- July 21, 2025
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MLB Prediction: Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies (Tuesday, July 22 at 06:45 PM ET)
Introduction
As the baseball season continues with escalating excitement, we turn our attention to the upcoming American League and National League showdown. The Boston Red Sox will go head-to-head against the Philadelphia Phillies in an intriguing matchup. This game presents a unique opportunity to witness two prestigious teams vying for dominance on the field.
Game Time
The game kicks off at Tuesday, July 22 at 06:45 PM ET in power-friendly Citizens Bank Park, where the ball carries.
Moneyline Odds
Boston Red Sox: +160
Philadelphia Phillies: -196
Over/Under Line: 8.5
Latest Team Records
Boston Red Sox have a record of 54-47 with a win percentage of 0.535, while the Philadelphia Phillies hold a record of 56-43 with a win percentage of 0.566.
Injury Report
The Boston Red Sox are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key injuries for the Philadelphia Phillies include:
- Alec Bohm (Ribs) – Status: 10-Day-IL. Bohm isn’t in the lineup for Saturday’s game against the Angels.
Key Player Stats
Boston Red Sox
- Wilyer Abreu: 0.256 AVG, 18 HR, 52 RBI
- Alex Bregman: 0.299 AVG, 11 HR, 35 RBI
- Ceddanne Rafaela: 0.267 AVG, 14 HR, 48 RBI
Philadelphia Phillies
- Kyle Schwarber: 0.251 AVG, 32 HR, 74 RBI
- Nick Castellanos: 0.27 AVG, 12 HR, 52 RBI
- Trea Turner: 0.288 AVG, 11 HR, 41 RBI
Team Analysis
Boston Red Sox
The Boston Red Sox have demonstrated some instability in their recent form with a 3-2 record, showing flashes of high-quality performance mired with some disappointing losses. Key players such as Alex Bregman and Ceddanne Rafaela have been significant contributors to their recent performances, showing strength at bat. Nevertheless, the Red Sox’s somewhat inconsistent pattern of results showcases a team in need of steadying their rhythm, especially when facing a challenging opponent such as the Phillies.
With the Red Sox’s away record currently standing at 22-27, it’s clear that their performance on the road could use some bolstering. However, their confidence should be buoyed by their recent ten games where they secured an impressive eight victories. Fixing their holes will be integral in this face-off against the Phillies.
- Batting Average: 0.254
- Total Runs Scored: 498
- Home Runs: 125
- OPS: 0.755
- ERA: 3.79
- WHIP: 1.3
Away Record: 22-27 • Home Record: 32-20
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (2.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 8-2 (5.0 RPG)
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies have been more consistent at home this season, boasting a solid 31-18 record at Citizens Bank Park. While they’ve faced some recent turbulence with a 4-6 mark in their last 10, returning to their home turf could provide the reset they need. With star talent in the lineup and the home crowd behind them, the Phillies have a strong opportunity to bounce back in this matchup.
The Phillies have a balanced 25-25 away record, suggesting a neutral form when playing outside their home ground. To emerge victorious in this matchup, they will need to bolster their away performance, improving upon their recent inconsistent outings. Performance in the most recent ten games has seen a slight slump, implying the Phillies are due for a game to turn things around.
- Batting Average: 0.255
- Total Runs Scored: 454
- Home Runs: 108
- OPS: 0.734
- ERA: 3.73
- WHIP: 1.26
Away Record: 25-25 • Home Record: 31-18
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (4.4 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.
Over/Under Trends
Boston Red Sox‘s recent games have seen an average of 7.4 total runs scored per game over their last 7 matchups, with 2 games going over the total line.
Philadelphia Phillies‘s recent games have averaged 8.3 total runs per game over their last 6 matchups, with 2 games going over the total of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Philadelphia Phillies could be the smart bet in this matchup. Despite their recent inconsistent form, the Phillies have shown the potential to outperform opponents on several occasions. Their key players are likely to step up against the Red Sox and could tip the scales in their favor. Given the Phillies’ higher overall win percentage this season, they could just have the edge in this encounter.
Our lean lands on the Philadelphia Phillies at -196 to cover their edge.
Over/Under Prediction
Averaging 4.4 runs per game lately, the Philadelphia Phillies are trending upward offensively, while the Boston Red Sox are putting up 2.4. That could influence how this matchup shapes up against the total.
These teams are combining for 6.8 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.5, a key benchmark in MLB betting markets. Our pick is Under 8.5.
Bookmakers
Odds courtesy of: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetRivers, BetUS, BetMGM, Fanatics.
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