MLB Prediction: Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies (Sunday, August 31 at 03:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | CHC | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -233 | +202 |
| Total (O/U) | 11.0 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (-165) | +1.5 (140) |
| Last 5 RPG | 4.6 | 3.8 |
| Record | 78–58 | 38–98 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Chicago Cubs · Colorado Rockies
The Cubs enter this matchup analysis with steadier recent form, going 6-4 across their last 10 while averaging 4.7 runs per game, compared with the Rockies’ 2-8 skid over the same span. Chicago Cubs’ balanced attack has consistently outperformed Colorado Rockies’ slumping lineup, which has generated just 3.3 runs per game in that stretch. With a dominant 5-0 head-to-head edge this season, the Cubs hold every statistical and situational advantage heading into this MLB prediction.
Game Time
Taking place at Sunday, August 31 at 03:10 PM ET at hitter-friendly Coors Field, where thin air inflates offense.
Odds & Spread Line
- Chicago Cubs: -233
- Colorado Rockies: +202
Total: 11
- Run Line — Chicago Cubs: -1.5 (-165)
- Run Line — Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (+140)
Latest Team Records
Chicago Cubs: 78-58 (Win %: 0.574)
Colorado Rockies: 38-98 (Win %: 0.279)
Injury Report
Chicago Cubs are missing Ryan Brasier (Groin), listed as 15-Day-IL; Eli Morgan (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL.
The Colorado Rockies are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Chicago Cubs
- Pete Crow-Armstrong: 0.254 AVG, 28 HR, 83 RBI
- Seiya Suzuki: 0.245 AVG, 27 HR, 87 RBI
- Michael Busch: 0.262 AVG, 26 HR, 76 RBI
Colorado Rockies
- Hunter Goodman: 0.275 AVG, 26 HR, 75 RBI
- Mickey Moniak: 0.261 AVG, 18 HR, 53 RBI
- Jordan Beck: 0.268 AVG, 14 HR, 44 RBI
Team Analysis
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs’ 2-3 mark over the last five games suggests some inconsistency, but the broader 6-4 run across their last 10 confirms they remain in control of their playoff push. Their road record of 37-33 proves they can score effectively away from home, a key factor when playing at altitude. Pete Crow-Armstrong’s production has provided timely power that balances the lineup and sustains run creation even when team-wide output dips slightly.
Seiya Suzuki and Michael Busch have delivered complementary offense, ensuring the Cubs reach nearly five runs a game in recent weeks. That steady scoring profile is reinforced by a strong team ERA, giving Chicago a dependable edge in run prevention. Against a Rockies team that has struggled to score consistently, this balance makes the Cubs a confident betting side.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 667
- Home Runs: 185
- OBP: 0.32
- SLG: 0.43
- OPS: 0.749
- ERA: 3.85
- WHIP: 1.2
Away Record: 37-33 • Home Record: 41-25
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.7 RPG)
Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies’ 1-4 record in their last five and 2-8 skid across their last 10 reflects a lineup that has failed to sustain offense. Their home record of 21-47 highlights how little advantage Coors Field has provided, even with the altitude-driven scoring environment. Hunter Goodman has shown some individual power, but it hasn’t been enough to lift overall output.
Mickey Moniak and Jordan Beck have chipped in at times, but the Rockies’ 3.3 runs per game over their last 10 highlight a lineup in decline. A pitching staff with an inflated ERA has left them vulnerable, and at home they remain a team bettors cannot trust. With weak recent form and a bottom-tier record, Colorado lacks the tools to match Chicago Cubs’ balanced approach.
- Batting Average: 0.239
- Total Runs Scored: 507
- Home Runs: 138
- OBP: 0.296
- SLG: 0.393
- OPS: 0.688
- ERA: 5.98
- WHIP: 1.61
Away Record: 17-51 • Home Record: 21-47
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (3.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 2-8 (3.3 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Chicago Cubs lead 5–0 (Last 5 games)
- August 30, 2025: CHC 4 @ COL 3
- August 29, 2025: CHC 11 @ COL 7
- May 28, 2025: COL 1 @ CHC 2
- May 27, 2025: COL 3 @ CHC 4
- May 26, 2025: COL 1 @ CHC 3
Over/Under Trends
Chicago Cubs’ last 10 games have averaged 9.1 total runs, with 3 games that would have cleared today’s total of 11.
Colorado Rockies’ last 10 games have averaged 8.7 combined runs, with 2 games clearing the same number of 11.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Cubs’ superior 78-58 record, stronger road performance, and clean 5-0 sweep in the head-to-head series make them the clear-cut side. With consistent run support from Pete Crow-Armstrong, Seiya Suzuki, and Michael Busch, and an ERA that keeps opponents in check, Chicago holds every advantage needed to secure another decisive win.
Form and matchup edges favor the Chicago Cubs — back them.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Colorado Rockies have produced 3.8 RPG and the Chicago Cubs 4.6. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 8.4 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 11.0. That points toward the Under 11.0.
Bookmakers
These lines come from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Fanatics, Bovada, BetRivers, BetMGM, BetUS.
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