- May 31, 2025
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Over/Under Totals Betting: What It Is and How to Win
Introduction
Over/Under betting, also known as totals betting, is one of the simplest yet most strategic ways to bet on sports. Instead of betting on which team will win, you’re betting on the combined number of points, goals, or runs scored in a game.
What Is an Over/Under Bet?
A sportsbook sets a predicted total for a game — you bet on whether the actual combined score will be over or under that number. For example:
Total: 44.5 points (NFL)
- Bet the Over: You win if the combined score is 45 or more.
- Bet the Under: You win if the combined score is 44 or less.
If the line was set at a whole number (e.g., 44) and the score lands exactly there, the bet is a push and your stake is refunded.
Why Totals Matter
Totals bets are popular across football, basketball, baseball, and even soccer. They’re especially useful when you’re unsure who will win but confident about game pace, scoring trends, or defensive strength.
Key Factors That Impact Totals
- Game Tempo: Fast-paced teams increase the chances of an Over.
- Weather: Rain or wind often favors Unders in outdoor sports.
- Injuries: A missing key player can shift offensive or defensive strength.
- Referee Tendencies: Some refs call more fouls, leading to more free throws and points.
Totals Strategy Tips
- Track line movement — a dropping total may signal sharp action on the Under.
- Consider betting live if the pace shifts dramatically from pregame expectations.
- Compare totals across multiple books for better value and alternate lines.
Conclusion
Over/Under betting offers a great entry point for new bettors and a strategic angle for experienced ones. With the right prep and attention to context, totals can deliver long-term profit.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is over/under betting?
Over/under betting involves wagering on whether the total points scored by both teams will be over or under a set number.
How do sportsbooks set the totals?
Sportsbooks analyze team offensive and defensive stats, pace of play, injuries, and other factors to set the total line.
When is it best to bet the over?
Betting the over is often favorable when both teams have strong offenses or when the pace of the game is expected to be fast.
When should I bet the under?
The under can be a good bet when teams have strong defenses, bad weather conditions, or a slower pace of play.
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