MLB Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies (Thursday, August 21 at 03:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | LAD | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -244 | +209 |
| Total (O/U) | 11.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (-175) | +1.5 (152) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.6 | 6.4 |
| Record | 72–54 | 36–90 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Los Angeles Dodgers · Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies’ recent surge, winning 4 of their last 5 with 6.4 runs per game, creates a sharp angle in this MLB prediction against a Dodgers team that has dropped 6 of its last 10. The Rockies’ offense has been firing at home, while Los Angeles remains inconsistent on the road with a .500 away split. With both lineups producing above 5 runs per game in recent form, this matchup sets up as a value spot for the underdog and a high-scoring environment.
Game Time
Scheduled for Thursday, August 21 at 03:10 PM ET at hitter-friendly Coors Field, where thin air inflates offense.
Odds & Spread Line
- Los Angeles Dodgers: -244
- Colorado Rockies: +209
Total: 11.5
- Run Line — Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (-175)
- Run Line — Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (+152)
Latest Team Records
Los Angeles Dodgers: 72-54 (Win %: 0.571)
Colorado Rockies: 36-90 (Win %: 0.286)
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers are missing Hyeseong Kim (Shoulder), listed as 10-Day-IL; Enrique Hernandez (Elbow), listed as 10-Day-IL; Brock Stewart (Shoulder), listed as 15-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
Colorado Rockies are missing Kyle Karros (Back), listed as Day-To-Day.
Key Player Stats
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Shohei Ohtani: 0.284 AVG, 44 HR, 83 RBI
- Freddie Freeman: 0.302 AVG, 15 HR, 70 RBI
- Andy Pages: 0.275 AVG, 20 HR, 70 RBI
Colorado Rockies
- Hunter Goodman: 0.272 AVG, 25 HR, 69 RBI
- Mickey Moniak: 0.256 AVG, 18 HR, 49 RBI
- Jordan Beck: 0.272 AVG, 14 HR, 44 RBI
Team Analysis
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers enter this game with a 72-54 record but inconsistent rhythm, dropping 6 of their last 10 contests. Their last 5 games sit at 3-2 with 5.6 runs per game, showing offensive punch but lacking sustained dominance. Shohei Ohtani continues to provide long-ball production, yet overall road form at 31-31 suggests vulnerability outside Los Angeles.
Freddie Freeman and Andy Pages add balance in the lineup, but the team’s recent inconsistency has limited their ability to string together wins. The Dodgers’ road mediocrity combined with recent uneven scoring keeps them from being a reliable favorite in this spot. Against an energized Rockies group, Los Angeles looks more like a team searching for stability than one dictating outcomes.
- Batting Average: 0.255
- Total Runs Scored: 654
- Home Runs: 187
- OBP: 0.332
- SLG: 0.44
- OPS: 0.772
- ERA: 4.12
- WHIP: 1.3
Away Record: 31-31 • Home Record: 41-24
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (5.0 RPG)
Colorado Rockies
The Rockies, despite a poor overall record, are in their best stretch of the season with 4 wins in their last 5 and 7 in their last 10. That run has been fueled by 6.4 runs per game over the last 5, highlighting a lineup that has found rhythm at home. Hunter Goodman has emerged as a consistent run producer, sparking confidence in the middle of the order.
Jordan Beck and Mickey Moniak round out a group that has been delivering timely hits in recent games, lifting Colorado Rockies’ home profile to a dangerous level. With 21 wins at Coors Field, their offense pairs naturally with the altitude-driven scoring environment. This surge positions the Rockies as the live side with momentum and situational edge against a Dodgers team that has stumbled on the road.
- Batting Average: 0.239
- Total Runs Scored: 477
- Home Runs: 131
- OBP: 0.297
- SLG: 0.395
- OPS: 0.692
- ERA: 6.0
- WHIP: 1.61
Away Record: 16-46 • Home Record: 21-44
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (6.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (4.9 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Los Angeles Dodgers lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)
- August 20, 2025: LAD 3 @ COL 8
- August 19, 2025: LAD 11 @ COL 4
- August 18, 2025: LAD 3 @ COL 4
- June 26, 2025: LAD 3 @ COL 1
- June 25, 2025: LAD 8 @ COL 1
Over/Under Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers’ last 10 games have averaged 9.7 total runs, with 2 games that would have cleared today’s total of 11.5.
Colorado Rockies’ last 10 games have averaged 9.7 combined runs, with 2 games clearing the same number of 11.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Rockies’ recent 7-3 stretch, including an 8-3 win over the Dodgers in their latest meeting, shows a team executing with confidence at Coors Field. Their offense has been far more reliable at home than Los Angeles has been on the road, and hitters like Hunter Goodman and Jordan Beck are producing in high-leverage spots. With momentum, situational advantage, and proven ability to outscore Los Angeles in this series, Colorado is the sharper side to back.
Mismatch vs perception: the Colorado Rockies at +209 are the sharper angle.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Colorado Rockies at 6.4 RPG and the Los Angeles Dodgers at 5.6, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 12.0 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 11.5. That points toward the Over 11.5.
Bookmakers
Odds courtesy of: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, Bovada, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics, BetMGM, BetRivers, BetUS.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 21, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
