MLB Prediction: Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros (Sunday, August 31 at 02:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | LAA | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +150 | -179 |
| Total (O/U) | 7.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-150) | -1.5 (125) |
| Last 5 RPG | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| Record | 62–72 | 75–60 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Los Angeles Angels · Houston Astros
Houston Astros’ 41-29 home record stands out against an Angels team that has dropped 7 of its last 10, making this MLB prediction straightforward. The Angels’ offense has slumped to just 2.6 runs per game across that span, while Houston has maintained steadier production and continues to control this matchup historically. With the Astros owning a 5–3 edge in the last eight head-to-head meetings, the betting edge tilts firmly toward the home side and a lower-scoring outcome.
Game Time
Scheduled for Sunday, August 31 at 02:10 PM ET inside Minute Maid Park, pull-side power plays up.
Odds & Spread Line
- Los Angeles Angels: +150
- Houston Astros: -179
Total: 7.5
- Run Line — Los Angeles Angels: +1.5 (-150)
- Run Line — Houston Astros: -1.5 (+125)
Latest Team Records
Los Angeles Angels: 62-72 (Win %: 0.463)
Houston Astros: 75-60 (Win %: 0.556)
Injury Report
The Los Angeles Angels are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Houston Astros are missing Pedro Leon (Knee), listed as 60-Day-IL; Josh Hader (Shoulder), listed as 15-Day-IL; Isaac Paredes (Hamstring), listed as 60-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
Key Player Stats
Los Angeles Angels
- Taylor Ward: 0.231 AVG, 30 HR, 94 RBI
- Jo Adell: 0.235 AVG, 30 HR, 82 RBI
- Zach Neto: 0.268 AVG, 23 HR, 58 RBI
Houston Astros
- Jose Altuve: 0.274 AVG, 23 HR, 65 RBI
- Jeremy Pena: 0.308 AVG, 14 HR, 50 RBI
- Christian Walker: 0.24 AVG, 21 HR, 74 RBI
Team Analysis
Los Angeles Angels
The Angels’ 2-3 record over their last 5 games and just 2.8 runs per contest highlight a lineup that has lacked rhythm. Taylor Ward’s power numbers remain a bright spot, but the broader order has failed to consistently convert opportunities. On the road, where they sit well under .500, this lack of scoring depth becomes even more problematic against stronger pitching staffs.
Jo Adell’s contributions have been steady, yet Zach Neto’s output has not been enough to reverse the team’s overall offensive inconsistency. The Angels’ 3-7 mark across their last 10 games with only 2.6 RPG signals a unit in need of a reset. Against a disciplined Houston staff, their inability to string together rallies creates a difficult betting outlook for the visitors.
- Batting Average: 0.229
- Total Runs Scored: 574
- Home Runs: 188
- OBP: 0.303
- SLG: 0.403
- OPS: 0.706
- ERA: 4.78
- WHIP: 1.44
Away Record: 29-37 • Home Record: 34-35
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (2.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (2.6 RPG)
Houston Astros
The Astros’ 3-2 mark in their last 5 games, though modest, is supported by a home record that remains one of their key betting strengths. Jose Altuve’s steady production continues to anchor the lineup, while the team’s pitching keeps opponents contained. Even with just 2.4 RPG recently, their ability to grind out wins at home sets them apart from inconsistent opponents.
Jeremy Pena’s contact rate and Christian Walker’s run production provide balance, giving Houston enough offensive presence even in lower-scoring contests. Their 6-4 record across the last 10 games reflects a club that is finding ways to win despite not always posting big numbers. With a superior ERA and WHIP compared to the Angels, Houston Astros’ overall profile points to control of this matchup.
- Batting Average: 0.254
- Total Runs Scored: 571
- Home Runs: 151
- OBP: 0.319
- SLG: 0.402
- OPS: 0.721
- ERA: 3.83
- WHIP: 1.22
Away Record: 34-32 • Home Record: 41-29
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (2.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.2 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Houston Astros lead 5–3 (Last 8 games)
- August 30, 2025: LAA 4 @ HOU 1
- August 29, 2025: LAA 0 @ HOU 2
- June 22, 2025: HOU 8 @ LAA 7
- June 21, 2025: HOU 1 @ LAA 9
- June 20, 2025: HOU 3 @ LAA 2
- April 13, 2025: LAA 3 @ HOU 7
- April 12, 2025: LAA 4 @ HOU 1
- April 11, 2025: LAA 3 @ HOU 14
Over/Under Trends
Los Angeles Angels’ last 10 games have averaged 8.2 total runs, with 4 games that would have cleared today’s total of 7.5.
Houston Astros’ last 10 games have averaged 8.2 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 7.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Houston Astros’ superior home record, steadier run prevention, and consistent head-to-head control give them a decisive edge over an Angels lineup averaging under three runs across their last 10 games. With Altuve, Pena, and Walker contributing enough offensive stability to complement a stronger pitching profile, Houston projects as the side most likely to dictate pace and secure another victory.
The Houston Astros are the sharp side on form and splits.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Houston Astros at 2.4 RPG and the Los Angeles Angels at 2.8, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 5.2 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 7.5. That points toward the Under 7.5.
Bookmakers
You’ll find these markets at: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics, Caesars, BetMGM, DraftKings, Bovada.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Aug 31, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
