MLB Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs (Tuesday, August 19 at 02:20 PM ET)
Introduction
MIL @ CHC
MIL +134
CHC -149
O/U 7.0
| Market / Trend | MIL | CHC |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +134 | -149 |
| Total (O/U) | 7.0 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-176) | -1.5 (150) |
| Last 5 RPG | 7.4 | 2.0 |
| Record | 79–45 | 70–54 |
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Updated Aug 19, 2025 12:34 PM ET • Lines: FanDuel |
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More MLB picks: Milwaukee Brewers · Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee enters this matchup analysis riding a 4-1 surge in its last five games with a robust 7.4 runs per outing, while Chicago has stumbled at 2-3 with just 2.0 runs per contest. That contrast sets the stage for an MLB prediction where the Cubs’ home strength and lineup depth become decisive. Despite Milwaukee Brewers’ hot streak, Chicago Cubs’ situational edge at Wrigley and power potential tilt the betting value toward the home side, with the offensive pace pointing squarely toward the Over.
Game Time
This one goes at Tuesday, August 19 at 02:20 PM ET inside Wrigley Field, totals move with the breeze.
Odds & Spread Line
- Milwaukee Brewers: +134
- Chicago Cubs: -149
Total: 7
- Run Line — Milwaukee Brewers: +1.5 (-176)
- Run Line — Chicago Cubs: -1.5 (+150)
Latest Team Records
Milwaukee Brewers: 79-45 (Win %: 0.637)
Chicago Cubs: 70-54 (Win %: 0.565)
Injury Report
Milwaukee Brewers are missing Garrett Mitchell (Shoulder), listed as 60-Day-IL.
Chicago Cubs are missing Miguel Amaya (Ankle), listed as 10-Day-IL; Michael Soroka (Shoulder), listed as 15-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Milwaukee Brewers
- Christian Yelich: 0.265 AVG, 25 HR, 86 RBI
- Jackson Chourio: 0.276 AVG, 17 HR, 67 RBI
- Brice Turang: 0.28 AVG, 13 HR, 60 RBI
Chicago Cubs
- Seiya Suzuki: 0.25 AVG, 27 HR, 86 RBI
- Pete Crow-Armstrong: 0.259 AVG, 27 HR, 79 RBI
- Michael Busch: 0.258 AVG, 24 HR, 68 RBI
Team Analysis
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers’ 79-45 record reflects consistency, and their last 10 games at 9-1 with 7.5 runs per game highlight an offense in rhythm. Christian Yelich has been a reliable run producer, and Jackson Chourio adds balance in the middle of the lineup. Their 37-25 road record shows they can travel well, but the Cubs’ home edge narrows that advantage.
Brice Turang’s steady contact skills keep innings alive, which has fueled Milwaukee Brewers’ recent scoring surge. Even with strong recent output, facing a divisional rival that thrives at home presents a different challenge. The Brewers’ bats have carried them, but their reliance on sustained offense will be tested against a Cubs team built to respond at Wrigley.
- Batting Average: 0.259
- Total Runs Scored: 645
- Home Runs: 134
- OBP: 0.333
- SLG: 0.407
- OPS: 0.74
- ERA: 3.56
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 37-25 • Home Record: 42-20
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (7.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 9-1 (7.5 RPG)
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs’ 70-54 record shows a strong campaign, and their 38-24 mark at home highlights why they remain a dangerous side at Wrigley. Seiya Suzuki’s power bat anchors the lineup, while Pete Crow-Armstrong provides consistent production that can swing momentum. Despite a 2-3 mark in the last five games, the Cubs’ situational strength at home tilts value back in their direction.
Michael Busch adds another layer of offensive punch, and when paired with Chicago Cubs’ power profile, the team has the tools to capitalize on Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching. While recent scoring has dipped, the Cubs’ home run capability ensures they can quickly outpace low-RPG stretches. This matchup heightens their chance to rebound decisively on their own field.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 614
- Home Runs: 170
- OBP: 0.319
- SLG: 0.429
- OPS: 0.748
- ERA: 3.83
- WHIP: 1.21
Away Record: 32-30 • Home Record: 38-24
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (2.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (2.6 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Milwaukee Brewers lead 4–1 (Last 5 games)
- August 18, 2025: MIL 7 @ CHC 0
- July 30, 2025: CHC 10 @ MIL 3
- July 29, 2025: CHC 3 @ MIL 9
- July 28, 2025: CHC 4 @ MIL 8
- June 19, 2025: MIL 8 @ CHC 7
Over/Under Trends
Milwaukee Brewers’ last 10 games have averaged 10.9 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 7.
Chicago Cubs’ last 10 games have averaged 5.7 combined runs, with 1 game clearing the same number of 7.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Chicago Cubs’ 38-24 home record and lineup anchored by Seiya Suzuki and Pete Crow-Armstrong provide the stability needed to counter Milwaukee Brewers’ recent surge. The Cubs have shown they can produce big innings at Wrigley, and their power profile creates a higher ceiling than the Brewers’ contact-driven approach. With home-field confidence and the ability to flip momentum quickly, the Chicago Cubs are the sharper side to back.
This sets up cleanly for the Chicago Cubs to finish on top.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Chicago Cubs have produced 2.0 RPG and the Milwaukee Brewers 7.4. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 9.4 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 7.0. That points toward a Over 7.0.
Bookmakers
Current odds sourced from: FanDuel, Fanatics, MyBookie.ag, Caesars, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, BetMGM, DraftKings, BetRivers, Bovada, BetUS.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 19, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
