MLB Prediction: New York Mets vs Detroit Tigers (Monday, September 1 at 01:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | NYM | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -110 | -110 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (148) | +1.5 (-175) |
| Last 5 RPG | 7.6 | 3.4 |
| Record | 73–63 | 79–58 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: New York Mets · Detroit Tigers
The Mets enter this interleague matchup analysis against the Tigers after averaging 7.6 runs per game across their last five contests, a surge that highlights their offensive edge. Detroit, meanwhile, has stumbled with just 3.4 RPG during that same span, exposing significant inconsistency at the plate. With New York Mets’ bats trending upward and Detroit failing to match pace, this MLB prediction leans heavily toward the Mets’ firepower carrying the day and the total sailing past the posted number.
Game Time
Scheduled for Monday, September 1 at 01:10 PM ET at spacious Comerica Park, deep alleys suppress the long ball.
Odds & Spread Line
- New York Mets: -110
- Detroit Tigers: -110
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — New York Mets: -1.5 (+148)
- Run Line — Detroit Tigers: +1.5 (-175)
Latest Team Records
New York Mets: 73-63 (Win %: 0.537)
Detroit Tigers: 79-58 (Win %: 0.577)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
New York Mets
- Pete Alonso: 0.271 AVG, 31 HR, 110 RBI
- Juan Soto: 0.254 AVG, 35 HR, 84 RBI
- Francisco Lindor: 0.268 AVG, 26 HR, 76 RBI
Detroit Tigers
- Riley Greene: 0.269 AVG, 32 HR, 101 RBI
- Spencer Torkelson: 0.237 AVG, 28 HR, 70 RBI
- Kerry Carpenter: 0.261 AVG, 22 HR, 52 RBI
Team Analysis
New York Mets
The Mets’ 2-3 mark over their last five games shows some volatility, but the more telling figure is the 7.6 RPG during that stretch. Even in losses, the lineup has consistently generated runs, anchored by the power production of Pete Alonso and Juan Soto. On the road, their 28-37 record is underwhelming, yet recent scoring trends suggest their offense is traveling better than their overall away mark indicates.
Over the last ten games, New York has gone 6-4 while averaging 8.1 RPG, confirming that their offensive rhythm is peaking at the right time. Francisco Lindor’s balanced contributions add another layer of consistency to the middle of the order, making this offense multidimensional. With scoring depth across key bats, the Mets are positioned to outpace Detroit in an environment where run support will be decisive.
- Batting Average: 0.251
- Total Runs Scored: 649
- Home Runs: 188
- OBP: 0.329
- SLG: 0.431
- OPS: 0.76
- ERA: 3.85
- WHIP: 1.32
Away Record: 28-37 • Home Record: 45-27
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (7.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (8.1 RPG)
Detroit Tigers
Detroit has slipped to 2-3 over its last five games, averaging just 3.4 RPG in that span, signaling an offense that has struggled to sustain rallies. Despite Riley Greene’s steady power output, the Tigers’ lineup has lacked balance, leaving too many scoring opportunities unconverted. Their strong 44-25 home record shows comfort at Comerica Park, but recent offensive inconsistency tempers that advantage.
Over the last ten games, Detroit sits at 5-5 while producing 4.6 RPG, a middling mark that emphasizes their uneven rhythm. Spencer Torkelson has provided occasional pop, yet the supporting bats have not kept pace with opposing lineups. Even with Kerry Carpenter’s contributions, the Tigers’ offense looks outmatched against a Mets team currently generating runs at nearly double their recent rate.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 656
- Home Runs: 174
- OBP: 0.318
- SLG: 0.422
- OPS: 0.74
- ERA: 3.83
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 36-33 • Home Record: 44-25
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.6 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.
Over/Under Trends
New York Mets’ last 10 games have averaged 13.4 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Detroit Tigers’ last 10 games have averaged 9.3 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Mets’ surge in run production, paired with a 6-4 stretch over their last ten, highlights an offense operating at a higher level than Detroit Tigers’ sputtering attack. With Alonso, Soto, and Lindor driving consistent scoring, New York has the lineup balance to neutralize Detroit Tigers’ home edge and secure the result.
Form and matchup edges favor the New York Mets — back them.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Detroit Tigers at 3.4 RPG and the New York Mets at 7.6, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 11.0 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Over 8.5.
Bookmakers
Odds courtesy of: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetUS, Bovada, BetRivers, BetMGM.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Sep 01, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
