2025: STL 0 @ CHC 11
• July 05, 2025: STL 8 @ CHC 6
• July 04, 2025: STL 3 @ CHC 11

Over/Under Trends

Chicago Cubs’ last 10 games have averaged 7.4 total runs per game, with 3 of those going over the posted total of 8.0.

St. Louis Cardinals’ last 10 games have seen an average of 8.1 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same line of 8.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

The St. Louis Cardinals have been finding ways to win at home all season, making them a compelling pick in this matchup.

The St. Louis Cardinals at +107 present value in a spot that’s easy to overlook.

Over/Under Prediction

Scoring has been decent but slightly under this number in recent matchups. With both clubs averaging 7.6 runs per game recently — which sits below the posted total of 8 — we’re expecting an Under 8 outcome.

Bookmakers

Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, Bovada, MyBookie.ag, BetMGM, DraftKings, Fanatics, BetRivers.

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