Introduction

The Boston Red Sox and Philadelphia Phillies will soon take the field in an American League and National League showdown. These accomplished franchises are fine-tuned and primed to compete, bringing a competitive edge and a riveting display of baseball. The Red Sox, fueled by their dynamic offensive output and resourceful defensive strategies, are eager to demonstrate their talents against the Phillies who are admired for their dynamic and well-balanced team.

Game Time

The action begins at Monday, July 21 at 06:45 PM ET in power-friendly Citizens Bank Park, where the ball carries.

Moneyline Odds

Boston Red Sox: +170
Philadelphia Phillies: -208
Over/Under Line: 8.5

Latest Team Records

Boston Red Sox have a record of 53-47 with a win percentage of 0.53, while the Philadelphia Phillies hold a record of 56-42 with a win percentage of 0.571.

Injury Report

Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Boston Red Sox

• Wilyer Abreu: 0.256 AVG, 18 HR, 52 RBI
• Alex Bregman: 0.299 AVG, 11 HR, 35 RBI
• Ceddanne Rafaela: 0.271 AVG, 14 HR, 48 RBI

Philadelphia Phillies

• Kyle Schwarber: 0.251 AVG, 32 HR, 74 RBI
• Nick Castellanos: 0.273 AVG, 12 HR, 52 RBI
• Trea Turner: 0.289 AVG, 11 HR, 41 RBI

Team Analysis

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox have been showing steady performance with a recent form encouraging optimism among the fans and bettors alike. The team has arrayed an impressive line-up with striking offensive potential. Wilyer Abreu, Alex Bregman, and Ceddanne Rafaela have been instrumental in giving the team a robust dynamic, their interactions producing a commendable offensive rhythm and scoring consistency. Their need to bounce back from the recent losses adds a layer of complexity to their current momentum.

The Red Sox have shown a commendable consistency at home, echoed in their strong home record. Their last 5 games indicate a neutral streak, with 3 wins and 2 losses, signaling an opportunity for a bounceback in the upcoming games. Their offensive firepower will be crucial in determining the rhythm and direction of the game.

• Batting Average: 0.255
• Total Runs Scored: 492
• Home Runs: 122
• OPS: 0.754
• ERA: 3.82
• WHIP: 1.3

Away Record: 22-27 • Home Record: 32-20
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (2.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 8-2 (5.0 RPG)

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Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies, in contrast, possess a better record and greater momentum thanks to their top brass like Kyle Schwarber, Nick Castellanos, and Trea Turner. Despite falling short of a winning streak in their last 5 games, they are showing sparks of improvement, suggesting a turning of the tide. The team’s ability to maintain a steady scoring rate could be its strong point in the upcoming bout.

Phillies’ home record amplifies their strike power when playing on familiar grounds, a factor that could sway the game favorably. The fluctuating form combined with the team’s undeniable offensive output offers a tantalizing glimpse into a game that could be a close contest.

• Batting Average: 0.255
• Total Runs Scored: 452
• Home Runs: 107
• OPS: 0.736
• ERA: 3.7
• WHIP: 1.26

Away Record: 25-25 • Home Record: 31-18
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (4.4 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.

Over/Under Trends

Boston Red Sox‘s recent games have seen an average of 7.4 total runs scored per game over their last 7 matchups, with 2 games going over the total line.

Philadelphia Phillies‘s recent games have averaged 8.3 total runs per game over their last 6 matchups, with 2 games going over the total of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Despite the seesawing performance, the Philadelphia Phillies bear an edge in this duel. The impressive offensive potential nominates them as a smart bet. The scoring trend and recent form put them in a reliable position to capitalize on the matchup, supported by their robust line-up that could tip the scales in their favor.

With superior metrics across the board, we’re siding with the Philadelphia Phillies at -208.

Over/Under Prediction

Averaging 4.4 runs per game lately, the Philadelphia Phillies are trending upward offensively, while the Boston Red Sox are putting up 2.4. That could influence how this matchup shapes up against the total.

These teams are combining for 6.8 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.5, a key benchmark in MLB betting markets. Our pick is Under 8.5.

Bookmakers

Data pulled from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Bovada, Caesars, BetUS, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics.

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