MLB Prediction: Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians (Friday, August 29 at 07:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | SEA | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -152 | +130 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.0 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (115) | +1.5 (-135) |
| Last 5 RPG | 6.2 | 1.4 |
| Record | 72–62 | 66–66 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Seattle Mariners · Cleveland Guardians
Seattle enters this matchup analysis with a 3-2 mark over its last five, averaging 6.2 runs per game, while Cleveland has been held to just 1.4 per contest in that same span. This contrast in scoring patterns frames an MLB prediction where the Guardians’ pitching stability and situational edge at home outweigh their current offensive slump. Despite recent head-to-head struggles, Cleveland Guardians’ ability to grind out low-scoring games makes them the sharper side, with the pace pointing squarely toward the Under.
Game Time
On tap at Friday, August 29 at 07:10 PM ET inside Progressive Field, weather and wind shape scoring.
Odds & Spread Line
- Seattle Mariners: -152
- Cleveland Guardians: +130
Total: 8
- Run Line — Seattle Mariners: -1.5 (+115)
- Run Line — Cleveland Guardians: +1.5 (-135)
Latest Team Records
Seattle Mariners: 72-62 (Win %: 0.537)
Cleveland Guardians: 66-66 (Win %: 0.5)
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners are missing Ryan Bliss (Biceps), listed as 60-Day-IL.
Cleveland Guardians are missing Will Brennan (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL; Andrew Walters (Lat), listed as 60-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Seattle Mariners
- Cal Raleigh: 0.244 AVG, 50 HR, 107 RBI
- Eugenio Suarez: 0.237 AVG, 42 HR, 104 RBI
- Julio Rodriguez: 0.263 AVG, 25 HR, 73 RBI
Cleveland Guardians
- Jose Ramirez: 0.284 AVG, 26 HR, 68 RBI
- Kyle Manzardo: 0.231 AVG, 21 HR, 57 RBI
- Steven Kwan: 0.271 AVG, 10 HR, 41 RBI
Team Analysis
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners sit at 72-62 with a 3-2 record in their last five games, scoring 6.2 runs per outing in that span. That production highlights occasional bursts, but their 4-6 mark across the last ten reflects inconsistency. Away from home, they carry a 31-35 record, underscoring the volatility of their offense when not in Seattle.
Cal Raleigh and Eugenio Suarez supply long-ball power, but the supporting lineup has not consistently elevated scoring in tighter contests. Julio Rodriguez adds balance yet the team’s road splits suggest diminished efficiency in run creation. With opponents containing their production in key spots, the Mariners lack the sustained rhythm to inspire confidence in this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.241
- Total Runs Scored: 616
- Home Runs: 191
- OBP: 0.317
- SLG: 0.41
- OPS: 0.728
- ERA: 3.97
- WHIP: 1.26
Away Record: 31-35 • Home Record: 41-27
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (6.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (5.0 RPG)
Cleveland Guardians
The Guardians are 66-66 and have gone 2-3 in their last five, producing only 1.4 runs per game. Over the last ten, they are 3-7 at 2.4 runs per game, signaling a slump at the plate. However, their home record of 33-32 indicates that despite offensive droughts, they manage to stay competitive at Progressive Field.
Jose Ramirez remains the centerpiece of Cleveland Guardians’ offense, capable of impacting games even in a low-scoring environment. Steven Kwan’s contact skills provide situational value, while Kyle Manzardo adds depth despite the team’s current cold streak. With pitching keeping them in range and a balanced home split, Cleveland is positioned to capitalize against a Mariners side that underperforms on the road.
- Batting Average: 0.224
- Total Runs Scored: 508
- Home Runs: 133
- OBP: 0.295
- SLG: 0.366
- OPS: 0.661
- ERA: 3.93
- WHIP: 1.31
Away Record: 33-34 • Home Record: 33-32
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (1.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (2.4 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Seattle Mariners lead 3–0 (Last 3 games)
- June 15, 2025: CLE 0 @ SEA 6
- June 14, 2025: CLE 3 @ SEA 4
- June 13, 2025: CLE 2 @ SEA 7
Over/Under Trends
Seattle Mariners’ last 10 games have averaged 11.0 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.
Cleveland Guardians’ last 10 games have averaged 7.0 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 8.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Cleveland Guardians’ season-long balance at home and ability to win tight contests offset their recent offensive slump, especially against a Mariners team that struggles away from Seattle. With Jose Ramirez anchoring the lineup and their pitching staff holding opponents in check, the Guardians are the sharper moneyline side to back here.
The Cleveland Guardians at +130 fit a live underdog profile on recent numbers.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Cleveland Guardians have produced 1.4 RPG and the Seattle Mariners 6.2. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 7.6 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.0. That points toward the Under 8.0.
Bookmakers
These lines come from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetUS, BetMGM, Fanatics, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
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Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
How does Parlamaz make Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians MLB predictions?
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