Introduction

More MLB picks: Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Dodgers

Arizona Diamondbacks’ recent surge, going 7-3 over their last 10 with 5.1 runs per game, signals a live underdog in this MLB prediction against Los Angeles. The Dodgers have been steady at 6-4 in that same span, but Arizona Diamondbacks’ offensive rhythm and balanced production give them a sharper betting edge. With both lineups consistently generating five or more runs per contest, this matchup profiles as one where value lies with the road dog and a total that trends above expectations.

Game Time

The action begins at Saturday, August 30 at 09:10 PM ET inside Dodger Stadium, totals often track with starting pitching.

Odds & Spread Line

• Arizona Diamondbacks: +186
• Los Angeles Dodgers: -213

Total: 8.5

• Run Line — Arizona Diamondbacks: +1.5 (-110)
• Run Line — Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (-110)

Latest Team Records

Arizona Diamondbacks: 66-69 (Win %: 0.489)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 77-57 (Win %: 0.575)

Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks are missing James McCann (Undisclosed), listed as Day-To-Day; Pavin Smith (Quadriceps), listed as 10-Day-IL.

Los Angeles Dodgers are missing Alex Vesia (Oblique), listed as 15-Day-IL; Brock Stewart (Shoulder), listed as 15-Day-IL.

Key Player Stats

Arizona Diamondbacks

• Geraldo Perdomo: 0.29 AVG, 15 HR, 87 RBI
• Ketel Marte: 0.289 AVG, 23 HR, 60 RBI
• Corbin Carroll: 0.254 AVG, 27 HR, 67 RBI

Los Angeles Dodgers

• Shohei Ohtani: 0.278 AVG, 45 HR, 85 RBI
• Freddie Freeman: 0.302 AVG, 18 HR, 75 RBI
• Andy Pages: 0.275 AVG, 23 HR, 75 RBI

Team Analysis

Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona Diamondbacks’ 3-2 mark over the last five games shows a team holding steady while averaging 5.0 runs per outing. Their 7-3 stretch across the last 10 demonstrates that the offense is finding consistency, with Ketel Marte anchoring the lineup and providing timely power. On the road, the Diamondbacks have been competitive, and their ability to generate balanced production gives them the tools to attack Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff effectively.

Geraldo Perdomo’s run production adds depth to the order, while Corbin Carroll’s power-speed blend ensures Arizona can pressure defenses in multiple ways. The Diamondbacks’ 33-37 road record is serviceable when paired with their current scoring rhythm, and their track record against the Dodgers suggests they can deliver another strong result. This combination of offensive balance and improved form makes them a sharper betting side despite being listed as underdogs.

• Batting Average: 0.251
• Total Runs Scored: 667
• Home Runs: 186
• OBP: 0.325
• SLG: 0.438
• OPS: 0.763
• ERA: 4.54
• WHIP: 1.33

Away Record: 33-37 • Home Record: 34-32
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (5.1 RPG)

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers’ 4-1 record in their last five reflects momentum, with 5.2 runs per game showing that the offense is producing at a steady clip. Shohei Ohtani’s power remains a central threat, giving Los Angeles a consistent middle-order advantage. At home, their 44-25 record drives home their reliability, though recent head-to-head results show Arizona has solved their pitching on multiple occasions.

Freddie Freeman’s contact ability and Andy Pages’ run production round out a lineup that thrives in high-scoring environments. However, despite their overall strong home form, the Dodgers have dropped multiple games to Arizona in recent meetings, exposing vulnerabilities when the Diamondbacks’ offense is locked in. This context tempers Los Angeles Dodgers’ perceived dominance and highlights value on the visiting side.

• Batting Average: 0.253
• Total Runs Scored: 694
• Home Runs: 201
• OBP: 0.33
• SLG: 0.441
• OPS: 0.771
• ERA: 4.08
• WHIP: 1.29

Away Record: 33-33 • Home Record: 44-25
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (5.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.1 RPG)

Head-to-Head History

Tied 4–4 (Last 8 games)

• August 29, 2025: ARI 3 @ LAD 0
• May 21, 2025: ARI 1 @ LAD 3
• May 20, 2025: ARI 3 @ LAD 4
• May 19, 2025: ARI 9 @ LAD 5
• May 11, 2025: LAD 8 @ ARI 1
• May 10, 2025: LAD 0 @ ARI 3
• May 09, 2025: LAD 14 @ ARI 11
• May 08, 2025: LAD 3 @ ARI 5

Over/Under Trends

Arizona Diamondbacks’ last 10 games have averaged 9.2 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.

Los Angeles Dodgers’ last 10 games have averaged 8.4 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Arizona Diamondbacks’ 7-3 surge across their last 10, combined with multiple head-to-head wins over Los Angeles this season, shows they are equipped to exploit this matchup. With Perdomo and Carroll contributing run production alongside Marte’s stability, the Diamondbacks’ balanced offense makes them the sharper side to back against a Dodgers team that has been vulnerable to their scoring rhythm.

Trend and context support the Arizona Diamondbacks at +186 as the bet.

Over/Under Prediction

Last five form shows the Los Angeles Dodgers at 5.2 RPG and the Arizona Diamondbacks at 5.0, giving context for the number.

These teams are combining for 10.2 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Over 8.5

Bookmakers

MLB odds sourced from: FanDuel, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetMGM, BetUS, BetRivers.

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John TamburinoVerified

Lead Analyst — data-first, former college baseball.

John Tamburino grew up on travel baseball and three years of varsity basketball, then played college baseball before shifting to analytics. He still watches everything—from weekday tennis to all major league sports—and will never forget the Diamondbacks’ 2001 run. At Parlamaz, John blends trusted data feeds with matchup context to find real value—no fluff, no paywalls.

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