MLB Prediction: Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves (Sunday, September 7 at 12:05 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | SEA | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -118 | -105 |
| Total (O/U) | 9.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (136) | +1.5 (-161) |
| Last 5 RPG | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| Record | 73–68 | 64–77 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Seattle Mariners · Atlanta Braves
Seattle enters this interleague matchup analysis against Atlanta on the back of a rough 1-4 stretch across its last five games, producing 4.4 runs per outing. Atlanta has not fared much better, averaging 4.0 runs in that same span with a 2-3 record. This game shapes up as a disciplined MLB prediction where Seattle Mariners’ higher win percentage and more potent home run profile provide the betting edge, while both clubs’ recent scoring outputs point squarely toward value on the Under.
Game Time
On tap at Sunday, September 7 at 12:05 PM ET at Truist Park, balanced conditions with power upside.
Odds & Spread Line
- Seattle Mariners: -118
- Atlanta Braves: -105
Total: 9.5
- Run Line — Seattle Mariners: -1.5 (+136)
- Run Line — Atlanta Braves: +1.5 (-161)
Latest Team Records
Seattle Mariners: 73-68 (Win %: 0.518)
Atlanta Braves: 64-77 (Win %: 0.454)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Seattle Mariners
- Cal Raleigh: 0.242 AVG, 52 HR, 110 RBI
- Eugenio Suarez: 0.236 AVG, 43 HR, 106 RBI
- Julio Rodriguez: 0.265 AVG, 30 HR, 86 RBI
Atlanta Braves
- Matt Olson: 0.27 AVG, 22 HR, 79 RBI
- Michael Harris II: 0.245 AVG, 17 HR, 78 RBI
- Austin Riley: 0.26 AVG, 16 HR, 54 RBI
Team Analysis
Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners’ 73-68 record reflects a team that has maintained a winning edge across the season, but their recent 1-4 skid over the last five games highlights a slump that needs correcting. Despite the downturn, the Mariners still average over four runs per game during this stretch, showing that their offense is generating chances even in losses. Cal Raleigh’s power numbers keep opponents wary, and his ability to drive the ball deep offers a stabilizing factor for a lineup that otherwise needs steadier production on the road.
Julio Rodriguez’s balanced hitting gives Seattle another critical dimension, especially when paired with Eugenio Suarez’s run-driving capability. While the Mariners have struggled away from home with a 33-41 road record, their overall offensive ceiling remains higher than Atlanta Braves’, and their superior home run production indicates they can flip tight games quickly. This profile, even amid recent inconsistency, positions them as the more reliable moneyline side in this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.241
- Total Runs Scored: 649
- Home Runs: 205
- OBP: 0.318
- SLG: 0.412
- OPS: 0.73
- ERA: 4.03
- WHIP: 1.26
Away Record: 33-41 • Home Record: 41-27
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (4.3 RPG)
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves’ 64-77 record and a 2-3 mark over the last five games illustrate a team lacking rhythm. Their offense has been capped at just 4.0 runs per game during this stretch, which prevents them from building momentum even when pitching holds up. Matt Olson has delivered power but not consistently enough to tilt outcomes, leaving the Braves vulnerable against higher-ceiling lineups.
Michael Harris II and Austin Riley offer secondary production, yet the Braves’ home record of 34-34 shows mediocrity rather than dominance on their own field. With just 159 home runs across the season, Atlanta lacks the explosive scoring punch to cover for their bullpen’s 4.37 ERA. That imbalance makes them the less trustworthy side, particularly against a Seattle team that has shown superior season-long efficiency at the plate.
- Batting Average: 0.244
- Total Runs Scored: 624
- Home Runs: 159
- OBP: 0.319
- SLG: 0.394
- OPS: 0.713
- ERA: 4.37
- WHIP: 1.31
Away Record: 30-44 • Home Record: 34-34
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (4.2 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Tied 1–1 (Last 2 games)
- September 06, 2025: SEA 10 @ ATL 2
- September 05, 2025: SEA 1 @ ATL 4
Over/Under Trends
Seattle Mariners’ last 10 games have averaged 9.5 total runs, with 5 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.5.
Atlanta Braves’ last 10 games have averaged 9.1 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 9.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Seattle Mariners’ superior power metrics and season-long win rate make them the sharper side, especially after proving their ability to break games open as seen in their recent double-digit scoring win in Atlanta. With Rodriguez and Suarez driving consistent run support, Seattle Mariners’ profile outweighs Atlanta Braves’ stagnant home form and positions them as the clear moneyline play.
Confidence sits with the Seattle Mariners based on recent profiles.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Atlanta Braves have produced 4.0 RPG and the Seattle Mariners 4.4. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 8.4 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 9.5. That points toward the Under 9.5.
Bookmakers
Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, Fanatics, BetOnline.ag, DraftKings, Caesars, MyBookie.ag, Bovada, BetMGM, BetUS, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Sep 07, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
