MLB Prediction: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves (Sunday, August 24 at 01:35 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | NYM | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -127 | +106 |
| Total (O/U) | 9.0 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (125) | +1.5 (-145) |
| Last 5 RPG | 7.2 | 6.0 |
| Record | 69–60 | 58–71 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: New York Mets · Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves’ last 10 games have generated 6.2 runs per outing, and paired with New York Mets’ 6.4 average, this sets up an MLB prediction built on high offensive output. The Mets have shown neutral form at 5-5 across their last 10, while the Braves sit at a stronger 7-3 in that span, underlining their steadier rhythm. With both lineups producing above nine combined runs consistently, the Over remains the sharper angle, and Atlanta Braves’ balanced recent surge at home makes them the side with the clear betting edge.
Game Time
Set for Sunday, August 24 at 01:35 PM ET at Truist Park, balanced conditions with power upside.
Odds & Spread Line
- New York Mets: -127
- Atlanta Braves: +106
Total: 9
- Run Line — New York Mets: -1.5 (+125)
- Run Line — Atlanta Braves: +1.5 (-145)
Latest Team Records
New York Mets: 69-60 (Win %: 0.535)
Atlanta Braves: 58-71 (Win %: 0.45)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
New York Mets
- Pete Alonso: 0.262 AVG, 28 HR, 101 RBI
- Juan Soto: 0.251 AVG, 32 HR, 76 RBI
- Francisco Lindor: 0.265 AVG, 25 HR, 72 RBI
Atlanta Braves
- Matt Olson: 0.268 AVG, 19 HR, 72 RBI
- Michael Harris II: 0.255 AVG, 16 HR, 68 RBI
- Ronald Acuna Jr.: 0.305 AVG, 15 HR, 30 RBI
Team Analysis
New York Mets
The Mets enter with a 69-60 record but remain inconsistent across recent outings, reflected in their 3-2 mark over the last five and 5-5 over the last 10. Scoring has been steady at 7.2 runs per game in the most recent stretch, but their 28-36 away record underlines vulnerability when removed from home comfort. Pete Alonso has been a reliable run producer, but the team’s overall rhythm away from Citi Field has not matched their home dominance.
Juan Soto’s power profile adds offensive upside, yet the Mets have lacked the sustained efficiency needed to convert road opportunities into consistent wins. Francisco Lindor contributes balance, but the Mets’ neutral recent trend shows no decisive momentum shift. Against an opponent finding steadier home form, New York Mets’ away inconsistency diminishes their betting appeal in this spot.
- Batting Average: 0.246
- Total Runs Scored: 581
- Home Runs: 168
- OBP: 0.323
- SLG: 0.421
- OPS: 0.744
- ERA: 3.83
- WHIP: 1.31
Away Record: 28-36 • Home Record: 41-24
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (7.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (6.4 RPG)
Atlanta Braves
The Braves sit at 58-71 but have shown a stronger recent rhythm with a 7-3 record across the last 10 games. Even with a 2-3 mark over their last five, the offense has maintained 6.0 runs per game, showing they remain competitive even in losses. Matt Olson’s production anchors the middle of the order, giving this lineup the ability to pressure opponents consistently.
Ronald Acuna Jr. has driven their offensive spark, and Michael Harris II provides complementary run support that has lifted Atlanta Braves’ scoring reliability at home. Their 32-33 home record is approaching balance, and their recent 10-game surge shows marked improvement in capitalizing on that environment. With steadier trends and offensive consistency, Atlanta presents the stronger betting angle in this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.245
- Total Runs Scored: 564
- Home Runs: 144
- OBP: 0.32
- SLG: 0.395
- OPS: 0.716
- ERA: 4.36
- WHIP: 1.31
Away Record: 26-38 • Home Record: 32-33
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (6.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (6.2 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
New York Mets lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)
- August 23, 2025: NYM 9 @ ATL 2
- August 22, 2025: NYM 12 @ ATL 7
- August 14, 2025: ATL 4 @ NYM 3
- August 13, 2025: ATL 11 @ NYM 6
- August 12, 2025: ATL 5 @ NYM 13
Over/Under Trends
New York Mets’ last 10 games have averaged 11.8 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.
Atlanta Braves’ last 10 games have averaged 12.0 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same number of 9.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Atlanta Braves’ 7-3 surge across the last 10 and improving home form establish them as the sharper side. Their lineup, led by Ronald Acuna Jr. and Matt Olson, has maintained steady run production even in defeats, while New York Mets’ away inconsistency continues to weigh them down. With stronger recent rhythm and scoring balance at this venue, the Braves are the side to back with confidence.
Trend and context support the Atlanta Braves at +106 as the bet.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Atlanta Braves are at 6.0 RPG and the New York Mets at 7.2 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 13.2 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 9.0. That points toward the Over 9.0.
Bookmakers
Available at: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetMGM, Bovada, BetUS, BetRivers.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
MLB Predictions FAQ
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
How does Parlamaz make New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
