MLB Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Seattle Mariners (Saturday, September 27 at 09:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | LAD | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +103 | -114 |
| Total (O/U) | 7.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-215) | -1.5 (175) |
| Last 5 RPG | 4.2 | 5.6 |
| Record | 90–69 | 90–69 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +6 more | ||
More MLB picks: Los Angeles Dodgers · Seattle Mariners
Seattle enters this interleague matchup against Los Angeles with a surge in production, averaging 5.6 runs per game across their last five contests. That offensive lift contrasts with the Dodgers’ more modest 4.2 RPG in the same span, setting the tone for a high-scoring environment. With both clubs locked at 90-69 and this MLB prediction leaning on recent form, the Mariners’ efficiency at home and consistent scoring profile give them the edge.
Game Time
Set for Saturday, September 27 at 09:40 PM ET inside T-Mobile Park, unders stay live.
Odds & Spread Line
- Los Angeles Dodgers: +103
- Seattle Mariners: -114
Total: 7.5
- Run Line — Los Angeles Dodgers: +1.5 (-215)
- Run Line — Seattle Mariners: -1.5 (+175)
Latest Team Records
Los Angeles Dodgers: 90-69 (Win %: 0.566)
Seattle Mariners: 90-69 (Win %: 0.566)
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers are missing Tommy Edman (Ankle), listed as Day-To-Day; Kirby Yates (Hamstring), listed as 15-Day-IL.
Seattle Mariners are missing Bryan Woo (Pectoral), listed as Day-To-Day; Logan Evans (Elbow), listed as 15-Day-IL; Ryan Bliss (Knee), listed as 60-Day-IL; Gregory Santos (Knee), listed as 60-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
Key Player Stats
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Shohei Ohtani: 0.28 AVG, 54 HR, 101 RBI
- Freddie Freeman: 0.293 AVG, 23 HR, 88 RBI
- Andy Pages: 0.276 AVG, 27 HR, 85 RBI
Seattle Mariners
- Cal Raleigh: 0.247 AVG, 60 HR, 125 RBI
- Eugenio Suarez: 0.233 AVG, 49 HR, 117 RBI
- Julio Rodriguez: 0.268 AVG, 32 HR, 95 RBI
Team Analysis
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games, averaging 4.2 runs per contest, showing a balanced but unspectacular rhythm. Their 7-3 stretch over the last 10 highlights solid consistency, yet their 39-40 road record signals vulnerability away from home. With Shohei Ohtani driving power and Freddie Freeman anchoring steady production, the lineup has enough punch but lacks the same efficiency it shows at home.
Andy Pages adds a needed layer of depth, but the Dodgers’ away struggles cap their upside in this spot. The recent scoring trend is respectable, yet it fails to match Seattle Mariners’ surge, making them less reliable in a high-leverage setting. Confidence is tempered by travel factors and the Mariners’ ability to outpace them offensively at home.
- Batting Average: 0.253
- Total Runs Scored: 814
- Home Runs: 240
- OBP: 0.328
- SLG: 0.44
- OPS: 0.768
- ERA: 3.98
- WHIP: 1.26
Away Record: 39-40 • Home Record: 52-29
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (4.7 RPG)
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners have surged to a 4-1 mark in their last 5 games, averaging 5.6 runs per outing to separate themselves offensively. Their 8-2 record across the last 10 confirms momentum, with Cal Raleigh’s power production setting the tone for run creation. A 51-28 home record further cements their edge, as they consistently maximize scoring opportunities in this environment.
Julio Rodriguez adds balance with reliable contact, while Eugenio Suarez deepens the lineup’s threat profile. The Mariners’ ability to sustain nearly six runs per game recently makes them a confident play in this matchup, especially against a Dodgers team that has been less effective on the road. Their rhythm, combined with elite home form, makes them the stronger betting angle.
- Batting Average: 0.245
- Total Runs Scored: 762
- Home Runs: 237
- OBP: 0.321
- SLG: 0.422
- OPS: 0.743
- ERA: 3.85
- WHIP: 1.22
Away Record: 39-42 • Home Record: 51-28
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (5.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 8-2 (5.7 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Los Angeles Dodgers lead 1–0 (Most recent game)
- September 26, 2025: LAD 3 @ SEA 2
Over/Under Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers’ last 10 games have averaged 7.9 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 7.5.
Seattle Mariners’ last 10 games have averaged 8.6 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same number of 7.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Seattle Mariners’ 8-2 stretch over the last 10, combined with a dominant 51-28 home record, makes them the sharper side against a Dodgers team with a losing road mark. With Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodriguez driving an offense averaging 5.6 RPG in recent play, the Mariners’ current form and venue advantage position them as the decisive moneyline pick.
Markets point to the Seattle Mariners as the correct angle.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Seattle Mariners at 5.6 RPG and the Los Angeles Dodgers at 4.2, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 9.8 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 7.5. That points toward the Over 7.5.
Bookmakers
MLB Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics, BetMGM, DraftKings, BetRivers, Caesars, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, BetUS.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Sep 27, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
How does Parlamaz make Los Angeles Dodgers vs Seattle Mariners MLB predictions?
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