MLB Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers (Sunday, August 31 at 04:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | ARI | LAD |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +200 | -238 |
| Total (O/U) | 9.0 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-115) | -1.5 (-105) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.2 | 3.8 |
| Record | 68–69 | 77–59 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona comes in hot with a 4-1 record over its last five games, but the Dodgers’ overall balance and home dominance frame this MLB prediction. The Diamondbacks have been scoring at a steady 5.2 runs per game recently, yet Los Angeles continues to control matchups at Dodger Stadium with a 44-26 home mark. With both clubs playing competitive baseball, the sharper betting edge points toward the Dodgers’ ability to dictate pace and keep the total under control.
Game Time
Game time: Sunday, August 31 at 04:10 PM ET at Dodger Stadium, a balanced venue where matchups drive scoring.
Odds & Spread Line
- Arizona Diamondbacks: +200
- Los Angeles Dodgers: -238
Total: 9
- Run Line — Arizona Diamondbacks: +1.5 (-115)
- Run Line — Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (-105)
Latest Team Records
Arizona Diamondbacks: 68-69 (Win %: 0.496)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 77-59 (Win %: 0.566)
Injury Report
Arizona Diamondbacks are missing James McCann (Undisclosed), listed as Day-To-Day; Pavin Smith (Quadriceps), listed as 10-Day-IL; Ryan Thompson (Shoulder), listed as 15-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
Los Angeles Dodgers are missing Alex Vesia (Oblique), listed as 15-Day-IL; Tony Gonsolin (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Geraldo Perdomo: 0.288 AVG, 15 HR, 87 RBI
- Ketel Marte: 0.289 AVG, 23 HR, 60 RBI
- Corbin Carroll: 0.254 AVG, 27 HR, 67 RBI
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Shohei Ohtani: 0.278 AVG, 45 HR, 85 RBI
- Freddie Freeman: 0.3 AVG, 18 HR, 75 RBI
- Andy Pages: 0.275 AVG, 23 HR, 75 RBI
Team Analysis
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have surged with a 4-1 record in their last five contests and a 7-3 mark across their past ten, reflecting a consistent offensive rhythm. Geraldo Perdomo has been a steady contributor, and Ketel Marte continues to provide balance in the lineup that has been averaging over five runs per game recently. However, their road record of 34-37 highlights vulnerability when away from home, and that remains a betting concern against a team as efficient as Los Angeles at Dodger Stadium.
Corbin Carroll’s power adds another layer of threat, but the Diamondbacks’ pitching staff has been inconsistent, which risks being exposed by a disciplined Dodgers lineup. Their 670 total runs scored this season show they can generate offense, but maintaining that pace against a top-tier opponent on the road is less reliable. Despite the recent hot streak, the away struggles suggest regression in this spot, making them a risky side for bettors.
- Batting Average: 0.251
- Total Runs Scored: 670
- Home Runs: 187
- OBP: 0.324
- SLG: 0.437
- OPS: 0.762
- ERA: 4.5
- WHIP: 1.33
Away Record: 34-37 • Home Record: 34-32
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (5.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (5.1 RPG)
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers hold a strong 44-26 home record, and even with a modest 3-2 stretch over their last five games, they remain the more stable side. Shohei Ohtani’s power has been a difference-maker all season, and his presence forces opposing pitchers into mistakes. That stability, combined with a lineup that still averages 4.1 runs per game over the last ten, highlights their ability to dictate tempo in front of their home crowd.
Freddie Freeman’s consistency adds another layer of reliability, while Andy Pages has quietly provided timely production that balances the order. Despite a .500 mark in their last ten games, the Dodgers’ home form and deeper lineup make them the better-positioned team to capitalize on scoring opportunities. With a pitching staff allowing just over four runs per game, Los Angeles is well-equipped to control the Diamondbacks’ recent surge and secure a home win.
- Batting Average: 0.252
- Total Runs Scored: 694
- Home Runs: 201
- OBP: 0.329
- SLG: 0.439
- OPS: 0.768
- ERA: 4.07
- WHIP: 1.29
Away Record: 33-33 • Home Record: 44-26
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (3.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.1 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Tied 4–4 (Last 8 games)
- August 30, 2025: ARI 6 @ LAD 1
- August 29, 2025: ARI 3 @ LAD 0
- May 21, 2025: ARI 1 @ LAD 3
- May 20, 2025: ARI 3 @ LAD 4
- May 19, 2025: ARI 9 @ LAD 5
- May 11, 2025: LAD 8 @ ARI 1
- May 10, 2025: LAD 0 @ ARI 3
- May 09, 2025: LAD 14 @ ARI 11
Over/Under Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks’ last 10 games have averaged 8.8 total runs, with 5 games that would have cleared today’s total of 9.
Los Angeles Dodgers’ last 10 games have averaged 7.6 combined runs, with 3 games clearing the same number of 9.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Dodgers’ 44-26 home record, combined with steady production from Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman, gives them the superior edge against a Diamondbacks team that falters on the road. With Los Angeles holding opponents to just over four runs per game and maintaining consistent offensive balance, they are positioned to control this contest decisively.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are the sharp side on form and splits.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Los Angeles Dodgers at 3.8 RPG and the Arizona Diamondbacks at 5.2, giving context for the number.
With both clubs averaging 9.0 runs per game recently, we’re expecting a closeUnder 9.0 outcome.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
How does Parlamaz make Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
