- July 11, 2025
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MLB Prediction: Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees (Friday, July 11 at 07:05 PM ET)
Introduction
In what promises to be an exciting MLB matchup, the Chicago Cubs will be squaring off against the New York Yankees this coming Friday. Both teams have been showing promise in their recent games, so keep reading for a detailed prediction on this upcoming clash.
Game Time
The match kicks off at 07:05 PM ET.
Moneyline Odds
Chicago Cubs: +150
New York Yankees: -185
Over/Under Line: 9.0
Latest Team Records
Chicago Cubs have a record of 54-38 with a win percentage of 0.587, while the New York Yankees hold a record of 51-41 with a win percentage of 0.554.
Injury Report
Key injuries for the Chicago Cubs include:
- Jameson Taillon (Calf) – Status: 15-Day-IL. None
- Miguel Amaya (Oblique) – Status: 10-Day-IL. Cubs manager Craig Counsell said Tuesday that Amaya (oblique) is “not close” to a return to game action, MLB.com reports.
Key injuries for the New York Yankees include:
- Mark Leiter Jr. (Leg) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Leiter picked up a hold against the Mets on Sunday, walking one batter and hitting another but allowing no runs over two-thirds of an inning.
- Clarke Schmidt (Forearm) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Manager Aaron Boone said Saturday that Schmidt (forearm) will likely need Tommy John surgery, Max Goodman of NJ.com reports.
Key Player Stats
Chicago Cubs
- Seiya Suzuki: 0.259 AVG, 25 HR, 77 RBI
- Pete Crow-Armstrong: 0.266 AVG, 23 HR, 67 RBI
- Michael Busch: 0.297 AVG, 18 HR, 56 RBI
New York Yankees
- Aaron Judge: 0.36 AVG, 34 HR, 77 RBI
- Cody Bellinger: 0.281 AVG, 13 HR, 48 RBI
- Paul Goldschmidt: 0.29 AVG, 8 HR, 34 RBI
Team Analysis
Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs present a competitive team dynamic, with their recent form indicating a positive upward trend. Players like Suzuki and Crow-Armstrong have been asserting their prowess at the plate with consistent performance, resulting all in respectable RBI stats. Meanwhile, Busch’s consistent batting average of 0.297 conveys a reliable level of stability in the team’s offense.
The team has managed a balanced distribution of victories on the road and at home. While their recent form sees them slightly inconsistent in the last few games, expect the Cubs to lean on their power hitters in a bid to regain their footing.
- Batting Average: 0.256
- Total Runs Scored: 495
- Home Runs: 137
- OPS: 0.773
- ERA: 3.84
- WHIP: 1.24
Home Record: 30-16 • Road Record: 25-22
Last 5 Games: W-L-L-W-L (5.6 runs per game)
New York Yankees
While challenging the Cubs, the New York Yankees enter Friday’s game with commendable past performances. Led by Aaron Judge, who’s showcased an outstanding AVG of 0.36, along with 34 home runs, the Yankees have managed to amplify their offense significantly. Also, Cody Bellinger, despite having a lower batting average, remains an asset to the team with his 48 RBI.
The Yankees have outperformed the Cubs in terms of home runs and OPS, indicating a powerful offensive side. Despite their split home and away record, the Yankees have remained dominant in recent games, indicating a positive momentum heading into the clash against the Cubs.
- Batting Average: 0.257
- Total Runs Scored: 481
- Home Runs: 145
- OPS: 0.795
- ERA: 3.85
- WHIP: 1.21
Home Record: 29-17 • Road Record: 23-24
Last 5 Games: W-W-W-W-L (7.4 runs per game)
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.
Over/Under Trends
Chicago Cubs have averaged 11.8 runs per game over their last 9 games, with 5 games going over the total.
New York Yankees have averaged 14.2 runs per game over their last 6 games, with 4 games going over the total of 9.0.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Chicago Cubs pack a power-hitting lineup capable of turning tables which gives them a value advantage. Coupled with their slightly better overall win percentage and a recent performance signifying the potential for a rebound, the Cubs are definitely the smart bet for this game. They can rely on key hitters like Suzuki, Crow-Armstrong, and Busch to swing the match in their favor.
Our prediction leans toward a confident result for the Chicago Cubs at +150.
Over/Under Betting Prediction
Given the high recent scoring rates of both teams, this matchup is expected to be a high-scoring affair. The Cubs and Yankees have consistently put up big run totals, making the Over 9 a more plausible choice in this contest.
Pick: Over
Bookmakers
Odds courtesy of: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, Fanatics, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers.
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