Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins (Monday, July 28 at 07:40 PM ET)

Introduction

An American League showdown is set to captivate fans as the Boston Red Sox go head-to-head against the Minnesota Twins. These MLB titans have displayed their might in recent games, and this betting preview will put their prowess to the test.

Game Time

The fierce battle is set for Monday, July 28 at 07:40 PM ET, with the cooler Northern temperature setting a striking atmosphere for a classic MLB match.

Moneyline Odds

Boston Red Sox: +105
Minnesota Twins: -125
Over/Under Line: 9.5

Latest Team Records

Boston Red Sox: 56-50 (Win %: 0.528)
Minnesota Twins: 50-54 (Win %: 0.481)

Injury Report

Boston Red Sox: No major injuries reported.
Minnesota Twins: 3 major injuries reported.

Key Player Stats

Boston Red Sox

  • Alex Bregman: 0.297 AVG, 12 HR, 39 RBI
  • Wilyer Abreu: 0.246 AVG, 20 HR, 55 RBI
  • Trevor Story: 0.25 AVG, 15 HR, 60 RBI

Minnesota Twins

  • Byron Buxton: 0.282 AVG, 23 HR, 59 RBI
  • Harrison Bader: 0.25 AVG, 12 HR, 38 RBI
  • Trevor Larnach: 0.241 AVG, 13 HR, 42 RBI

Team Analysis

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox have demonstrated a resounding resilience recently, with their key player Alex Bregman leading the charge. Despite mixed recent results, they’ve been able to secure wins in key matchups, creating positive momentum. Their strength has been their consistent scorers, particularly Wilyer Abreu and Trevor Story, who have been vital for the team’s offense.

However, their road performance has been inconsistent, and going into this game as the road team, this presents a considerable challenge for them. They must tap into their recent successes and further solidify their batting lineups to overcome this hurdle.

  • Batting Average: 0.252
  • Total Runs Scored: 516
  • Home Runs: 129
  • OPS: 0.749
  • ERA: 3.78
  • WHIP: 1.29

Away Record: 23-29 • Home Record: 34-21
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (3.3 RPG)


Minnesota Twins

Shining on their home turf, the Minnesota Twins have put up a commendable fight in their recent games. With key players like Byron Buxton and Harrison Bader bringing a consistent offensive force, they’re entering this game with high stakes. Their home record has been a strong suit, and this game offers them a chance to build upon that success.

However, their shaky form in the last stretch of games cannot be overlooked, but a solid performance from their pivotal player, Trevor Larnach can keep them in the contention. Thus, maintaining their home advantage and countering the Red Sox’s resurgent form will be critical for the Twins.

  • Batting Average: 0.242
  • Total Runs Scored: 438
  • Home Runs: 120
  • OPS: 0.713
  • ERA: 4.17
  • WHIP: 1.25

Away Record: 21-33 • Home Record: 29-22
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (3.9 RPG)


Head-to-Head History

Minnesota Twins lead 2–1 (Last 3 games)

  • 2025-05-04: MIN 5 @ BOS 4
  • 2025-05-03: MIN 4 @ BOS 3
  • 2025-05-02: MIN 1 @ BOS 6

Over/Under Trends

Boston Red Sox’s last 10 games have averaged 7.0 total runs per game, with 1 of those going over the posted total of 9.5.

Minnesota Twins’ last 10 games have seen an average of 9.0 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same line of 9.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Considering the recent momentum and the strong form of key players, the Boston Red Sox offer a lucrative proposition. Coupling their robust offense and defensive prowess, we firmly believe the Red Sox can seize this opportunity and determine the course of the game in their favor.

We’re placing our confidence in the Boston Red Sox +105 as they have the potential to secure a brilliant win against the Twins.

Over/Under Prediction

The Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox are known to put up an offshore show. Recently, the Twins generated an average of 3.8 runs per game, and the Red Sox held their end of the bargain with 4.0 RPG. Their collective firepower, however, falls short of the total runs line set at 9.5.

Combined, these teams are propelling the board with 7.8 runs per game — that’s well below the posted total of 9.5. All factors considered, our lure leans towards an Under 9.5 finish.

Bookmakers

Betting lines provided by: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetUS, Bovada, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics.

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