MLB Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Wednesday, September 3 at 06:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | LAD | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -179 | +146 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.0 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (-105) | +1.5 (-115) |
| Last 5 RPG | 3.6 | 5.2 |
| Record | 78–59 | 61–77 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetUS, Bovada +6 more | ||
More MLB picks: Los Angeles Dodgers · Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have surged with a 7-3 record over their last 10 games, but this MLB prediction points firmly toward Los Angeles taking control. The Dodgers’ deeper lineup, powered by Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, and Andy Pages, offers a more consistent scoring ceiling than Pittsburgh Pirates’ unproven bats. With recent combined production sitting near nine runs per contest, the Over also aligns with the offensive profiles in play. The sharper side remains Los Angeles, with the total leaning strongly toward runs piling up.
Game Time
First pitch comes at Wednesday, September 3 at 06:40 PM ET at PNC Park, a slight under lean from the park profile.
Odds & Spread Line
- Los Angeles Dodgers: -179
- Pittsburgh Pirates: +146
Total: 8
- Run Line — Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (-105)
- Run Line — Pittsburgh Pirates: +1.5 (-115)
Latest Team Records
Los Angeles Dodgers: 78-59 (Win %: 0.569)
Pittsburgh Pirates: 61-77 (Win %: 0.442)
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers are missing Gavin Stone (Shoulder), listed as 60-Day-IL.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Shohei Ohtani: 0.276 AVG, 45 HR, 85 RBI
- Freddie Freeman: 0.3 AVG, 18 HR, 76 RBI
- Andy Pages: 0.275 AVG, 23 HR, 77 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
No valid hitters found.
Team Analysis
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers sit at 78-59, a record that reveals their consistency across the season and ability to rebound after difficult stretches. Their last 5 games produced a 2-3 mark with 3.6 runs per game, showing some offensive inconsistency, but the lineup’s proven talent ensures scoring upside remains intact. With Shohei Ohtani’s power, Freddie Freeman’s steady contact, and Andy Pages’ run production, Los Angeles retains the offensive depth to overwhelm a middling opponent.
On the road, the Dodgers have hovered just below .500, but their balanced approach and higher overall run production advantage them against teams lacking reliable hitters. Their last 10 games show a 5-5 record with 4.1 runs per game, pointing to a floor that still outpaces Pittsburgh when the bats connect. This situational edge, coupled with their superior season-long run totals, makes their outlook strong entering this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.252
- Total Runs Scored: 700
- Home Runs: 202
- OBP: 0.329
- SLG: 0.437
- OPS: 0.767
- ERA: 4.08
- WHIP: 1.29
Away Record: 33-34 • Home Record: 45-26
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.1 RPG)
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates’ 61-77 record reflects a season marked by inconsistency, though their recent 7-3 stretch in the last 10 games has provided a temporary lift. Their last 5 games show a 3-2 record and 5.2 runs per game, which signals better scoring rhythm at home. However, without any standout hitters in the provided data, the Pirates lack a proven bat to sustain offense against elite competition.
At PNC Park, Pittsburgh has been respectable with a 40-30 home record, but their overall production still trails the Dodgers’ season-long numbers. The Pirates’ offensive profile leans on streaks rather than reliable anchors, leaving them vulnerable when facing a deeper lineup. Against Los Angeles, their lack of star-level contributors makes it difficult to match run-for-run once the Dodgers’ offense finds rhythm.
- Batting Average: 0.234
- Total Runs Scored: 500
- Home Runs: 100
- OBP: 0.307
- SLG: 0.352
- OPS: 0.659
- ERA: 3.88
- WHIP: 1.21
Away Record: 22-47 • Home Record: 40-30
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (5.1 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Tied 2–2 (Last 4 games)
- September 02, 2025: LAD 7 @ PIT 9
- April 27, 2025: PIT 2 @ LAD 9
- April 26, 2025: PIT 4 @ LAD 8
- April 25, 2025: PIT 3 @ LAD 0
Over/Under Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers’ last 10 games have averaged 7.6 total runs, with 4 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.
Pittsburgh Pirates’ last 10 games have averaged 8.4 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 8.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Los Angeles’ superior season-long run production, balanced lineup anchored by Ohtani, Freeman, and Pages, and ability to score consistently on the road make them the sharper investment to bounce back. Despite Pittsburgh Pirates’ recent home form, the Dodgers’ proven scoring depth and track record in head-to-head matchups give them the decisive edge here.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are the sharp side on form and splits.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Pittsburgh Pirates are at 5.2 RPG and the Los Angeles Dodgers at 3.6 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 8.8 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.0. That points toward the Over 8.0.
Bookmakers
Data pulled from: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, BetMGM, Fanatics, BetUS, Bovada.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
