MLB Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds (Saturday, August 30 at 06:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | STL | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +128 | -159 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-165) | -1.5 (138) |
| Last 5 RPG | 4.4 | 3.0 |
| Record | 66–69 | 68–66 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: St. Louis Cardinals · Cincinnati Reds
The Cardinals’ last 5 games have produced 4.4 runs per outing while the Reds have managed only 3.0, setting the tone for this MLB prediction. St. Louis has been steady at 5-5 over its last 10, while Cincinnati has stumbled to 3-7 with limited offensive punch. With the Reds failing to generate momentum at home and the Cardinals showing a reliable scoring profile, the matchup leans strongly toward St. Louis controlling pace and dictating terms.
Game Time
This one goes at Saturday, August 30 at 06:40 PM ET at Great American Ball Park, home-run friendly by design.
Odds & Spread Line
- St. Louis Cardinals: +128
- Cincinnati Reds: -159
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — St. Louis Cardinals: +1.5 (-165)
- Run Line — Cincinnati Reds: -1.5 (+138)
Latest Team Records
St. Louis Cardinals: 66-69 (Win %: 0.489)
Cincinnati Reds: 68-66 (Win %: 0.507)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
St. Louis Cardinals
- Alec Burleson: 0.286 AVG, 16 HR, 60 RBI
- Willson Contreras: 0.255 AVG, 19 HR, 73 RBI
- Ivan Herrera: 0.281 AVG, 10 HR, 48 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
- Elly De La Cruz: 0.272 AVG, 19 HR, 77 RBI
- Miguel Andujar: 0.307 AVG, 9 HR, 39 RBI
- Noelvi Marte: 0.293 AVG, 11 HR, 41 RBI
Team Analysis
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals’ 3-2 mark over their last 5 games exposes a team holding steady while producing 4.4 RPG, a figure that keeps them competitive even in tighter contests. Alec Burleson has been a reliable contributor in the middle of the order, giving St. Louis a consistent source of production. The Cardinals’ road record shows they’ve been tested away from home, but their balance of scoring and pitching keeps them viable underdog material.
Equally important, Willson Contreras and Ivan Herrera provide depth in run creation, ensuring the lineup doesn’t rely on a single bat. Their 5-5 record over the last 10 games reflects a team that avoids extended slumps, a valuable trait against a Reds group that is struggling. With enough offensive stability and a bullpen that limits damage, St. Louis projects as the sharper side in this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.248
- Total Runs Scored: 588
- Home Runs: 127
- OBP: 0.316
- SLG: 0.383
- OPS: 0.699
- ERA: 4.28
- WHIP: 1.3
Away Record: 30-37 • Home Record: 37-32
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (4.6 RPG)
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds’ recent 1-4 stretch with just 3.0 RPG highlights a lineup struggling to capitalize on opportunities, even with Elly De La Cruz anchoring production. Miguel Andujar has delivered steady hitting, but the lack of consistent support has left Cincinnati Reds’ offense sputtering at key moments. Despite a respectable home record, their current scoring pace signals a team lacking rhythm.
Noelvi Marte adds another capable bat, but the Reds’ 3-7 mark over the last 10 games confirms the trend of underwhelming output. Their pitching numbers remain solid, yet without offensive backing, those efforts haven’t translated into wins. Against a Cardinals side that has been steadier in recent weeks, Cincinnati Reds’ downturn puts them in a vulnerable position on their own field.
- Batting Average: 0.246
- Total Runs Scored: 597
- Home Runs: 130
- OBP: 0.316
- SLG: 0.388
- OPS: 0.704
- ERA: 3.84
- WHIP: 1.24
Away Record: 32-37 • Home Record: 36-30
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (3.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (3.2 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
St. Louis Cardinals lead 5–3 (Last 8 games)
- August 29, 2025: STL 7 @ CIN 5
- June 22, 2025: CIN 4 @ STL 1
- June 21, 2025: CIN 5 @ STL 6
- June 20, 2025: CIN 1 @ STL 6
- May 01, 2025: STL 1 @ CIN 9
- April 30, 2025: STL 9 @ CIN 1
- April 30, 2025: STL 6 @ CIN 0
- April 28, 2025: STL 1 @ CIN 3
Over/Under Trends
St. Louis Cardinals’ last 10 games have averaged 9.9 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Cincinnati Reds’ last 10 games have averaged 8.1 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Cardinals’ steadier 3-2 form over the last five, combined with their 5-3 edge in head-to-head meetings, signals a team better positioned to dictate this matchup. With multiple lineup contributors sustaining scoring balance and Cincinnati Reds’ offense stuck in a slump, St. Louis is the sharper side to back with confidence.
The St. Louis Cardinals at +128 fit a live underdog profile on recent numbers.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Cincinnati Reds have produced 3.0 RPG and the St. Louis Cardinals 4.4. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 7.4 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Under 8.5.
Bookmakers
These lines come from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetMGM, Fanatics, BetUS, BetRivers.
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How does Parlamaz make St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds MLB predictions?
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What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 30, 2025)?
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