MLB Prediction: Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies (Thursday, September 18 at 03:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | MIA | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -167 | +148 |
| Total (O/U) | 10.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (-115) | +1.5 (-105) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.6 | 4.4 |
| Record | 71–80 | 41–110 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Miami Marlins · Colorado Rockies
The Rockies have stumbled badly with a 1-9 record over their last 10 games, leaving them exposed against a Marlins side trending upward. This matchup analysis highlights how Miami Marlins’ road form and recent 5.8 RPG output across their last 10 create a decisive edge. With Colorado Rockies’ offense averaging just 2.6 RPG over that same window, this MLB prediction points strongly toward Miami controlling tempo and keeping the total in check.
Game Time
Opening pitch at Thursday, September 18 at 03:10 PM ET inside Coors Field, balls jump and totals rise.
Odds & Spread Line
- Miami Marlins: -167
- Colorado Rockies: +148
Total: 10.5
- Run Line — Miami Marlins: -1.5 (-115)
- Run Line — Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (-105)
Latest Team Records
Miami Marlins: 71-80 (Win %: 0.47)
Colorado Rockies: 41-110 (Win %: 0.272)
Injury Report
The Miami Marlins are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Colorado Rockies are missing Chase Dollander (Knee), listed as 15-Day-IL; Luis Peralta (Hip), listed as 15-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Miami Marlins
- Kyle Stowers: 0.288 AVG, 25 HR, 73 RBI
- Otto Lopez: 0.248 AVG, 14 HR, 74 RBI
- Agustin Ramirez: 0.23 AVG, 20 HR, 63 RBI
Colorado Rockies
- Hunter Goodman: 0.276 AVG, 30 HR, 87 RBI
- Mickey Moniak: 0.27 AVG, 22 HR, 65 RBI
- Jordan Beck: 0.269 AVG, 15 HR, 51 RBI
Team Analysis
Miami Marlins
The Marlins’ 4-1 record across their last 5 games demonstrates a group that has found rhythm late in the season. Their 7-3 stretch over the last 10 has been powered by reliable run production, averaging nearly six runs per contest. Kyle Stowers has been a steady presence in the lineup, and his offensive consistency has helped Miami keep pressure on opponents during this surge.
Miami Marlins’ road record sits close to .500, showing they can travel and still perform effectively. Otto Lopez’s ability to drive in runs has added depth to the order, giving them multiple paths to scoring. Agustin Ramirez also provides a valuable power element, and with the club’s current hitting balance, their recent form points to sustained success against weaker competition.
- Batting Average: 0.251
- Total Runs Scored: 669
- Home Runs: 145
- OBP: 0.315
- SLG: 0.394
- OPS: 0.709
- ERA: 4.67
- WHIP: 1.31
Away Record: 36-38 • Home Record: 36-42
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (5.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (5.8 RPG)
Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies’ overall record of 41-110 reflects a team that has failed to compete consistently across the season. Their last 5 games produced just a 1-4 mark, and even with Hunter Goodman’s power, the offense has not been able to carry them. At home, where they should be more comfortable, the Rockies have still logged 54 losses, underscoring fundamental problems in both lineup execution and run prevention.
The last 10 games tell an even harsher story at 1-9 with only 2.6 RPG, pointing to an offense in a prolonged slump. Mickey Moniak has contributed, but without consistent help from the rest of the lineup, the Rockies remain easy to suppress. Jordan Beck’s output has been modest, and the lack of complementary production explains why this team continues to fall behind early and stay there.
- Batting Average: 0.239
- Total Runs Scored: 567
- Home Runs: 150
- OBP: 0.295
- SLG: 0.388
- OPS: 0.683
- ERA: 6.03
- WHIP: 1.6
Away Record: 18-57 • Home Record: 23-54
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 1-9 (2.6 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Colorado Rockies lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)
- September 17, 2025: MIA 8 @ COL 4
- September 16, 2025: MIA 6 @ COL 5
- June 04, 2025: COL 3 @ MIA 2
- June 03, 2025: COL 3 @ MIA 2
- June 02, 2025: COL 6 @ MIA 4
Over/Under Trends
Miami Marlins’ last 10 games have averaged 10.4 total runs, with 5 games that would have cleared today’s total of 10.5.
Colorado Rockies’ last 10 games have averaged 9.1 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 10.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Miami Marlins’ surge of 7-3 across their last 10 combined with back-to-back head-to-head wins in Colorado reveals why they are the superior side here. With Colorado stuck in a 1-9 skid and struggling to generate runs, the Marlins’ balanced lineup led by Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez makes them the clear play to extend their dominance.
Data supports the Miami Marlins as the right side.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Colorado Rockies have produced 4.4 RPG and the Miami Marlins 5.6. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 10.0 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 10.5. That points toward the Under 10.5.
Bookmakers
These lines come from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Caesars, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, DraftKings, Fanatics, BetMGM, BetRivers, Bovada, BetUS.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
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We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
