MLB Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres (Sunday, August 24 at 04:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | LAD | SD |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -120 | -108 |
| Total (O/U) | 7.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (151) | +1.5 (-184) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.0 | 5.6 |
| Record | 73–57 | 74–56 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Los Angeles Dodgers · San Diego Padres
The Padres ride into this matchup on a 5-0 streak averaging 5.6 runs per game, but the sharper MLB prediction leans toward the Dodgers’ superior balance. Los Angeles has steadied at 5.0 RPG across its last five, and despite a 2-3 stretch, its lineup remains loaded with impact bats that can tilt any contest. With both offenses combining for over 10 runs per game recently, the scoring environment sets up for a strong Over play while the Dodgers’ deeper offensive threats make them the side to trust.
Game Time
Game time: Sunday, August 24 at 04:10 PM ET at Petco Park, a run-suppressing coastal venue.
Odds & Spread Line
- Los Angeles Dodgers: -120
- San Diego Padres: -108
Total: 7.5
- Run Line — Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (+151)
- Run Line — San Diego Padres: +1.5 (-184)
Latest Team Records
Los Angeles Dodgers: 73-57 (Win %: 0.562)
San Diego Padres: 74-56 (Win %: 0.569)
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers are missing Tony Gonsolin (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL; Evan Phillips (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL.
The San Diego Padres are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Shohei Ohtani: 0.283 AVG, 44 HR, 83 RBI
- Freddie Freeman: 0.303 AVG, 16 HR, 72 RBI
- Andy Pages: 0.273 AVG, 21 HR, 71 RBI
San Diego Padres
- Manny Machado: 0.293 AVG, 21 HR, 78 RBI
- Ramon Laureano: 0.299 AVG, 19 HR, 59 RBI
- Ryan O’Hearn: 0.282 AVG, 16 HR, 53 RBI
Team Analysis
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers’ 2-3 mark over their last five games reflects inconsistency, but their 5.0 RPG in that span makes clear that the offense is still producing runs. With Shohei Ohtani driving power production and Freddie Freeman supplying steady contact, this lineup remains dangerous regardless of opponent. Their 32-33 road record shows they are near break-even away from home, but the offensive core keeps them in striking distance against any opponent.
Over the last 10 games, the Dodgers have played .500 baseball with a 5-5 split while averaging 4.7 RPG, demonstrating resilience even when results are mixed. Andy Pages continues to add depth to the order, giving Los Angeles multiple avenues to pressure opposing pitchers. With their run-scoring consistency intact, this group has the tools to outperform San Diego Padres’ pitching and seize control of this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.254
- Total Runs Scored: 667
- Home Runs: 191
- OBP: 0.331
- SLG: 0.44
- OPS: 0.771
- ERA: 4.15
- WHIP: 1.31
Away Record: 32-33 • Home Record: 41-24
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.7 RPG)
San Diego Padres
The Padres have surged with a perfect 5-0 run in their last five, averaging 5.6 RPG to showcase their offensive rhythm. Manny Machado is anchoring the lineup with consistent production, while Ramon Laureano adds timely hitting that lengthens the order. Their 43-21 home record confirms they thrive in front of their own crowd, giving them confidence entering this game.
Over their last 10 contests, San Diego has posted a 6-4 record with 4.8 RPG, showing steady scoring support behind Ryan O’Hearn’s contributions. While their pitching staff has maintained stability, the offense has been the primary driver of recent success. Still, facing a Dodgers team with more explosive potential across the lineup puts pressure on San Diego to sustain its elevated pace.
- Batting Average: 0.252
- Total Runs Scored: 541
- Home Runs: 110
- OBP: 0.322
- SLG: 0.385
- OPS: 0.707
- ERA: 3.52
- WHIP: 1.2
Away Record: 31-35 • Home Record: 43-21
Last 5 Games: 5-0 (5.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.8 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Los Angeles Dodgers lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)
- August 23, 2025: LAD 1 @ SD 5
- August 22, 2025: LAD 1 @ SD 2
- August 17, 2025: SD 4 @ LAD 5
- August 16, 2025: SD 0 @ LAD 6
- August 15, 2025: SD 2 @ LAD 3
Over/Under Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers’ last 10 games have averaged 8.7 total runs, with 5 games that would have cleared today’s total of 7.5.
San Diego Padres’ last 10 games have averaged 7.5 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 7.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Dodgers’ ability to generate runs consistently on the road, combined with their proven head-to-head edge, makes them the sharper moneyline side. With Ohtani, Freeman, and Pages all capable of delivering big swings, Los Angeles has more lineup depth than San Diego and matches up well against the Padres’ recent surge. The Dodgers’ balanced offense will translate into the decisive advantage here.
We’re backing the Los Angeles Dodgers to handle business.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the San Diego Padres at 5.6 RPG and the Los Angeles Dodgers at 5.0, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 10.6 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 7.5. That points toward the Over 7.5.
Bookmakers
Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Fanatics, BetMGM, Bovada, BetUS, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 24, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
