- July 24, 2025
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MLB Prediction: Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians (Thursday, July 24 at 01:10 PM ET)
Introduction
We’re gearing up for an American League showdown as the Baltimore Orioles face off against the Cleveland Guardians. With both teams showcasing dynamic players, this matchup is set to deliver a dose of intense action and strategy.
Game Time
The game kicks off at Thursday, July 24 at 01:10 PM ET in Progressive Field, where weather can dictate scoring.
Moneyline Odds
Baltimore Orioles: -103
Cleveland Guardians: -127
Over/Under Line: 9.0
Latest Team Records
Baltimore Orioles have a record of 44-56 with a win percentage of 0.44, while the Cleveland Guardians hold a record of 50-50 with a win percentage of 0.5.
Injury Report
Key injuries for the Baltimore Orioles include:
- Grayson Rodriguez (Elbow) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Rodriguez (lat) is undergoing imaging on his right elbow after feeling discomfort earlier this month, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
- Keegan Akin (Shoulder) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Akin (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment in the rookie-level Florida Complex League on Monday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
- Albert Suarez (Shoulder) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Suarez (shoulder) is expected to face hitters in live batting practice before the end of July, MLB.com reports.
- Cade Povich (Hip) – Status: 15-Day-IL. Povich (hip) is slated to make his next rehab start Thursday or Friday with Triple-A Norfolk, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
Key injuries for the Cleveland Guardians include:
- Andrew Walters (Lat) – Status: 60-Day-IL. Walter underwent surgery Monday to repair his right lat, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.
Key Player Stats
Baltimore Orioles
- Ramon Laureano: 0.279 AVG, 13 HR, 41 RBI
- Ryan O’Hearn: 0.28 AVG, 12 HR, 36 RBI
- Gunnar Henderson: 0.278 AVG, 11 HR, 35 RBI
Cleveland Guardians
- Jose Ramirez: 0.295 AVG, 21 HR, 56 RBI
- Steven Kwan: 0.285 AVG, 6 HR, 32 RBI
- Angel Martinez: 0.254 AVG, 9 HR, 38 RBI
Team Analysis
Baltimore Orioles
The Baltimore Orioles are coming into this game off a difficult stretch, recently going 1-4. They are having a hard time finding a rhythm at the plate and will need key players like Ramon Laureano and Ryan O’Hearn to step up if they hope to turn things around. Gunnar Henderson, despite his solid average, will also need to bolster his run production to provide the offensive boost the Orioles desperately need.
The Orioles have struggled with consistency recently, and this is reflected in their subpar away record of 22-32 and an average batting average of 0.239. Despite these challenges, they have shown flashes of redemptive form and, with a potential turnaround from Laureano, O’Hearn, and Henderson, they cannot be underestimated.
- Batting Average: 0.239
- Total Runs Scored: 410
- Home Runs: 116
- OPS: 0.699
- ERA: 5.02
- WHIP: 1.43
Away Record: 22-32 • Home Record: 22-25
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (3.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (2.3 RPG)
Cleveland Guardians
The Cleveland Guardians are currently riding momentum with a strong recent record of 4-1, showcasing their high-scoring offense and solid form. The power hitting Jose Ramirez, Steven Kwan’s consistency, and Angel Martinez’s run production have all contributed to keeping the batting line rolling.
With a stronger away record compared to the Orioles and recent form that outshines their opponents, the Guardians have a clear advantage. They have maintained consistency on the road and at home, and their last five games even saw them averaging 5.8 runs per game. This strong scoring ability positions the Guardians in a place of confidence entering this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.225
- Total Runs Scored: 387
- Home Runs: 106
- OPS: 0.672
- ERA: 3.94
- WHIP: 1.33
Away Record: 26-26 • Home Record: 25-24
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (5.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 8-2 (5.8 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Cleveland Guardians 3–2 Baltimore Orioles (Last 5 games)
- 2025-07-23: BAL 2 @ CLE 3
- 2025-07-22: BAL 3 @ CLE 6
- 2025-07-21: BAL 5 @ CLE 10
- 2025-04-17: CLE 2 @ BAL 6
- 2025-04-16: CLE 1 @ BAL 9
Over/Under Trends
Baltimore Orioles’ recent games have seen an average of 9.1 total runs scored per game over their last 10 matchups, with 4 games going over the total of 9.0.
Cleveland Guardians’ recent games have averaged 9.7 total runs per game over their last 10 matchups, with 5 games going over the total of 9.0.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Entering this game with strong momentum and consistent offensive production, the Cleveland Guardians establish themselves as the appealing pick. Their stronger record and recent form that far outshines the Orioles – combined with the outcomes of recent head-to-head matchups – drives the confidence in the Guardians for this matchup.
Expect the Cleveland Guardians at -127 to come out on top in this one.
Over/Under Prediction
The Cleveland Guardians are scoring 5.8 runs per game across their last five, and the Baltimore Orioles are at 3.6. Recent form suggests where this total might land.
These teams are combining for 9.4 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 9.0, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Under 9.0.
Bookmakers
Shop the odds at: FanDuel, Fanatics, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, MyBookie.ag, Bovada, DraftKings, BetMGM, BetUS, BetRivers.
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