MLB Prediction: Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees (Tuesday, September 9 at 07:05 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | DET | NYY |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +135 | -164 |
| Total (O/U) | 8.5 | |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-155) | -1.5 (130) |
| Last 5 RPG | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| Record | 82–62 | 80–63 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Detroit Tigers · New York Yankees
Detroit enters this matchup analysis after averaging 5.2 runs per game across its last five contests, while New York sits at 4.6 in the same span. That combined offensive pace of nearly 10 runs lays bare why this MLB prediction leans toward a high‑scoring contest. With Detroit holding a narrow edge in the season standings and having taken two of the last three meetings, the Tigers bring both confidence and situational value into Yankee Stadium.
Game Time
First pitch comes at Tuesday, September 9 at 07:05 PM ET inside Yankee Stadium, left-handed pop plays up.
Odds & Spread Line
- Detroit Tigers: +135
- New York Yankees: -164
Total: 8.5
- Run Line — Detroit Tigers: +1.5 (-155)
- Run Line — New York Yankees: -1.5 (+130)
Latest Team Records
Detroit Tigers: 82-62 (Win %: 0.569)
New York Yankees: 80-63 (Win %: 0.559)
Injury Report
Both teams are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Detroit Tigers
- Riley Greene: 0.267 AVG, 32 HR, 103 RBI
- Spencer Torkelson: 0.234 AVG, 28 HR, 72 RBI
- Kerry Carpenter: 0.255 AVG, 23 HR, 55 RBI
New York Yankees
- Aaron Judge: 0.321 AVG, 43 HR, 97 RBI
- Cody Bellinger: 0.277 AVG, 27 HR, 88 RBI
- Trent Grisham: 0.243 AVG, 30 HR, 64 RBI
Team Analysis
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers carry an 82–62 record into this matchup, and while their last 5 games at 2–3 show inconsistency, the offense has still delivered over five runs per outing in that stretch. Riley Greene has been the steadying force in the lineup, supplying reliable power to keep scoring afloat even when results have been mixed. On the road, Detroit Tigers’ 36–33 mark shows this group is comfortable producing away from home, a key edge against a favored opponent.
Spencer Torkelson’s run production complements Kerry Carpenter’s timely hitting, giving the Tigers depth beyond their lead bat. The last 10 games at 4–6 highlight a team that has been uneven but still averaging 4.5 runs per game, enough to pressure New York Yankees’ pitching. With balanced contributions across their top bats, Detroit Tigers’ offense has the tools to translate scoring consistency into another head‑to‑head win.
- Batting Average: 0.25
- Total Runs Scored: 695
- Home Runs: 180
- OBP: 0.319
- SLG: 0.421
- OPS: 0.74
- ERA: 3.9
- WHIP: 1.24
Away Record: 36-33 • Home Record: 46-29
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (5.2 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 4-6 (4.5 RPG)
New York Yankees
The Yankees own an 80–63 record and enter with a 3–2 mark over their last five games, scoring 4.6 runs per outing in that window. Aaron Judge continues to anchor their attack with elite production, but the lineup has leaned heavily on his bat to mask periodic inconsistency. At home, their 43–29 record shows comfort in Yankee Stadium, yet Detroit Tigers’ ability to match scoring output keeps the edge slim.
Cody Bellinger’s steady numbers and Trent Grisham’s power have provided support, but the Yankees have not consistently converted that into dominant stretches. The last 10 games at 7–3 look strong, though many of those wins required offensive surges late, exposing volatility in run creation. Against a Tigers team with bats firing, New York Yankees’ reliance on star moments rather than consistent depth tilts betting value toward the visitor.
- Batting Average: 0.249
- Total Runs Scored: 749
- Home Runs: 243
- OBP: 0.33
- SLG: 0.454
- OPS: 0.784
- ERA: 3.92
- WHIP: 1.26
Away Record: 37-34 • Home Record: 43-29
Last 5 Games: 3-2 (4.6 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 7-3 (5.7 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Detroit Tigers lead 2–1 (Last 3 games)
- April 09, 2025: NYY 4 @ DET 3
- April 08, 2025: NYY 0 @ DET 5
- April 07, 2025: NYY 2 @ DET 6
Over/Under Trends
Detroit Tigers’ last 10 games have averaged 9.5 total runs, with 4 games that would have cleared today’s total of 8.5.
New York Yankees’ last 10 games have averaged 9.3 combined runs, with 4 games clearing the same number of 8.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Detroit Tigers’ recent scoring pace, combined with a winning record in the season series and solid road form, makes them the sharper side despite New York Yankees’ home record. With Greene, Torkelson, and Carpenter providing a balanced attack that has already proven effective against the Yankees, the Tigers are positioned to deliver another victory in this matchup.
We’re backing the Detroit Tigers at +135 as the value side.
Over/Under Prediction
Last five form shows the New York Yankees at 4.6 RPG and the Detroit Tigers at 5.2, giving context for the number.
These teams are combining for 9.8 runs per game recently — above the posted total of 8.5. That points toward the Over 8.5.
Bookmakers
You’ll find these markets at: FanDuel, LowVig.ag, BetOnline.ag, MyBookie.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetUS, Fanatics, BetMGM, BetRivers.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
MLB Predictions FAQ
What’s a good price range for today’s pick (Sep 09, 2025)?
We list a target price in the post. If the market moves past that number, reduce stake size or pass instead of chasing worse odds.
What do moneyline, run line, and total mean?
Moneyline is who wins the game. Run line is a spread, usually ±1.5 runs. The total (over/under) is combined runs by both teams.
