Introduction

Toronto’s home dominance meets Chicago Cubs’ uneven road production in an American League and National League showdown, setting up a high-scoring MLB prediction. The Cubs have managed just a 31-29 mark away from home, while the Blue Jays boast a 39-19 home record and have averaged 6.8 runs per game over their last 10. With Toronto’s lineup producing consistently and Chicago Cubs’ pitching facing a tough test, the metrics point firmly toward the hosts controlling the scoreboard and pushing the total upward.

Game Time

Set for Wednesday, August 13 at 07:05 PM ET under the roof at Rogers Centre, pace quickens on turf.

Odds & Spread Line

• Chicago Cubs: +100
• Toronto Blue Jays: -127

Total: 8.5

• Run Line — Chicago Cubs: +1.5 (-177)
• Run Line — Toronto Blue Jays: -1.5 (+155)

Latest Team Records

Chicago Cubs: 67-50 (Win %: 0.573)
Toronto Blue Jays: 69-50 (Win %: 0.58)

Injury Report

Chicago Cubs are missing Michael Soroka (Shoulder), listed as 15-Day-IL; Eli Morgan (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL; Justin Steele (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.

The Toronto Blue Jays are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Chicago Cubs

• Seiya Suzuki: 0.251 AVG, 27 HR, 84 RBI
• Pete Crow-Armstrong: 0.259 AVG, 27 HR, 78 RBI
• Michael Busch: 0.263 AVG, 22 HR, 64 RBI

Toronto Blue Jays

• Bo Bichette: 0.298 AVG, 16 HR, 78 RBI
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 0.296 AVG, 19 HR, 64 RBI
• George Springer: 0.291 AVG, 18 HR, 57 RBI

Team Analysis

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs enter with a 67-50 record but recent form shows inconsistency, going 2-3 in their last five and averaging just 3.6 runs per game in that span. Road performance at 31-29 underscores a middling ability to impose their offense away from home, especially against top-tier home teams. Seiya Suzuki’s power numbers remain a threat, yet the lineup has not translated individual production into consistent scoring surges in hostile environments.

Over the last 10 games, Chicago has gone 4-6 while averaging 3.0 runs per game, a clear sign of offensive stagnation against varied pitching staffs. Pete Crow-Armstrong has provided occasional sparks, but without sustained rallies, the Cubs have struggled to pressure opponents for full nine-inning stretches. Michael Busch adds depth to the order, yet the team’s current scoring rate leaves little margin for error against a high-output opponent like Toronto.

• Batting Average: 0.254
• Total Runs Scored: 599
• Home Runs: 167
• OPS: 0.76
• ERA: 3.88
• WHIP: 1.21

Away Record: 31-29 • Home Record: 36-22
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.0 RPG)

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Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto’s 69-50 record is backed by a 39-19 home mark, and recent play has been fueled by offensive consistency, going 3-2 in their last five with 6.4 runs per game. Bo Bichette’s contact ability sets the table, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. continues to drive in runs at a steady clip. At home, the Blue Jays have repeatedly turned early leads into comfortable victories, leveraging their lineup depth to keep pressure on opposing pitchers.

Over their last 10 games, Toronto is 6-4 with an impressive 6.8 runs per game, reflecting a sustained capacity to clear big offensive totals. George Springer’s recent form adds another layer of challenge for visiting arms, especially in a park where the Jays maximize extra-base potential. Against a Cubs team that has been inconsistent on the road, Toronto’s balanced attack is primed to maintain its scoring rhythm and control the matchup.

• Batting Average: 0.269
• Total Runs Scored: 583
• Home Runs: 137
• OPS: 0.767
• ERA: 4.28
• WHIP: 1.26

Away Record: 31-31 • Home Record: 39-19
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (6.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (6.8 RPG)

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Head-to-Head History

Toronto Blue Jays lead 1–0 (Most recent game)

• August 12, 2025: CHC 1 @ TOR 5

Over/Under Trends

Chicago Cubs’ last 10 games have averaged 6.0 total runs, with 1 game that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.

Toronto Blue Jays’ last 10 games have averaged 11.1 combined runs, with 7 games clearing the same number of 8.5.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

Toronto’s superior home record, recent scoring output, and balanced production from Bo Bichette, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and George Springer create a decisive edge against a Cubs squad struggling to produce on the road. The Blue Jays’ ability to sustain offense over full games, combined with a recent head-to-head win, signals a repeat performance. Expect Toronto to dictate tempo and secure another home victory with authority.

We’re backing the Toronto Blue Jays — the read is consistent across metrics.

Over/Under Prediction

In their last five, the Toronto Blue Jays have produced 6.4 RPG and the Chicago Cubs 3.6. That output frames how this total sets up.

These teams are combining for 10.0 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward a Over 8.5.

Bookmakers

Data pulled from: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Bovada, BetUS, Fanatics, BetMGM, BetRivers.

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