MLB Prediction: Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins (Friday, September 12 at 07:10 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | DET | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -204 | +165 |
| Total (O/U) | 7.0 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (-110) | +1.5 (-110) |
| Last 5 RPG | 7.2 | 6.0 |
| Record | 84–63 | 68–79 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Detroit Tigers · Miami Marlins
Detroit enters this interleague matchup analysis against Miami carrying a balanced 3-2 mark over their last five games, producing a strong 7.2 runs per contest in that stretch. Miami has been less stable, going 3-7 in their last ten with only 4.2 runs per game, exposing a scoring gap that sharp bettors are targeting. With the Tigers’ offensive depth and recent consistency, this MLB prediction points directly toward Detroit controlling the pace and pushing the total above expectations.
Game Time
Game time: Friday, September 12 at 07:10 PM ET inside pitcher-friendly loanDepot Park with controlled scoring.
Odds & Spread Line
- Detroit Tigers: -204
- Miami Marlins: +165
Total: 7
- Run Line — Detroit Tigers: -1.5 (-110)
- Run Line — Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-110)
Latest Team Records
Detroit Tigers: 84-63 (Win %: 0.571)
Miami Marlins: 68-79 (Win %: 0.463)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Detroit Tigers
- Riley Greene: 0.267 AVG, 33 HR, 107 RBI
- Spencer Torkelson: 0.235 AVG, 28 HR, 72 RBI
- Kerry Carpenter: 0.253 AVG, 24 HR, 59 RBI
Miami Marlins
- Kyle Stowers: 0.288 AVG, 25 HR, 73 RBI
- Otto Lopez: 0.251 AVG, 14 HR, 72 RBI
- Agustin Ramirez: 0.228 AVG, 19 HR, 62 RBI
Team Analysis
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers’ 3-2 record over their last five games highlights their ability to generate offense consistently, averaging 7.2 runs per outing in that span. Riley Greene has provided the steady power presence that keeps opposing rotations on edge, while the team’s road record of 38-34 reflects a group that travels with confidence. With Spencer Torkelson producing timely run support, Detroit has built an attack that is difficult to contain when they get rolling early.
Expanding out to their last 10 games, the Tigers are 5-5 but remain productive at 6.5 runs per game, ensuring their bats do not go silent even in losses. Kerry Carpenter’s contributions deepen the middle of the order and create multiple run-scoring threats, which is critical away from home. This steady scoring profile makes Detroit a reliable betting side against a Marlins unit that has struggled to match that pace.
- Batting Average: 0.251
- Total Runs Scored: 721
- Home Runs: 185
- OBP: 0.32
- SLG: 0.423
- OPS: 0.743
- ERA: 3.9
- WHIP: 1.24
Away Record: 38-34 • Home Record: 46-29
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (7.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 5-5 (6.5 RPG)
Miami Marlins
Miami has managed a 3-2 mark across their last five games, but their 6.0 runs per contest in that stretch has not translated into long-term stability. Kyle Stowers has been the most consistent run producer, but the supporting cast has not provided the same level of firepower. Playing at home where they are just 34-41, the Marlins lack the edge they need to counter a Detroit lineup producing at a higher clip.
Looking deeper into the last 10 games, Miami is just 3-7 with only 4.2 runs per game, underscoring their inability to sustain pressure across series. Otto Lopez has chipped in with run production, but Agustin Ramirez’s inconsistency has limited their ability to string innings together. With a pitching staff that has struggled to suppress scoring, Miami Marlins’ recent form does not inspire confidence against a Tigers team that has been generating runs at a far superior rate.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 641
- Home Runs: 139
- OBP: 0.315
- SLG: 0.393
- OPS: 0.708
- ERA: 4.75
- WHIP: 1.32
Away Record: 34-38 • Home Record: 34-41
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (6.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (4.2 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchups between these teams in 2025.
Over/Under Trends
Detroit Tigers’ last 10 games have averaged 11.4 total runs, with 8 games that would have cleared today’s total of 7.
Miami Marlins’ last 10 games have averaged 10.1 combined runs, with 6 games clearing the same number of 7.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Detroit Tigers’ ability to average over 7 runs per game across their last five contests, combined with a steady road record and multiple run-producers in Greene, Torkelson, and Carpenter, gives them the decisive edge. Miami Marlins’ inconsistent home results and declining output across their last 10 games make them a step behind, setting up Detroit as the clear side to back with confidence.
This sets up cleanly for the Detroit Tigers to finish on top.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the Miami Marlins at 6.0 RPG and the Detroit Tigers at 7.2, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 13.2 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 7.0. That points toward the Over 7.0.
Bookmakers
Shop the MLB odds at: FanDuel, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, MyBookie.ag, Bovada, BetUS, BetMGM, Fanatics, BetRivers.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Sep 12, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
How often are picks updated?
Daily. We update for confirmed lineups, injuries, and market moves. Check back near first pitch for final notes.
