MLB Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies (Thursday, August 14 at 08:40 PM ET)
Introduction
Colorado Rockies’ recent 2-3 mark over the last five hasn’t masked an ability to keep contests within reach, and with Arizona riding a 4-1 surge, this MLB prediction zeros in on where the market is off. The Diamondbacks’ road form sits under .500, while the Rockies have shown they can disrupt higher‑scoring opponents in this matchup. With combined recent output sitting under the lofty total, the value tilts toward a disciplined home side capable of controlling tempo.
Game Time
Taking place at Thursday, August 14 at 08:40 PM ET inside Coors Field, balls jump and totals rise.
Odds & Spread Line
- Arizona Diamondbacks: -175
- Colorado Rockies: +143
Total: 12
- Run Line — Arizona Diamondbacks: -1.5 (-118)
- Run Line — Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (-102)
Latest Team Records
Arizona Diamondbacks: 59-62 (Win %: 0.488)
Colorado Rockies: 32-88 (Win %: 0.267)
Injury Report
Arizona Diamondbacks are missing Anthony DeSclafani (Thumb), listed as 15-Day-IL; Ildemaro Vargas (Foot), listed as 10-Day-IL.
Colorado Rockies are missing Ryan Ritter (Finger), listed as 10-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Geraldo Perdomo: 0.286 AVG, 12 HR, 78 RBI
- Ketel Marte: 0.289 AVG, 22 HR, 50 RBI
- Corbin Carroll: 0.248 AVG, 26 HR, 62 RBI
Colorado Rockies
- Hunter Goodman: 0.275 AVG, 23 HR, 66 RBI
- Mickey Moniak: 0.261 AVG, 17 HR, 45 RBI
- Jordan Beck: 0.274 AVG, 14 HR, 42 RBI
Team Analysis
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks’ 4-1 run over the last five games shows they’ve been productive recently, averaging 6.8 runs per game in that stretch. Ketel Marte has been central to their offensive push, keeping innings alive and producing timely hits. However, their 29-32 road record underlines a vulnerability away from home that can be exploited, especially against a team familiar with altitude adjustments.
Corbin Carroll’s power threat adds depth to the lineup, but the Diamondbacks’ road inconsistencies remain a concern for backers expecting a repeat of recent scoring surges. Geraldo Perdomo’s consistency at the plate offers stability, yet the context of visiting a Rockies team eager to reverse recent trends creates a tougher environment than the records suggest. The combination of travel and opponent-specific matchup factors tempers expectations despite their current win streak.
- Batting Average: 0.251
- Total Runs Scored: 589
- Home Runs: 168
- OBP: 0.326
- SLG: 0.441
- OPS: 0.766
- ERA: 4.54
- WHIP: 1.34
Away Record: 29-32 • Home Record: 30-30
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (6.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (5.9 RPG)
Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies’ 2-3 mark in their last five isn’t flattering, but the 4.4 RPG in that span shows they’ve kept competitive at home. Hunter Goodman’s ability to drive in runs has been a consistent factor, giving the Rockies a chance to dictate pace against higher‑scoring opponents. Their 16 home wins may look modest, yet they’ve delivered key upsets in this venue when overlooked.
Mickey Moniak’s extra-base potential and Jordan Beck’s steady contact rates provide the Rockies with multiple avenues to pressure opposing pitchers. While the season record is lopsided, the combination of familiar conditions and targeted offensive execution makes them a dangerous underdog here. This setting offers the Rockies the right circumstances to convert situational hitting into a decisive edge.
- Batting Average: 0.237
- Total Runs Scored: 441
- Home Runs: 121
- OBP: 0.296
- SLG: 0.391
- OPS: 0.686
- ERA: 6.01
- WHIP: 1.62
Away Record: 16-46 • Home Record: 16-42
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 2-8 (3.4 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Arizona Diamondbacks lead 4–1 (Last 5 games)
- August 10, 2025: COL 6 @ ARI 13
- August 09, 2025: COL 5 @ ARI 6
- August 08, 2025: COL 1 @ ARI 6
- June 22, 2025: ARI 2 @ COL 4
- June 21, 2025: ARI 5 @ COL 3
Over/Under Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks’ last 10 games have averaged 10.3 total runs, with 3 games that would have cleared today’s total of 12.0.
Colorado Rockies’ last 10 games have averaged 12.1 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 12.0.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Colorado Rockies’ ability to stay within striking distance in recent home games, paired with key production from Hunter Goodman and Mickey Moniak, sets them up to outperform market expectations. Arizona Diamondbacks’ sub-.500 road record and reliance on maintaining an unsustainably high recent scoring rate create a window for the Rockies to control the game’s rhythm. This matchup’s situational edges and player-driven strengths point squarely to Colorado as the value side to back.
Mismatch vs perception: the Colorado Rockies at +143 are the sharper angle.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Colorado Rockies have produced 4.4 RPG and the Arizona Diamondbacks 6.8. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 11.2 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 12.0. That leans to a Under 12.0.
Bookmakers
Data pulled from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetMGM, BetUS, Fanatics, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How does Parlamaz make Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 14, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Avoid parlays unless edges stack; never risk what you can’t afford to lose.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
