MLB Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers (Wednesday, August 27 at 07:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | ARI | MIL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +123 | -154 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 (143) |
| Last 5 RPG | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| Record | 64–68 | 82–50 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Arizona Diamondbacks · Milwaukee Brewers
The Diamondbacks’ last five contests have delivered 6.0 runs per game, a pace that keeps their offense firmly in betting focus for this MLB prediction against Milwaukee. While the Brewers have been steady at 5.0 RPG, Arizona Diamondbacks’ lineup has shown more recent scoring punch, making them an undervalued side. With both clubs trending toward higher totals, this matchup analysis points directly to Arizona controlling value on the moneyline and the Over carrying momentum on the total.
Game Time
Slated for Wednesday, August 27 at 07:40 PM ET inside American Family Field, indoor air keeps offense lively.
Odds & Spread Line
- Arizona Diamondbacks: +123
- Milwaukee Brewers: -154
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Arizona Diamondbacks: +1.5 (-170)
- Run Line — Milwaukee Brewers: -1.5 (+143)
Latest Team Records
Arizona Diamondbacks: 64-68 (Win %: 0.485)
Milwaukee Brewers: 82-50 (Win %: 0.621)
Injury Report
Arizona Diamondbacks are missing Ryan Thompson (Shoulder), listed as 15-Day-IL; Anthony DeSclafani (Thumb), listed as 15-Day-IL; Kevin Ginkel (Shoulder), listed as 60-Day-IL; Tommy Henry (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
Milwaukee Brewers are missing DL Hall (Oblique), listed as 15-Day-IL; Rhys Hoskins (Thumb), listed as 10-Day-IL; Logan Henderson (Elbow), listed as 15-Day-IL; Rob Zastryzny (Ribs), listed as 15-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
Key Player Stats
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Geraldo Perdomo: 0.29 AVG, 14 HR, 84 RBI
- Ketel Marte: 0.29 AVG, 23 HR, 59 RBI
- Corbin Carroll: 0.256 AVG, 27 HR, 66 RBI
Milwaukee Brewers
- Christian Yelich: 0.269 AVG, 26 HR, 90 RBI
- Jackson Chourio: 0.276 AVG, 17 HR, 67 RBI
- Brice Turang: 0.285 AVG, 14 HR, 65 RBI
Team Analysis
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks enter with a 2-3 mark over their last five games, producing 6.0 runs per contest. That scoring consistency, even during a losing stretch, makes clear their ability to create offense regardless of outcome. Ketel Marte’s steady production has kept Arizona competitive, and on the road they’ve shown just enough spark to pressure Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff.
Across the last 10 games, Arizona sits at 4-6 with 5.2 RPG, which reflects a lineup that continues to generate runs despite uneven results. Geraldo Perdomo and Corbin Carroll have both chipped in timely power, giving the order multidimensional threats. Against a Brewers team that leans on pitching efficiency, Arizona Diamondbacks’ run output positions them as the sharper moneyline play in this spot.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 650
- Home Runs: 183
- OBP: 0.324
- SLG: 0.438
- OPS: 0.762
- ERA: 4.54
- WHIP: 1.33
Away Record: 30-37 • Home Record: 34-32
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (6.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (5.2 RPG)
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers hold a strong home record at 45-22, but their last five games show a 3-2 split with 5.0 RPG, signaling more balanced than dominant play. Christian Yelich remains central to their offense, but the lineup overall has not consistently broken open games in recent outings. That leaves them vulnerable against an Arizona attack that has been more explosive of late.
Over their last 10 contests, Milwaukee is 5-5 with 4.4 RPG, a pace that lags behind Arizona Diamondbacks’ recent scoring surge. Jackson Chourio has provided sparks, while Brice Turang adds reliable contact, yet the group has lacked the same multi-run innings that the Diamondbacks have delivered. With Arizona Diamondbacks’ bats trending hotter, Milwaukee Brewers’ slight stagnation at the plate gives the edge to the visitors on the moneyline.
- Batting Average: 0.257
- Total Runs Scored: 673
- Home Runs: 140
- OBP: 0.332
- SLG: 0.404
- OPS: 0.736
- ERA: 3.58
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 38-28 • Home Record: 45-22
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.4 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Milwaukee Brewers lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)
- August 26, 2025: ARI 8 @ MIL 9
- August 25, 2025: ARI 5 @ MIL 7
- April 13, 2025: MIL 2 @ ARI 5
- April 12, 2025: MIL 4 @ ARI 5
- April 11, 2025: MIL 7 @ ARI 0
Over/Under Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks’ last 10 games have averaged 10.6 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Milwaukee Brewers’ last 10 games have averaged 8.7 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Arizona Diamondbacks’ lineup has been producing at a higher run rate than Milwaukee in recent games, and that sustained scoring puts them in position to outpace a Brewers team playing closer to league-average offense. With consistent contributions from Ketel Marte, Geraldo Perdomo, and Corbin Carroll, the Diamondbacks present the more reliable path to victory despite Milwaukee Brewers’ stronger season record.
Value-side alert: the Arizona Diamondbacks at +123 profile as the play.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Milwaukee Brewers have produced 5.0 RPG and the Arizona Diamondbacks 6.0. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 11.0 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5 That points toward the Over 8.5.
Bookmakers
MLB odds sourced from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetMGM, BetUS, Fanatics.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
