MLB Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers (Friday, August 29 at 10:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | ARI | LAD |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +155 | -189 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-130) | -1.5 (110) |
| Last 5 RPG | 4.6 | 5.4 |
| Record | 65–69 | 77–57 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have averaged 5.4 runs per game over their last five, while the Diamondbacks are producing 4.6, setting up a high-scoring environment for this MLB prediction. Arizona Diamondbacks’ offense has shown balance over the past ten games, and their recent road scoring suggests they can push Los Angeles out of rhythm. With the Dodgers’ recent home surge offset by Arizona Diamondbacks’ versatility, the value lies in backing the Diamondbacks to carry momentum into this matchup while expecting runs to flow on both sides.
Game Time
Set for Friday, August 29 at 10:10 PM ET inside Dodger Stadium, totals often track with starting pitching.
Odds & Spread Line
- Arizona Diamondbacks: +155
- Los Angeles Dodgers: -189
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Arizona Diamondbacks: +1.5 (-130)
- Run Line — Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (+110)
Latest Team Records
Arizona Diamondbacks: 65-69 (Win %: 0.485)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 77-57 (Win %: 0.575)
Injury Report
Arizona Diamondbacks are missing Pavin Smith (Quadriceps), listed as Out; Ryan Thompson (Shoulder), listed as 15-Day-IL.
Los Angeles Dodgers are missing Hyeseong Kim (Shoulder), listed as 10-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Geraldo Perdomo: 0.293 AVG, 15 HR, 87 RBI
- Ketel Marte: 0.29 AVG, 23 HR, 60 RBI
- Corbin Carroll: 0.256 AVG, 27 HR, 67 RBI
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Shohei Ohtani: 0.278 AVG, 45 HR, 85 RBI
- Freddie Freeman: 0.302 AVG, 18 HR, 75 RBI
- Andy Pages: 0.275 AVG, 23 HR, 75 RBI
Team Analysis
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks’ last 5 games show a 2-3 record with 4.6 runs per game, reflecting a team that has been competitive despite mixed outcomes. Geraldo Perdomo’s steady production keeps the lineup balanced, and his consistency provides a reliable spark when the team needs offense. On the road, Arizona has been capable of translating baserunners into runs, which is critical against a Dodgers team that thrives at home.
Over the last 10 games, the Diamondbacks are 6-4 with 4.9 runs per game, underscoring their ability to generate offense against varied pitching staffs. Ketel Marte’s power presence has been a difference-maker, giving their order a dangerous middle that can flip momentum quickly. With Corbin Carroll adding speed and run creation, Arizona Diamondbacks’ offensive versatility provides the tools to outpace Los Angeles in a high-scoring setting.
- Batting Average: 0.251
- Total Runs Scored: 661
- Home Runs: 186
- OBP: 0.324
- SLG: 0.439
- OPS: 0.764
- ERA: 4.56
- WHIP: 1.33
Away Record: 32-37 • Home Record: 34-32
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.9 RPG)
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have gone 4-1 in their last 5 games with 5.4 runs per game, showing a strong rhythm at the plate. Shohei Ohtani’s power has been central to their scoring surge, with his ability to change games in a single swing. Playing at home has amplified their offensive confidence, making them difficult to contain when they get early production.
Across their last 10 games, Los Angeles is 6-4 with the same 5.4 runs per game, confirming a stable scoring profile. Freddie Freeman’s steady contact skills complement Ohtani’s power, while Andy Pages adds depth to the order that prevents opposing pitchers from finding easy outs. Even with their strong form, the Dodgers’ bullpen and pitching metrics leave openings that Arizona Diamondbacks’ balanced lineup can exploit.
- Batting Average: 0.253
- Total Runs Scored: 694
- Home Runs: 201
- OBP: 0.33
- SLG: 0.441
- OPS: 0.771
- ERA: 4.08
- WHIP: 1.29
Away Record: 33-33 • Home Record: 44-24
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (5.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (5.4 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Los Angeles Dodgers lead 4–3 (Last 7 games)
- May 21, 2025: ARI 1 @ LAD 3
- May 20, 2025: ARI 3 @ LAD 4
- May 19, 2025: ARI 9 @ LAD 5
- May 11, 2025: LAD 8 @ ARI 1
- May 10, 2025: LAD 0 @ ARI 3
- May 09, 2025: LAD 14 @ ARI 11
- May 08, 2025: LAD 3 @ ARI 5
Over/Under Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks’ last 10 games have averaged 9.3 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Los Angeles Dodgers’ last 10 games have averaged 8.8 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Arizona Diamondbacks’ recent 6-4 stretch paired with their ability to score nearly five runs per game positions them as the sharper side against a Dodgers team that has been strong but not invulnerable. With Perdomo, Marte, and Carroll providing consistent run creation, the Diamondbacks’ balanced offense is equipped to outperform expectations and deliver another statement win in Los Angeles.
Form and matchup create value on the Arizona Diamondbacks at +155.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Los Angeles Dodgers are at 5.4 RPG and the Arizona Diamondbacks at 4.6 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 10.0 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Over 8.5.
Bookmakers
Find these odds at: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
