MLB Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Tuesday, September 2 at 06:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | LAD | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -164 | +135 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (100) | +1.5 (-120) |
| Last 5 RPG | 3.4 | 3.8 |
| Record | 78–59 | 61–77 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Los Angeles Dodgers · Pittsburgh Pirates
The Dodgers enter this matchup with a 3-2 record in their last five games, while the Pirates have matched that mark but averaged a slightly higher 3.8 RPG. That subtle edge in scoring efficiency combined with Pittsburgh Pirates’ stronger home record sets the stage for a sharp MLB prediction on the underdog. Both teams have shown limited offensive bursts, keeping most contests below high-scoring thresholds, which aligns with a value-driven look at the total.
Game Time
Coverage starts at Tuesday, September 2 at 06:40 PM ET inside PNC Park, scoring tends to flatten.
Odds & Spread Line
- Los Angeles Dodgers: -164
- Pittsburgh Pirates: +135
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (+100)
- Run Line — Pittsburgh Pirates: +1.5 (-120)
Latest Team Records
Los Angeles Dodgers: 78-59 (Win %: 0.569)
Pittsburgh Pirates: 61-77 (Win %: 0.442)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Shohei Ohtani: 0.276 AVG, 45 HR, 85 RBI
- Freddie Freeman: 0.3 AVG, 18 HR, 76 RBI
- Andy Pages: 0.275 AVG, 23 HR, 77 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Bryan Reynolds: 0.245 AVG, 14 HR, 68 RBI
- Andrew McCutchen: 0.246 AVG, 12 HR, 50 RBI
- Tommy Pham: 0.264 AVG, 8 HR, 45 RBI
Team Analysis
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers’ 3-2 record over their last five games reflects a team struggling to establish momentum, with just 3.4 runs per game in that stretch. Shohei Ohtani provides power upside, but the supporting cast has lacked consistent run production away from home. Their road record sitting at .500 emphasizes the volatility bettors face when backing them in unfamiliar settings.
Freddie Freeman has been a steady contributor, yet the lineup’s overall scoring rhythm has dipped from its season-long pace. Andy Pages has offered occasional sparks, but the Dodgers’ inability to string together multi-run innings on the road caps their ceiling. With the offense trending toward inconsistency, this matchup exposes their vulnerability against a Pirates team thriving at home.
- Batting Average: 0.252
- Total Runs Scored: 700
- Home Runs: 202
- OBP: 0.329
- SLG: 0.437
- OPS: 0.767
- ERA: 4.08
- WHIP: 1.29
Away Record: 33-33 • Home Record: 45-26
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (3.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.3 RPG)
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates’ 39-30 home record provides a clear edge, and their 7-3 mark across the last ten games highlights a team building confidence. Bryan Reynolds has been steady in producing key RBIs, while Andrew McCutchen’s timely swings have elevated the lineup’s reliability in tight contests. At 3.8 RPG over their last five, they’ve shown just enough consistency to capitalize on opponents’ lapses.
Tommy Pham adds balance to the order, giving the Pirates a dependable third option that stretches opposing staffs. Their recent offensive rhythm pairs well with an ERA under 4.00, ensuring they keep games within reach even when scoring is modest. This blend of home-field advantage and balanced production positions Pittsburgh as the sharper side against an inconsistent Dodgers road unit.
- Batting Average: 0.234
- Total Runs Scored: 500
- Home Runs: 100
- OBP: 0.307
- SLG: 0.352
- OPS: 0.659
- ERA: 3.88
- WHIP: 1.21
Away Record: 22-47 • Home Record: 39-30
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (3.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (5.1 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Los Angeles Dodgers lead 2–1 (Last 3 games)
- April 27, 2025: PIT 2 @ LAD 9
- April 26, 2025: PIT 4 @ LAD 8
- April 25, 2025: PIT 3 @ LAD 0
Over/Under Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers’ last 10 games have averaged 7.4 total runs, with 4 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Pittsburgh Pirates’ last 10 games have averaged 7.7 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Pittsburgh Pirates’ superior home form combined with a 7-3 stretch over their last ten games signals a team in better rhythm than Los Angeles. With Bryan Reynolds and Tommy Pham keeping the offense steady and the pitching staff holding opponents in check, the Pirates are the sharper moneyline side to back with confidence.
Mismatch vs perception: the Pittsburgh Pirates at +135 are the sharper angle.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Pittsburgh Pirates have produced 3.8 RPG and the Los Angeles Dodgers 3.4. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 7.2 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Under 8.5.
Bookmakers
You’ll find these markets at: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetUS, Bovada, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
MLB Predictions FAQ
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
