MLB Prediction: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins (Wednesday, August 27 at 01:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | ATL | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -137 | +110 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (125) | +1.5 (-150) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.0 | 3.4 |
| Record | 59–72 | 62–69 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Atlanta Braves · Miami Marlins
Consistency has been elusive for both sides, but the Marlins’ steadier approach at home gives them the sharper angle in this MLB prediction. Atlanta has dropped 3 of its last 5 while averaging 5.0 runs per game, while Miami Marlins’ 3.4 RPG across the same stretch underlines a slower tempo. With both teams trending underwhelming offensively, the edge falls to the Marlins’ ability to grind out lower-scoring contests.
Game Time
Taking place at Wednesday, August 27 at 01:10 PM ET at loanDepot Park, totals stay conservative under the roof.
Odds & Spread Line
- Atlanta Braves: -137
- Miami Marlins: +110
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (+125)
- Run Line — Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-150)
Latest Team Records
Atlanta Braves: 59-72 (Win %: 0.45)
Miami Marlins: 62-69 (Win %: 0.473)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Atlanta Braves
- Matt Olson: 0.264 AVG, 19 HR, 72 RBI
- Michael Harris II: 0.252 AVG, 16 HR, 68 RBI
- Ronald Acuna Jr.: 0.299 AVG, 15 HR, 30 RBI
Miami Marlins
- Kyle Stowers: 0.288 AVG, 25 HR, 73 RBI
- Agustin Ramirez: 0.23 AVG, 18 HR, 57 RBI
- Otto Lopez: 0.24 AVG, 11 HR, 59 RBI
Team Analysis
Atlanta Braves
The Braves’ 2-3 mark in their last 5 games reflects a team that cannot sustain rhythm, despite averaging 5.0 RPG in that stretch. Their road performance continues to lag with a 27-39 record away from home, which limits their reliability when traveling. Matt Olson has provided run production, but the supporting cast has not generated enough consistency to offset defensive lapses.
Over the last 10 games, Atlanta is 6-4 with 6.1 RPG, but that momentum is diluted by subpar results in the most recent outings. Ronald Acuna Jr. has been effective in spots, yet the lineup lacks balance when Michael Harris II cools off. Given the Braves’ struggles outside of their home park, their offensive numbers do not translate into trustworthy betting value in this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.243
- Total Runs Scored: 571
- Home Runs: 145
- OBP: 0.319
- SLG: 0.392
- OPS: 0.711
- ERA: 4.37
- WHIP: 1.31
Away Record: 27-39 • Home Record: 33-33
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (6.1 RPG)
Miami Marlins
The Marlins’ 2-3 record in their last 5 games suggests inconsistency, but their ability to squeeze out close wins at home remains a difference-maker. Kyle Stowers has been the primary run driver, and Agustin Ramirez’s power has provided timely production. Their 3.4 RPG over that span indicates a slower pace, which fits well against Atlanta Braves’ recent volatility.
Across their last 10 games, Miami is 4-6 with 4.0 RPG, but the home split of 31-36 shows they are competitive in this environment. Otto Lopez has chipped in with steady output, giving depth to the order in critical spots. With Atlanta Braves’ road record exposing their flaws, Miami Marlins’ more balanced approach at home sets them up as the more reliable side.
- Batting Average: 0.249
- Total Runs Scored: 564
- Home Runs: 128
- OBP: 0.314
- SLG: 0.395
- OPS: 0.708
- ERA: 4.47
- WHIP: 1.29
Away Record: 31-34 • Home Record: 31-36
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (3.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (4.0 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Atlanta Braves lead 5–3 (Last 8 games)
- August 26, 2025: ATL 11 @ MIA 2
- August 25, 2025: ATL 1 @ MIA 2
- August 10, 2025: MIA 1 @ ATL 7
- August 09, 2025: MIA 6 @ ATL 8
- August 09, 2025: MIA 1 @ ATL 7
- August 08, 2025: MIA 5 @ ATL 1
- August 07, 2025: MIA 6 @ ATL 8
- June 22, 2025: ATL 3 @ MIA 5
Over/Under Trends
Atlanta Braves’ last 10 games have averaged 11.7 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Miami Marlins’ last 10 games have averaged 9.4 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Marlins’ ability to keep games within reach at home, combined with Atlanta Braves’ 27-39 road record, makes Miami the sharper side. With Kyle Stowers anchoring their production and Atlanta struggling to translate offense away from home, Miami is positioned to deliver the more dependable result here.
Value-side alert: the Miami Marlins at +110 profile as the play.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Miami Marlins have produced 3.4 RPG and the Atlanta Braves 5.0. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 8.4 runs per game recently — right around the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Under 8.5.
Bookmakers
These lines come from: FanDuel, Fanatics, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetUS, BetMGM, BetRivers.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
MLB Predictions FAQ
How does Parlamaz make Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins MLB predictions?
We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
