MLB Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees (Sunday, September 7 at 01:35 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | TOR | NYY |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +138 | -167 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-158) | -1.5 (135) |
| Last 5 RPG | 7.4 | 5.2 |
| Record | 82–59 | 78–63 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Toronto Blue Jays · New York Yankees
Toronto and New York enter this MLB prediction carrying different rhythms, but both have been scoring at a pace that matters for bettors. The Yankees have averaged 6.4 runs per game across their last 10, while Toronto has posted 6.2 in the same span, pushing combined totals well into double digits. With the Yankees tightening up their overall record and the Blue Jays showing volatility on the road, this contest sets up as a high‑leverage betting angle where New York Yankees’ power at home and recent consistency make them the sharper side.
Game Time
The action begins at Sunday, September 7 at 01:35 PM ET at Yankee Stadium, the short porch in right boosts pull-side power.
Odds & Spread Line
- Toronto Blue Jays: +138
- New York Yankees: -167
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Toronto Blue Jays: +1.5 (-158)
- Run Line — New York Yankees: -1.5 (+135)
Latest Team Records
Toronto Blue Jays: 82-59 (Win %: 0.582)
New York Yankees: 78-63 (Win %: 0.553)
Injury Report
The Toronto Blue Jays are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
New York Yankees are missing Oswaldo Cabrera (Ankle), listed as 60-Day-IL; Gerrit Cole (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL; Clarke Schmidt (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
Key Player Stats
Toronto Blue Jays
- Bo Bichette: 0.311 AVG, 18 HR, 93 RBI
- George Springer: 0.304 AVG, 27 HR, 72 RBI
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 0.298 AVG, 23 HR, 78 RBI
New York Yankees
- Aaron Judge: 0.322 AVG, 43 HR, 97 RBI
- Cody Bellinger: 0.275 AVG, 27 HR, 87 RBI
- Trent Grisham: 0.247 AVG, 30 HR, 64 RBI
Team Analysis
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have gone 3-2 in their last 5 games, averaging 7.4 runs per contest, but their 5-5 mark over the last 10 highlights inconsistency. On the road, a 37-36 record underlines how their offensive surges often flatten outside Toronto. Bo Bichette’s steady production has been a stabilizer, but the team often depends on streaks rather than sustained pressure.
George Springer’s power has kept them competitive, yet the offense has leaned heavily on bursts rather than balanced output. With Vladimir Guerrero Jr. contributing run support, the lineup can spike totals, but their neutral recent stretch shows the group hasn’t consistently translated production into separation. Against a disciplined Yankees squad, Toronto’s uneven away form is a concern for moneyline bettors.
- Batting Average: 0.27
- Total Runs Scored: 711
- Home Runs: 174
- OBP: 0.339
- SLG: 0.435
- OPS: 0.774
- ERA: 4.26
- WHIP: 1.27
Away Record: 37-36 • Home Record: 45-24
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (7.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (6.2 RPG)
New York Yankees
The Yankees are 3-2 across their last 5 games, putting up 5.2 RPG, and 7-3 over their last 10 while averaging 6.4 RPG, showing a clear upward trajectory. Aaron Judge has been the centerpiece of this surge, driving the lineup’s ability to consistently generate runs. At home, their 42-29 record demonstrates how well their offensive power translates in this ballpark.
Cody Bellinger has added needed depth to Judge’s production, while Trent Grisham’s pop has given the bottom half of the order a lift. The Yankees’ ability to sustain scoring across different parts of the lineup has been a key reason for their strong home form. Combining recent momentum with balanced offensive threats, New York is positioned as the sharper side in this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 742
- Home Runs: 242
- OBP: 0.331
- SLG: 0.457
- OPS: 0.787
- ERA: 3.94
- WHIP: 1.26
Away Record: 37-34 • Home Record: 42-29
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (6.4 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Toronto Blue Jays lead 6–2 (Last 8 games)
- September 06, 2025: TOR 1 @ NYY 3
- September 05, 2025: TOR 7 @ NYY 1
- July 23, 2025: NYY 4 @ TOR 8
- July 22, 2025: NYY 5 @ TOR 4
- July 21, 2025: NYY 1 @ TOR 4
- July 03, 2025: NYY 5 @ TOR 8
- July 02, 2025: NYY 9 @ TOR 11
- July 01, 2025: NYY 5 @ TOR 12
Over/Under Trends
Toronto Blue Jays’ last 10 games have averaged 11.9 total runs, with 7 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
New York Yankees’ last 10 games have averaged 9.9 combined runs, with 5 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Yankees’ 7-3 mark over their last 10, combined with a decisive 42-29 record at home, underlines why they are the superior side against a Blue Jays team that has been inconsistent on the road. With Aaron Judge anchoring a lineup that is producing at a steady clip and complementary support from Cody Bellinger and Trent Grisham, New York Yankees’ offensive depth and home environment point directly to the Yankees as the sharper moneyline play.
We’re backing the New York Yankees — the read is consistent across metrics.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the New York Yankees have produced 5.2 RPG and the Toronto Blue Jays 7.4. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 12.6 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Over 8.5.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
