MLB Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants (Saturday, September 13 at 09:05 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | LAD | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -123 | +102 |
| Total (O/U) | 7.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (144) | +1.5 (-170) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.0 | 5.4 |
| Record | 82–64 | 74–72 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Los Angeles Dodgers · San Francisco Giants
The Dodgers enter this matchup analysis riding a 4-1 stretch in their last five games, averaging 5.0 runs per contest, while the Giants have generated 5.4 runs over that same span. That recent offensive pace from both sides points directly toward run production exceeding market expectations. With Los Angeles owning the superior overall record and a proven ability to rebound quickly on the road, the edge in this MLB prediction leans toward their lineup sustaining pressure against San Francisco.
Game Time
Scheduled for Saturday, September 13 at 09:05 PM ET inside Oracle Park, fly balls die quickly.
Odds & Spread Line
- Los Angeles Dodgers: -123
- San Francisco Giants: +102
Total: 7.5
- Run Line — Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (+144)
- Run Line — San Francisco Giants: +1.5 (-170)
Latest Team Records
Los Angeles Dodgers: 82-64 (Win %: 0.562)
San Francisco Giants: 74-72 (Win %: 0.507)
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers are missing Dalton Rushing (Lower Leg), listed as 10-Day-IL; Brock Stewart (Shoulder), listed as 15-Day-IL; Tony Gonsolin (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
San Francisco Giants are missing Erik Miller (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL.
Key Player Stats
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Shohei Ohtani: 0.28 AVG, 48 HR, 92 RBI
- Freddie Freeman: 0.292 AVG, 20 HR, 79 RBI
- Andy Pages: 0.273 AVG, 24 HR, 80 RBI
San Francisco Giants
- Rafael Devers: 0.26 AVG, 31 HR, 102 RBI
- Willy Adames: 0.229 AVG, 28 HR, 81 RBI
- Heliot Ramos: 0.265 AVG, 17 HR, 61 RBI
Team Analysis
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles has reestablished rhythm with a 4-1 mark in their last five games, averaging 5.0 runs per outing. That uptick in scoring speaks to the impact of Shohei Ohtani’s power combined with Freddie Freeman’s steady production, both keeping the lineup balanced. Even with a sub-.500 road record, the Dodgers’ ability to generate consistent offense in recent contests makes them the sharper side in this matchup.
Over the last 10 games, Los Angeles is 4-6 with 3.9 runs per game, showing some inconsistency but trending upward in their most recent stretch. Andy Pages has provided complementary production that extends the lineup beyond its stars, keeping opposing pitchers under pressure. With offensive rhythm returning and a stronger season-long record than San Francisco, the Dodgers are positioned to continue their momentum on the road.
- Batting Average: 0.252
- Total Runs Scored: 738
- Home Runs: 215
- OBP: 0.328
- SLG: 0.437
- OPS: 0.766
- ERA: 4.03
- WHIP: 1.27
Away Record: 34-39 • Home Record: 48-26
Last 5 Games: 4-1 (5.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (3.9 RPG)
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco has gone 3-2 in its last five games, producing 5.4 runs per contest, a sign of solid offensive rhythm. Rafael Devers has been the centerpiece of that surge, driving in runs at a pace that keeps the Giants competitive. However, their season-long inconsistency and a narrower win percentage compared to Los Angeles highlight their vulnerability despite recent scoring output.
In their last 10 games, the Giants are 7-3 with an impressive 6.2 runs per game, showing confidence at the plate at home. Willy Adames and Heliot Ramos have both contributed timely hitting, adding depth around Devers in the order. Still, with a modest home record compared to the Dodgers’ overall win rate, sustaining this pace against Los Angeles’ firepower becomes a tougher ask.
- Batting Average: 0.239
- Total Runs Scored: 637
- Home Runs: 159
- OBP: 0.314
- SLG: 0.392
- OPS: 0.706
- ERA: 3.76
- WHIP: 1.29
Away Record: 37-37 • Home Record: 38-35
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (5.4 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (6.2 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Los Angeles Dodgers lead 4–3 (Last 7 games)
- September 12, 2025: LAD 1 @ SF 5
- July 13, 2025: LAD 5 @ SF 2
- July 12, 2025: LAD 2 @ SF 1
- July 11, 2025: LAD 7 @ SF 8
- June 15, 2025: SF 4 @ LAD 5
- June 14, 2025: SF 5 @ LAD 11
- June 13, 2025: SF 6 @ LAD 2
Over/Under Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers’ last 10 games have averaged 7.2 total runs, with 4 games that would have cleared today’s total of 7.5.
San Francisco Giants’ last 10 games have averaged 9.9 combined runs, with 7 games clearing the same number of 7.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
The Dodgers’ 4-1 surge in their last five contests highlights a lineup capable of producing runs consistently, while the Giants’ home record remains only marginally above .500. With Ohtani, Freeman, and Pages providing reliable offensive depth and Los Angeles holding the head-to-head series edge, the sharper side is on the Dodgers to secure another win.
Data supports the Los Angeles Dodgers as the right side.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the San Francisco Giants at 5.4 RPG and the Los Angeles Dodgers at 5.0, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 10.4 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 7.5. That points toward the Over 7.5.
Bookmakers
Find these odds at: BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, MyBookie.ag, Bovada.
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MLB Predictions FAQ
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Sep 13, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
