Introduction

As the MLB season heats up, the Arizona Diamondbacks and Detroit Tigers are set to collide in a classic American League and National League showdown. Both teams come into this matchup boasting strong records, but it’s their recent performances, both at home and on the road, that will likely swing the odds. With the Diamondbacks looking to make a statement on the road and the Tigers eager to continue their home dominance, this matchup promises to have the intensity of a playoff game.

Game Time

The first pitch is scheduled for Monday, July 28 at 06:40 PM ET at spacious Comerica Park, a pitcher-friendly stadium with deep alleys.

Moneyline Odds

Arizona Diamondbacks: +117
Detroit Tigers: -128
Over/Under Line: 9.0

Latest Team Records

Arizona Diamondbacks: 51-54 (Win %: 0.486)
Detroit Tigers: 60-46 (Win %: 0.566)

Injury Report

Key injuries for the Arizona Diamondbacks include:

• Shelby Miller (Forearm) – Status: 15-Day-IL.
• Jalen Beeks (Back) – Status: 15-Day-IL.
• Pavin Smith (Oblique) – Status: 10-Day-IL.

The Detroit Tigers are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Arizona Diamondbacks

• Eugenio Suarez: 0.249 AVG, 36 HR, 87 RBI
• Geraldo Perdomo: 0.278 AVG, 10 HR, 72 RBI
• Ketel Marte: 0.284 AVG, 20 HR, 41 RBI

Detroit Tigers

• Riley Greene: 0.274 AVG, 25 HR, 80 RBI
• Spencer Torkelson: 0.237 AVG, 23 HR, 61 RBI
• Gleyber Torres: 0.273 AVG, 9 HR, 45 RBI

Team Analysis

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks have shown mixed form recently with a record of 1-4 in their last five games. Despite this, they’ve shown flashes of potential while on the road, which should not be discounted as they march into Comerica Park. Their offensive potential is highlighted by the likes of Eugenio Suarez and Ketel Marte.

The Diamondbacks’ pitching staff, however, would need to step it up. With an ERA of 4.49, they’ll need to clamp down on the Tigers’ hitters to gain any advantage. The underperformance in recent outings means Arizona will need to turn things around in this matchup.

• Batting Average: 0.251
• Total Runs Scored: 523
• Home Runs: 147
• OPS: 0.767
• ERA: 4.49
• WHIP: 1.32

Away Record: 25-27 • Home Record: 26-28
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (1.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (3.5 RPG)

Detroit Tigers

The Detroit Tigers have also had their share of struggles lately with a 1-4 record over their last five games. However, their base of operations, Comerica Park, has been a sanctuary for them this season. Excellent home performances have kept them in contention, thanks largely to the power-hitting trio of Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, and Gleyber Torres.

Defensively, the Tigers have fared better than the Diamondbacks, boasting an ERA of 3.82. At home, the Tigers’ pitching staff seems to have a significant advantage, and this could be the key to overcoming the Diamondbacks in this contest.

• Batting Average: 0.246
• Total Runs Scored: 498
• Home Runs: 130
• OPS: 0.73
• ERA: 3.82
• WHIP: 1.24

Away Record: 28-25 • Home Record: 33-21
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (3.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 2-8 (2.6 RPG)

Head-to-Head History

No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.

Over/Under Trends

Arizona Diamondbacks’ last 10 games have averaged 6.4 total runs per game, with 2 of those going over the posted total of 9.0.

Detroit Tigers’ last 10 games have seen an average of 7.7 combined runs, with 3 games clearing the same line of 9.0.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Despite some rocky recent results, the Detroit Tigers’ record at home stands strong. Along with the power-hitting of Greene, Torkelson, and Torres, and the superior ERA, the Tigers appear primed to deal with the threat posed by the Diamondbacks. The home advantage at Comerica Park should see them through this MLB showdown.

We’re siding with the Detroit Tigers to finish on top.

Over/Under Prediction

Averaging 3.6 runs per game lately, the Detroit Tigers are ramping up offensively, while the Arizona Diamondbacks are putting up 1.0. That could influence how this matchup shapes up against the total.

These teams are combining for 4.6 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 9.0, a crucial pivot point in betting markets. Our pick is Under 9.0.

Bookmakers

These lines come from: FanDuel, Fanatics, MyBookie.ag, Caesars, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, DraftKings, BetMGM, Bovada, BetUS.

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