Prediction Details

MLB Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Seattle Mariners (Sunday, September 28 at 03:10 PM ET)

Introduction

Updated

LAD @ SEALAD +101SEA -111O/U 8.0
Market / Trend LAD SEA
Moneyline +101 -111
Total (O/U) 8.0
Run Line -1.5 (157) +1.5 (-193)
Last 5 RPG 5.0 4.8
Record 91–69 90–70
Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more

More MLB picks: Los Angeles Dodgers · Seattle Mariners

Seattle enters this interleague matchup against Los Angeles with a strong home record of 51-29, a decisive edge that immediately stands out in this MLB prediction. The Mariners have averaged 4.8 runs per game across their last 10, while the Dodgers counter with 4.6 in the same stretch, setting up a scoring environment that leans toward an Over outcome. With both clubs in rhythm but Seattle Mariners’ home consistency and offensive balance pushing them ahead, the Mariners are positioned to dictate the flow.

Game Time

Starts in 14h 16m

The action begins at Sunday, September 28 at 03:10 PM ET inside T-Mobile Park, unders stay live.

Odds & Spread Line

  • Los Angeles Dodgers: +101
  • Seattle Mariners: -111

Total: 8

  • Run Line — Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (+157)
  • Run Line — Seattle Mariners: +1.5 (-193)

Latest Team Records

Los Angeles Dodgers: 91-69 (Win %: 0.569)
Seattle Mariners: 90-70 (Win %: 0.562)

Injury Report

Los Angeles Dodgers are missing Michael Kopech (Knee), listed as 15-Day-IL.

The Seattle Mariners are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.

Key Player Stats

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Shohei Ohtani: 0.279 AVG, 54 HR, 101 RBI
  • Freddie Freeman: 0.293 AVG, 23 HR, 88 RBI
  • Andy Pages: 0.274 AVG, 27 HR, 85 RBI

Seattle Mariners

  • Cal Raleigh: 0.248 AVG, 60 HR, 125 RBI
  • Eugenio Suarez: 0.231 AVG, 49 HR, 117 RBI
  • Julio Rodriguez: 0.267 AVG, 32 HR, 95 RBI

Team Analysis

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers enter with a 91-69 record and have surged recently, going 4-1 in their last 5 games with 5.0 runs per game. That uptick shows a confident offense, with Shohei Ohtani driving power production and Freddie Freeman offering steady contact. On the road, however, their 40-40 record emphasizes inconsistency, limiting their edge against a home-dominant opponent.

Over the last 10 games, Los Angeles has gone 8-2 while averaging 4.6 runs, proof of rhythm but also a streak that has largely come outside of Seattle. Andy Pages has added depth to the lineup, but the Dodgers’ neutral away form softens their recent surge. Against a Mariners team thriving at home, the Dodgers’ road splits suggest they will struggle to maintain control deep into this contest.

  • Batting Average: 0.253
  • Total Runs Scored: 814
  • Home Runs: 240
  • OBP: 0.328
  • SLG: 0.44
  • OPS: 0.768
  • ERA: 3.98
  • WHIP: 1.26

Away Record: 40-40 • Home Record: 52-29
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 8-2 (4.6 RPG)


Seattle Mariners

The Mariners sit at 90-70 and have gone 3-2 in their last 5 while producing 4.8 runs per game, a steady offensive baseline. Cal Raleigh’s elite power production anchors their lineup, making them a threat to score in any inning. Their 51-29 home record confirms they thrive in Seattle, a decisive advantage against a Dodgers squad that is merely average on the road.

Across their last 10 games, the Mariners are 7-3 with the same 4.8 runs per game, showing consistent scoring and form. Eugenio Suarez adds depth with power, while Julio Rodriguez’s athleticism gives them versatility in creating offense. With their balanced attack and strong home splits, Seattle is positioned as the superior side when weighing situational factors.

  • Batting Average: 0.245
  • Total Runs Scored: 762
  • Home Runs: 237
  • OBP: 0.321
  • SLG: 0.422
  • OPS: 0.743
  • ERA: 3.85
  • WHIP: 1.22

Away Record: 39-42 • Home Record: 51-29
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (4.8 RPG)


Head-to-Head History

Los Angeles Dodgers lead 2–0 (Last 2 games)

  • September 27, 2025: LAD 5 @ SEA 3
  • September 26, 2025: LAD 3 @ SEA 2

Over/Under Trends

Los Angeles Dodgers’ last 10 games have averaged 7.2 total runs, with 4 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.

Seattle Mariners’ last 10 games have averaged 7.7 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 8.

Moneyline Betting Prediction

The Mariners’ 51-29 home record combined with consistent 4.8 runs per game production over their last 10 makes them a stronger situational play than a Dodgers team that is just .500 on the road. With Raleigh, Suarez, and Rodriguez forming a high-impact offensive trio, Seattle Mariners’ balance aligns perfectly with their home dominance, making them the clear side to back.

This sets up cleanly for the Seattle Mariners to finish on top.

Over/Under Prediction

Recent five-game scoring: the Seattle Mariners are at 4.8 RPG and the Los Angeles Dodgers at 5.0 — a useful baseline against the total.

These teams are combining for 9.8 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.0. That points toward the Over 8.0.

Bookmakers

Available at: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, FanDuel, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, Fanatics, BetMGM, Bovada, BetRivers, BetUS.

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MLB Predictions FAQ

How does Parlamaz make Los Angeles Dodgers vs Seattle Mariners MLB predictions?

We use trusted data feeds and real-time odds to model each matchup. We weight the numbers that move lines—team form, matchup history, injuries, park factors, totals trends, and betting momentum—then compare our price to the market to find value. All signal, no noise. No paywalls.

How should I size my bets?

Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.

John Tamburino

John TamburinoVerified

Lead Analyst — data-first, former college baseball.

John Tamburino grew up on travel baseball and three years of varsity basketball, then played college baseball before shifting to analytics. He still watches everything—from weekday tennis to all major league sports—and will never forget the Diamondbacks’ World Series run. At Parlamaz, John blends trusted data feeds with matchup context to find real value—no fluff, no paywalls.