MLB Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins (Sunday, August 24 at 01:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | TOR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -133 | +112 |
| Total (O/U) | 7.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (125) | +1.5 (-150) |
| Last 5 RPG | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Record | 76–54 | 60–69 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Toronto Blue Jays · Miami Marlins
Toronto’s 3-2 mark over the last five games contrasts with Miami Marlins’ 1-4 skid, yet the Marlins’ recent 10-game average of 4.9 runs per contest makes clear why this interleague MLB prediction leans toward a higher-scoring contest. The Blue Jays have been steady at nearly five runs per game across their last ten, while Miami Marlins’ offense has flashed enough power to keep pace. With both sides combining for 8.6 runs per game in recent form, the betting edge lies with the Marlins to rebound at home and push this matchup above the posted total.
Game Time
Opening pitch at Sunday, August 24 at 01:40 PM ET at loanDepot Park, totals stay conservative under the roof.
Odds & Spread Line
- Toronto Blue Jays: -133
- Miami Marlins: +112
Total: 7.5
- Run Line — Toronto Blue Jays: -1.5 (+125)
- Run Line — Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-150)
Latest Team Records
Toronto Blue Jays: 76-54 (Win %: 0.585)
Miami Marlins: 60-69 (Win %: 0.465)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Toronto Blue Jays
- Bo Bichette: 0.298 AVG, 16 HR, 82 RBI
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 0.298 AVG, 21 HR, 69 RBI
- George Springer: 0.292 AVG, 21 HR, 62 RBI
Miami Marlins
- Kyle Stowers: 0.288 AVG, 25 HR, 73 RBI
- Agustin Ramirez: 0.234 AVG, 18 HR, 56 RBI
- Otto Lopez: 0.24 AVG, 11 HR, 58 RBI
Team Analysis
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays carry a 76-54 record with steady offensive production, but their 3-2 mark in the last five reflects a team alternating results rather than dominating. On the road, their 34-33 record shows only marginal success, leaving questions about consistency away from home. Bo Bichette’s steady contact skills and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s power presence give them scoring outlets, but the lineup’s rhythm has not translated into extended win streaks in recent weeks.
George Springer adds depth to the order, yet the Jays’ reliance on timely hitting makes them vulnerable against teams that can string together big innings. Their ERA of 4.2 keeps opponents in games, and with recent run production at 4.4 over the last five, they appear more balanced than explosive. That balance makes them competitive but not overwhelming, leaving them exposed against a Marlins unit eager to capitalize at home.
- Batting Average: 0.267
- Total Runs Scored: 630
- Home Runs: 152
- OBP: 0.337
- SLG: 0.427
- OPS: 0.764
- ERA: 4.2
- WHIP: 1.26
Away Record: 34-33 • Home Record: 42-21
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.9 RPG)
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins’ 60-69 record reflects a team fighting to stay relevant, but their offensive profile suggests value in this spot. Despite a 1-4 mark in the last five, the Marlins have averaged 4.2 runs per game in that stretch, showing their bats are still producing. Kyle Stowers has been the anchor with consistent power numbers, and Agustin Ramirez provides enough pop to keep pitchers honest.
At home, the Marlins have logged 29 wins and 35 losses, a weaker split but one that still offers an edge when their lineup strings together runs. Otto Lopez adds to their offensive versatility, and the group’s 10-game average of 4.9 runs indicates scoring potential outweighing recent results. With Toronto’s pitching allowing steady contact, Miami Marlins’ lineup can rebound strongly in front of their own crowd.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 551
- Home Runs: 126
- OBP: 0.315
- SLG: 0.396
- OPS: 0.71
- ERA: 4.53
- WHIP: 1.3
Away Record: 31-34 • Home Record: 29-35
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (4.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (4.9 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Toronto Blue Jays lead 2–0 (Last 2 games)
- August 23, 2025: TOR 7 @ MIA 6
- August 22, 2025: TOR 5 @ MIA 2
Over/Under Trends
Toronto Blue Jays’ last 10 games have averaged 8.9 total runs, with 5 games that would have cleared today’s total of 7.5.
Miami Marlins’ last 10 games have averaged 10.3 combined runs, with 8 games clearing the same number of 7.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Marlins’ offense has shown consistent scoring despite recent losses, and their 4.9 RPG over the last ten demonstrates a lineup capable of matching Toronto’s production. With Kyle Stowers driving power and Agustin Ramirez providing balance, Miami has the bats to exploit Toronto’s pitching staff. Factoring in home-field dynamics and the Jays’ inconsistency on the road, the Marlins are positioned as the sharper side to back with confidence.
Form and matchup create value on the Miami Marlins at +112.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Miami Marlins at 4.2 RPG and the Toronto Blue Jays at 4.4, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 8.6 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 7.5. That points toward the Over 7.5.
Bookmakers
These lines come from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, BetMGM, Bovada, BetUS, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
How does Parlamaz make Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins MLB predictions?
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