MLB Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Minnesota Twins (Saturday, September 13 at 07:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | ARI | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +118 | -143 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.0 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-185) | -1.5 (150) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.0 | 6.2 |
| Record | 73–75 | 65–82 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Arizona Diamondbacks · Minnesota Twins
The Minnesota Twins and Arizona Diamondbacks enter this interleague matchup with distinctly different recent rhythms, making this an actionable MLB prediction. Minnesota has produced 6.2 runs per game across its last five, while Arizona has dipped to 1-4 in that same span despite averaging 5.0 runs. With Minnesota showing sharper home balance and Arizona struggling on the road, the metrics point directly to the Twins holding the betting edge with scoring volume high enough to support the Over.
Game Time
Scheduled for Saturday, September 13 at 07:10 PM ET inside Target Field, carry is often trimmed.
Odds & Spread Line
- Arizona Diamondbacks: +118
- Minnesota Twins: -143
Total: 8
- Run Line — Arizona Diamondbacks: +1.5 (-185)
- Run Line — Minnesota Twins: -1.5 (+150)
Latest Team Records
Arizona Diamondbacks: 73-75 (Win %: 0.493)
Minnesota Twins: 65-82 (Win %: 0.442)
Injury Report
Arizona Diamondbacks are missing Ketel Marte (Foot), listed as Day-To-Day; Tyler Locklear (Elbow), listed as 10-Day-IL; Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Knee), listed as 10-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
The Minnesota Twins are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Geraldo Perdomo: 0.284 AVG, 18 HR, 93 RBI
- Corbin Carroll: 0.254 AVG, 30 HR, 74 RBI
- Ketel Marte: 0.281 AVG, 25 HR, 65 RBI
Minnesota Twins
- Byron Buxton: 0.275 AVG, 31 HR, 76 RBI
- Trevor Larnach: 0.256 AVG, 16 HR, 57 RBI
- Brooks Lee: 0.238 AVG, 14 HR, 57 RBI
Team Analysis
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks’ 1-4 mark across their last five games highlights a team struggling to string together results despite pushing across 5.0 runs per outing. Their 35-41 road record reveals that inconsistency, as production from Geraldo Perdomo and Corbin Carroll has not consistently translated into wins away from home. With Ketel Marte’s availability uncertain, their offensive rhythm becomes even more volatile in this setting.
Over the last 10 games, Arizona has split at 5-5 with 5.2 runs per game, signaling a team that scores but fails to convert output into consistent victories. Their pitching staff’s 4.47 ERA and 1.32 WHIP leave little margin for error, particularly against a Minnesota lineup that has been scoring well at home. The Diamondbacks simply lack the road stability required to back them reliably in this contest.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 724
- Home Runs: 199
- OBP: 0.323
- SLG: 0.434
- OPS: 0.757
- ERA: 4.47
- WHIP: 1.32
Away Record: 35-41 • Home Record: 38-34
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (5.2 RPG)
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have been steadier at home, entering this matchup with a 36-36 record in Minneapolis and averaging 6.2 runs across their last five contests. Byron Buxton’s consistent power has been central to their scoring surge, while Trevor Larnach has added reliable production to keep pressure on opposing pitchers. That recent 3-2 stretch demonstrates a team capable of capitalizing on offensive rhythm against a vulnerable staff like Arizona Diamondbacks’.
Over their last 10, Minnesota sits at 3-7 overall but still managed 4.8 runs per game, showing that scoring volume remains intact despite results. Brooks Lee has provided supplemental offense, keeping their lineup deep enough to exploit Arizona Diamondbacks’ pitching. With balanced run production at home and a head-to-head edge already established, the Twins carry the sharper betting profile into this contest.
- Batting Average: 0.239
- Total Runs Scored: 617
- Home Runs: 173
- OBP: 0.312
- SLG: 0.398
- OPS: 0.71
- ERA: 4.6
- WHIP: 1.33
Away Record: 29-46 • Home Record: 36-36
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (6.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (4.8 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Minnesota Twins lead 1–0 (Most recent game)
- September 12, 2025: ARI 8 @ MIN 9
Over/Under Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks’ last 10 games have averaged 10.3 total runs, with 5 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.
Minnesota Twins’ last 10 games have averaged 11.6 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same number of 8.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Minnesota Twins’ ability to generate over six runs per game in its last five and split results at home makes them the superior side against an Arizona team that has faltered on the road. With Buxton leading a lineup that has already outscored the Diamondbacks in their most recent meeting, the Twins’ home production and scoring consistency give them the sharper betting edge.
The Minnesota Twins are the sharp side on form and splits.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Minnesota Twins at 6.2 RPG and the Arizona Diamondbacks at 5.0, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 11.2 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.0. That points toward the Over 8.0.
Bookmakers
These lines come from: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, DraftKings, Bovada, BetMGM, Fanatics, BetUS, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Sep 13, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
