MLB Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers (Monday, August 25 at 07:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | ARI | MIL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +150 | -179 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.0 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-140) | -1.5 (115) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.2 | 3.2 |
| Record | 64–66 | 81–49 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Arizona Diamondbacks · Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks’ 4-1 surge across their last five games, averaging 5.2 runs per contest, frames this MLB prediction with clear momentum against a Milwaukee roster that has managed only 3.2 runs in the same stretch. The Diamondbacks’ offense is clicking at the right time, while the Brewers have stumbled to a 2-3 mark in their last five and just 4-6 across their last ten. With recent head-to-head results favoring Arizona, this matchup analysis highlights a live underdog with offensive rhythm against a home side struggling to sustain production.
Game Time
Opening pitch at Monday, August 25 at 07:40 PM ET at American Family Field, roofed conditions stabilize carry.
Odds & Spread Line
- Arizona Diamondbacks: +150
- Milwaukee Brewers: -179
Total: 8
- Run Line — Arizona Diamondbacks: +1.5 (-140)
- Run Line — Milwaukee Brewers: -1.5 (+115)
Latest Team Records
Arizona Diamondbacks: 64-66 (Win %: 0.492)
Milwaukee Brewers: 81-49 (Win %: 0.623)
Injury Report
Arizona Diamondbacks are missing Ryan Thompson (Shoulder), listed as 15-Day-IL; Anthony DeSclafani (Thumb), listed as 15-Day-IL; Kevin Ginkel (Shoulder), listed as 60-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
Milwaukee Brewers are missing Rhys Hoskins (Thumb), listed as 10-Day-IL; Logan Henderson (Elbow), listed as 15-Day-IL; Rob Zastryzny (Ribs), listed as 15-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
Key Player Stats
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Geraldo Perdomo: 0.29 AVG, 14 HR, 84 RBI
- Ketel Marte: 0.293 AVG, 23 HR, 58 RBI
- Corbin Carroll: 0.253 AVG, 27 HR, 65 RBI
Milwaukee Brewers
- Christian Yelich: 0.265 AVG, 26 HR, 87 RBI
- Jackson Chourio: 0.276 AVG, 17 HR, 67 RBI
- Brice Turang: 0.286 AVG, 14 HR, 64 RBI
Team Analysis
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have surged with a 4-1 record in their last five games, producing 5.2 runs per outing and showing a steady offensive rhythm. On the road, their 30-35 mark reflects some inconsistency, but recent victories demonstrate their ability to translate scoring into wins away from home. Ketel Marte’s steady production has anchored the lineup, while Corbin Carroll’s power adds balance to a unit finding its stride at the right time.
Arizona Diamondbacks’ last ten games have produced a 5-5 split, but the recent uptick in results puts them on a more confident trajectory. Geraldo Perdomo’s run production has been a key weapon, supporting a deeper lineup that can pressure opposing pitchers. With their scoring pace above five runs per game across the last five, they enter this matchup with the kind of offensive consistency that makes them a sharp road play.
- Batting Average: 0.252
- Total Runs Scored: 644
- Home Runs: 182
- OBP: 0.326
- SLG: 0.441
- OPS: 0.767
- ERA: 4.51
- WHIP: 1.33
Away Record: 30-35 • Home Record: 34-32
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (5.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (5.0 RPG)
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers’ recent form has cooled, going 2-3 in their last five games while averaging just 3.2 runs per contest. Despite a strong season-long 43-22 home record, their offense has not matched earlier consistency, leaving them vulnerable when the bats fall quiet. Christian Yelich has remained a steady presence, but overall run production has dipped below the level needed to offset Arizona Diamondbacks’ current momentum.
Across the last ten games, Milwaukee has gone 4-6 with 3.6 runs per game, underscoring persistent offensive struggles. Brice Turang has contributed timely hits, and Jackson Chourio has shown flashes, but the lineup’s inability to sustain rallies has capped their scoring. Even with a superior overall record, the current scoring pace tilts the betting edge toward the visiting side.
- Batting Average: 0.257
- Total Runs Scored: 663
- Home Runs: 137
- OBP: 0.332
- SLG: 0.403
- OPS: 0.735
- ERA: 3.57
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 38-28 • Home Record: 43-22
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.6 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Arizona Diamondbacks lead 2–1 (Last 3 games)
- April 13, 2025: MIL 2 @ ARI 5
- April 12, 2025: MIL 4 @ ARI 5
- April 11, 2025: MIL 7 @ ARI 0
Over/Under Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks’ last 10 games have averaged 9.4 total runs, with 6 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.
Milwaukee Brewers’ last 10 games have averaged 7.4 combined runs, with 3 games clearing the same number of 8.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Diamondbacks’ recent surge with four wins in their last five, combined with head-to-head success and a scoring pace above five runs per game, makes them the sharper side against a Brewers team stuck in a 4-6 stretch. Arizona Diamondbacks’ offensive balance from Ketel Marte, Geraldo Perdomo, and Corbin Carroll has proven effective against Milwaukee already this season, and the Brewers’ diminished run output further tilts this matchup. The Diamondbacks are the team with momentum, production, and situational value, making them the clear moneyline play.
Mismatch vs perception: the Arizona Diamondbacks at +150 are the sharper angle.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Milwaukee Brewers have produced 3.2 RPG and the Arizona Diamondbacks 5.2. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 8.4 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.0. That points toward the Over 8.0.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
