MLB Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs (Monday, August 18 at 02:20 PM ET)
Introduction
More MLB picks: Milwaukee Brewers · Chicago Cubs
The Brewers enter this matchup riding a 4-1 stretch over their last five games with 8.8 runs per game, while the Cubs have split their last five at 3-2 with a much lower 2.8 scoring clip. This sets up a sharp MLB prediction where Milwaukee Brewers’ offense looks hot, but Chicago Cubs’ situational edge at home and historic head-to-head results tilt the balance. With both lineups featuring power bats and the posted total sitting at 8.5, the data points toward value in backing the Cubs and an Over outcome.
Game Time
Opening pitch at Monday, August 18 at 02:20 PM ET inside Wrigley Field, totals move with the breeze.
Odds & Spread Line
- Milwaukee Brewers: -102
- Chicago Cubs: -115
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Milwaukee Brewers: -1.5 (+158)
- Run Line — Chicago Cubs: +1.5 (-192)
Latest Team Records
Milwaukee Brewers: 78-44 (Win %: 0.639)
Chicago Cubs: 69-53 (Win %: 0.566)
Injury Report
The Milwaukee Brewers are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Chicago Cubs are missing Michael Soroka (Shoulder), listed as 15-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Milwaukee Brewers
- Christian Yelich: 0.27 AVG, 25 HR, 86 RBI
- Jackson Chourio: 0.276 AVG, 17 HR, 67 RBI
- Brice Turang: 0.279 AVG, 12 HR, 58 RBI
Chicago Cubs
- Seiya Suzuki: 0.251 AVG, 27 HR, 86 RBI
- Pete Crow-Armstrong: 0.259 AVG, 27 HR, 79 RBI
- Michael Busch: 0.263 AVG, 24 HR, 68 RBI
Team Analysis
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers’ 78-44 record lays bare their consistency, and their 4-1 mark in the last five games with 8.8 runs per outing highlights a potent lineup. Christian Yelich has provided the steady run production that fuels this surge, while Jackson Chourio’s bat has given them depth in the middle order. Away from home, however, Milwaukee faces added pressure, as they must translate their offensive rhythm into consistent road results against tougher pitching environments.
Brice Turang’s contributions have further stabilized the Brewers’ order, but their challenge lies in sustaining high run totals outside Milwaukee. The 9-1 stretch over their last 10 games shows dominance, yet facing a Cubs team that has historically matched up well at Wrigley brings added uncertainty. For bettors, Milwaukee Brewers’ road form and reliance on sustained offensive production make them dangerous, but not necessarily the most reliable side given the opponent’s situational edge.
- Batting Average: 0.26
- Total Runs Scored: 636
- Home Runs: 131
- OBP: 0.333
- SLG: 0.408
- OPS: 0.741
- ERA: 3.61
- WHIP: 1.23
Away Record: 36-25 • Home Record: 42-20
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (8.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 9-1 (7.3 RPG)
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs’ 69-53 record reflects a team that has held steady in the standings, and their 38-23 home mark is a critical advantage. Despite averaging only 2.8 runs over their last five games, Seiya Suzuki’s bat remains a difference-maker capable of sparking a turnaround. Wrigley Field has been a reliable backdrop for this team, and Pete Crow-Armstrong’s power profile complements Suzuki’s production to keep them competitive even when overall scoring dips.
Michael Busch adds further depth, ensuring the lineup has multiple threats that can shift momentum quickly. While the Cubs’ recent scoring has been inconsistent, their ability to protect home turf and leverage timely hitting positions them favorably against Milwaukee Brewers’ high-flying offense. Bettors should weigh the Cubs’ proven home record and head-to-head resilience as stronger indicators than the short-term scoring lull.
- Batting Average: 0.252
- Total Runs Scored: 610
- Home Runs: 170
- OBP: 0.321
- SLG: 0.433
- OPS: 0.753
- ERA: 3.82
- WHIP: 1.2
Away Record: 32-30 • Home Record: 38-23
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (2.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (3.2 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Milwaukee Brewers lead 3–2 (Last 5 games)
- July 30, 2025: CHC 10 @ MIL 3
- July 29, 2025: CHC 3 @ MIL 9
- July 28, 2025: CHC 4 @ MIL 8
- June 19, 2025: MIL 8 @ CHC 7
- June 17, 2025: MIL 3 @ CHC 5
Over/Under Trends
Milwaukee Brewers’ last 10 games have averaged 11.1 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Chicago Cubs’ last 10 games have averaged 5.7 combined runs, with 1 game clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Cubs’ dominant 38-23 home record, coupled with recent head-to-head victories at Wrigley, makes them the sharper side despite their modest recent scoring. With Seiya Suzuki and Pete Crow-Armstrong anchoring the order and Michael Busch providing added lift, Chicago Cubs’ lineup is positioned to rebound offensively against a Brewers team that has thrived more at home than on the road. The numbers and venue edge align clearly in favor of the Cubs to secure this matchup.
Data supports the Chicago Cubs as the right side.
Over/Under Prediction
Recent five-game scoring: the Chicago Cubs are at 2.8 RPG and the Milwaukee Brewers at 8.8 — a useful baseline against the total.
These teams are combining for 11.6 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward a Over 8.5.
Bookmakers
Lines retrieved from: FanDuel, Fanatics, MyBookie.ag.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How does Parlamaz make Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 18, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays — smart ones. Build them from real edges, keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
