Introduction

Get ready for a classic American League and National League showdown as the Baltimore Orioles cross paths with the Philadelphia Phillies. The Orioles, despite some stumbles, will be looking to leverage their road grit against the Phillies formidable home record. This analysis will cut through the noise, providing you with data-driven insights for this enticing MLB matchup.

Game Time

Get ready for the game at Wednesday, August 6 at 12:35 PM ET at power-friendly Citizens Bank Park — expect fireworks if the bats heat up.

Odds & Spread Line

Baltimore Orioles: +145
Philadelphia Phillies: -175
Over/Under Line: 7.5
Spread Line:
Baltimore Orioles: +1.5 (-146)
Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 (+122)

Latest Team Records

Baltimore Orioles: 51-63 (Win %: 0.447)
Philadelphia Phillies: 65-48 (Win %: 0.575)

Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles are missing Tyler O’Neill (Wrist), listed as Day-To-Day; Grayson Rodriguez (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL; Ryan Mountcastle (Hamstring), listed as 60-Day-IL; Zach Eflin (Back), listed as 15-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.

The Philadelphia Phillies are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Baltimore Orioles

• Gunnar Henderson: 0.283 AVG, 13 HR, 47 RBI
• Jackson Holliday: 0.254 AVG, 14 HR, 43 RBI
• Jordan Westburg: 0.277 AVG, 13 HR, 28 RBI

Philadelphia Phillies

• Kyle Schwarber: 0.258 AVG, 40 HR, 94 RBI
• Nick Castellanos: 0.269 AVG, 15 HR, 60 RBI
• Bryce Harper: 0.266 AVG, 17 HR, 48 RBI

Team Analysis

Baltimore Orioles

The Baltimore Orioles have been struggling to maintain consistency, especially on the road. Their road record of 24-36 reflects their struggle to find rhythm away from home. Injuries to key standouts like Tyler O’Neill and Ryan Mountcastle have also impacted their offensive potential. However, standouts like Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday have been holding the fort with their consistent performances.

Despite their recent 1-4 record, the Orioles have shown the ability to bounce back. They will need to leverage their key players and improve their road performance to seize the day. Their recent average of 2.0 runs per game suggests they need to ramp up their offensive strategy to compete with the Phillies.

• Batting Average: 0.242
• Total Runs Scored: 492
• Home Runs: 139
• OPS: 0.713
• ERA: 4.91
• WHIP: 1.41

Away Record: 24-36 • Home Record: 27-27
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (2.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (5.3 RPG)

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Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies have been displaying robust form, especially on their home turf. With a formidable 37-20 home record, they have been capitalizing on their home advantage significantly. Their recent form has been impressive with a 4-1 record, reflecting a confident team rhythm. Key standouts like Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos have been instrumental in driving this momentum.

Scoring an average of 6.0 runs per game in their last five matches, the Phillies have been consistently strong on the offensive front. Their recent form coupled with their significant home advantage makes them a formidable opponent for the Orioles.

• Batting Average: 0.255
• Total Runs Scored: 534
• Home Runs: 137
• OPS: 0.743
• ERA: 3.75
• WHIP: 1.24

Away Record: 28-28 • Home Record: 37-20
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (6.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.3 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Philadelphia Phillies lead 2–0 (Last 2 games)

• August 05, 2025: BAL 0 @ PHI 5
• August 04, 2025: BAL 3 @ PHI 13

Baltimore Orioles’ last 10 games have averaged 10.0 total runs per game, with 5 of those going over the posted total of 7.5.

Philadelphia Phillies’ last 10 games have seen an average of 9.3 combined runs, with 7 games clearing the same line of 7.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Although the Baltimore Orioles have been struggling on the road, they have shown the ability to bounce back and put up a fight. Their key standouts like Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday have been performing consistently and are expected to step up in this matchup. Despite being the underdogs, the Orioles have the potential to surprise the Phillies and their recent form suggests a possible upset.

The Baltimore Orioles at +145 present value in a spot that’s easy to overlook.

Over/Under Prediction

In their last five games, the Philadelphia Phillies have posted 6.0 runs per game, while the Baltimore Orioles have averaged 2.0. This recent output is key to judging the total.

These teams are combining for 8.0 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 7.5, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Over 7.5.

Bookmakers

Current odds sourced from: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, MyBookie.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Fanatics, Bovada, BetUS, BetMGM, BetRivers.

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