MLB Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago Cubs (Saturday, September 13 at 02:20 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | TB | CHC |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +102 | -122 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (159) | +1.5 (175) |
| Last 5 RPG | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| Record | 72–75 | 84–63 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, Bovada +6 more | ||
More MLB picks: Tampa Bay Rays · Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs’ recent 6-4 run over the last 10 games highlights a team finding rhythm at the right time, while Tampa Bay has stumbled with just 1-4 in its last 5. This interleague matchup analysis between the American League Rays and National League Cubs sets up a clear MLB prediction: the Cubs’ balance and consistency at home outweigh a Rays squad struggling to generate runs on the road. With Tampa averaging only 3.2 RPG in its last five, the scoring pace suggests limited upside against a Cubs team that thrives inside Wrigley.
Game Time
Slated for Saturday, September 13 at 02:20 PM ET inside Wrigley Field, totals move with the breeze.
Odds & Spread Line
- Tampa Bay Rays: +102
- Chicago Cubs: -122
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Tampa Bay Rays: -1.5 (+159)
- Run Line — Chicago Cubs: +1.5 (+175)
Latest Team Records
Tampa Bay Rays: 72-75 (Win %: 0.49)
Chicago Cubs: 84-63 (Win %: 0.571)
Injury Report
The Tampa Bay Rays are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Chicago Cubs are missing Justin Steele (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Tampa Bay Rays
- Junior Caminero: 0.261 AVG, 42 HR, 106 RBI
- Yandy Diaz: 0.292 AVG, 23 HR, 78 RBI
- Brandon Lowe: 0.26 AVG, 28 HR, 74 RBI
Chicago Cubs
- Pete Crow-Armstrong: 0.251 AVG, 28 HR, 87 RBI
- Seiya Suzuki: 0.244 AVG, 27 HR, 91 RBI
- Michael Busch: 0.255 AVG, 26 HR, 76 RBI
Team Analysis
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays’ 72-75 record reflects a group that has been unable to sustain pressure, particularly on the road where they sit below .500. Their last 5 Games: 1-4 (3.2 RPG) confirms a slump, with scoring output failing to provide consistent cover for a solid pitching staff. Junior Caminero remains a power threat, but without broader lineup support, Tampa Bay Rays’ attack looks one-dimensional away from home.
Over the Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.8 RPG), the Rays have shown only mild upticks in offensive rhythm, but not enough to overcome sharper National League competition. Yandy Diaz and Brandon Lowe add reliability, yet the inability to string together multi-run innings has cost them late. Against a Cubs club thriving at Wrigley, Tampa Bay Rays’ road form and lack of scoring consistency create a clear betting liability.
- Batting Average: 0.252
- Total Runs Scored: 655
- Home Runs: 166
- OBP: 0.313
- SLG: 0.403
- OPS: 0.717
- ERA: 3.88
- WHIP: 1.21
Away Record: 34-39 • Home Record: 38-36
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (3.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.8 RPG)
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs’ 84-63 mark shows a team that has consistently handled business, especially at home with a 45-28 record. Last 5 Games: 3-2 (3.8 RPG) demonstrates steady play, and Pete Crow-Armstrong’s ability to drive in runs has been pivotal in maintaining offensive balance. Their home consistency makes them the sharper side in this interleague spot.
Over the Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.3 RPG), Chicago has maintained a reliable scoring clip, with Seiya Suzuki and Michael Busch providing complementary power to keep pressure on opponents. Their ability to generate runs without leaning on one bat highlights why they’ve been efficient at Wrigley. Combined with a pitching staff that matches Tampa’s ERA level, the Cubs’ situational edge is decisive for bettors.
- Batting Average: 0.248
- Total Runs Scored: 713
- Home Runs: 196
- OBP: 0.319
- SLG: 0.425
- OPS: 0.744
- ERA: 3.86
- WHIP: 1.19
Away Record: 39-35 • Home Record: 45-28
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (3.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.3 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Chicago Cubs lead 1–0 (Most recent game)
- September 12, 2025: TB 4 @ CHC 6
Over/Under Trends
Tampa Bay Rays’ last 10 games have averaged 8.2 total runs, with 5 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
Chicago Cubs’ last 10 games have averaged 8.1 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Cubs’ superior home record, steadier scoring over their last 10, and recent head-to-head win establish them as the sharper side against a Rays team stuck in a slump. With multiple run producers contributing and Tampa Bay Rays’ road offense lagging, Chicago holds the clear edge to secure another victory.
Form and matchup edges favor the Chicago Cubs — back them.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Chicago Cubs at 3.8 RPG and the Tampa Bay Rays at 3.2, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 7.0 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Under 8.5.
Bookmakers
Available at: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, FanDuel, Fanatics, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, Bovada, BetMGM, BetRivers.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Sep 13, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
