MLB Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers (Tuesday, August 26 at 07:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | ARI | MIL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +130 | -154 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.0 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-158) | -1.5 (135) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| Record | 64–67 | 81–50 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetUS, Bovada +6 more | ||
More MLB picks: Arizona Diamondbacks · Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers’ 44-22 home record is a decisive edge against an Arizona team that has dropped more road games than it has won, setting the tone for this MLB prediction. The Diamondbacks have averaged 5.0 runs per game across their last five, but their inconsistency over a 4-6 stretch in the last ten highlights volatility. By contrast, the Brewers’ balance of steady run prevention and timely production makes them the more reliable side, especially with both teams trending toward higher totals in recent weeks.
Game Time
Opening pitch at Tuesday, August 26 at 07:40 PM ET inside American Family Field, indoor air keeps offense lively.
Odds & Spread Line
- Arizona Diamondbacks: +130
- Milwaukee Brewers: -154
Total: 8
- Run Line — Arizona Diamondbacks: +1.5 (-158)
- Run Line — Milwaukee Brewers: -1.5 (+135)
Latest Team Records
Arizona Diamondbacks: 64-67 (Win %: 0.489)
Milwaukee Brewers: 81-50 (Win %: 0.618)
Injury Report
Arizona Diamondbacks are missing Ryan Thompson (Shoulder), listed as 15-Day-IL; Anthony DeSclafani (Thumb), listed as 15-Day-IL.
Milwaukee Brewers are missing Rhys Hoskins (Thumb), listed as 10-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Geraldo Perdomo: 0.29 AVG, 14 HR, 84 RBI
- Ketel Marte: 0.29 AVG, 23 HR, 58 RBI
- Corbin Carroll: 0.254 AVG, 27 HR, 65 RBI
Milwaukee Brewers
- Christian Yelich: 0.267 AVG, 26 HR, 88 RBI
- Jackson Chourio: 0.276 AVG, 17 HR, 67 RBI
- Brice Turang: 0.286 AVG, 14 HR, 64 RBI
Team Analysis
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks enter this matchup with a 64-67 record, showing more inconsistency than reliability. Their last 5 games stand at 3-2 (5.0 RPG), but across the last 10 they are just 4-6 (4.7 RPG), signaling uneven offensive output. On the road they have been underwhelming, and while Ketel Marte provides a capable bat, the team’s away struggles limit their upside against a disciplined opponent.
Corbin Carroll has flashed power, yet the Diamondbacks’ lineup has not translated individual production into sustained road success. Geraldo Perdomo adds depth, but scoring lapses continue to appear when traveling. With a negative away record and inconsistent form, the Diamondbacks’ offensive rhythm is not enough to tilt this contest in their favor.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 645
- Home Runs: 182
- OBP: 0.325
- SLG: 0.439
- OPS: 0.764
- ERA: 4.52
- WHIP: 1.33
Away Record: 30-36 • Home Record: 34-32
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (4.7 RPG)
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers’ 81-50 record and 44-22 home mark underscore their dominance at American Family Field. Their last 5 games show a 3-2 (4.0 RPG) record, and while their last 10 are 4-6 (3.7 RPG), their consistency at home offsets recent dips. Christian Yelich anchors the lineup with steady production, giving Milwaukee the offensive stability that Arizona lacks in road contests.
Jackson Chourio’s ability to generate timely offense complements Brice Turang’s well-rounded contributions, making this lineup deeper than Arizona Diamondbacks’. Even with a slightly muted run output over the last 10, Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching stability combined with reliable home offense positions them as the superior side. Their home form makes them a confident moneyline pick in this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.257
- Total Runs Scored: 666
- Home Runs: 138
- OBP: 0.332
- SLG: 0.404
- OPS: 0.736
- ERA: 3.57
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 38-28 • Home Record: 44-22
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.7 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Tied 2–2 (Last 4 games)
- August 25, 2025: ARI 5 @ MIL 7
- April 13, 2025: MIL 2 @ ARI 5
- April 12, 2025: MIL 4 @ ARI 5
- April 11, 2025: MIL 7 @ ARI 0
Over/Under Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks’ last 10 games have averaged 9.6 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.
Milwaukee Brewers’ last 10 games have averaged 7.5 combined runs, with 3 games clearing the same number of 8.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Brewers’ elite home record, combined with consistent contributions from Christian Yelich and Jackson Chourio, gives them a decisive edge over an Arizona team that continues to stumble on the road. Their proven ability to defend home turf and maintain offensive balance makes Milwaukee the clear moneyline side.
We’re backing the Milwaukee Brewers to handle business.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Milwaukee Brewers are at 4.0 RPG and the Arizona Diamondbacks at 5.0 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 9.0 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.0. That points toward the Over 8.0.
Bookmakers
Data pulled from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetMGM, BetUS, Fanatics.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 26, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
