MLB Prediction: Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies (Friday, August 29 at 08:40 PM ET)
Introduction
| Market / Trend | CHC | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -238 | +195 |
| Total (O/U) | 11.5 | |
| Run Line | -1.5 (-150) | +1.5 (130) |
| Last 5 RPG | 4.8 | 2.0 |
| Record | 76–57 | 38–95 |
| Lines: BetMGM, BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, BetUS +7 more | ||
More MLB picks: Chicago Cubs · Colorado Rockies
Chicago enters this matchup averaging 4.8 runs across its last five games, while Colorado has been held to just 2.0, creating a scoring gap that sharp bettors must weigh in this MLB prediction. The Cubs have taken the last three head-to-head meetings, but their recent 2-3 stretch shows inconsistency on the road. With Colorado Rockies’ lineup anchored by steady bats and the Cubs struggling to string together wins, the Rockies present a live underdog angle in a game trending toward fewer total runs.
Game Time
Slated for Friday, August 29 at 08:40 PM ET at hitter-friendly Coors Field, where thin air inflates offense.
Odds & Spread Line
- Chicago Cubs: -238
- Colorado Rockies: +195
Total: 11.5
- Run Line — Chicago Cubs: -1.5 (-150)
- Run Line — Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (+130)
Latest Team Records
Chicago Cubs: 76-57 (Win %: 0.571)
Colorado Rockies: 38-95 (Win %: 0.286)
Injury Report
Chicago Cubs are missing Michael Soroka (Shoulder), listed as 15-Day-IL; Ryan Brasier (Groin), listed as 15-Day-IL; Eli Morgan (Elbow), listed as 60-Day-IL. No other significant injuries are reported.
The Colorado Rockies are currently healthy with no major injury concerns.
Key Player Stats
Chicago Cubs
- Pete Crow-Armstrong: 0.256 AVG, 28 HR, 82 RBI
- Seiya Suzuki: 0.243 AVG, 27 HR, 87 RBI
- Michael Busch: 0.261 AVG, 24 HR, 74 RBI
Colorado Rockies
- Hunter Goodman: 0.272 AVG, 26 HR, 75 RBI
- Mickey Moniak: 0.259 AVG, 18 HR, 52 RBI
- Jordan Beck: 0.269 AVG, 14 HR, 44 RBI
Team Analysis
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs sit at 76-57 but their recent 2-3 mark in the last five games highlights uneven road play. Pete Crow-Armstrong has provided power, yet the lineup has not consistently translated base runners into runs away from home. That inconsistency has made them vulnerable despite their stronger season-long numbers.
Seiya Suzuki continues to drive in runs, though the team’s offense has leaned on streaky stretches that fail to sustain momentum. Michael Busch adds balance in the order, but the Cubs’ 35-33 road record speaks to that they are far less dominant outside of Chicago. This uneven rhythm combined with recent losses makes them less reliable in this spot.
- Batting Average: 0.249
- Total Runs Scored: 653
- Home Runs: 179
- OBP: 0.319
- SLG: 0.425
- OPS: 0.744
- ERA: 3.83
- WHIP: 1.2
Away Record: 35-33 • Home Record: 41-25
Last 5 Games: 2-3 (4.8 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 6-4 (4.2 RPG)
Colorado Rockies
The Rockies’ 38-95 record is poor overall, yet their home form offers a different angle. Despite a 1-4 stretch in the last five with just 2.0 runs per game, Hunter Goodman’s ability to drive in runs keeps them competitive at Coors. That reliance on timely hits rather than volume scoring aligns with the Under while still giving Colorado upset potential.
Mickey Moniak’s production adds balance, while Jordan Beck has chipped in steady contact that can generate scoring opportunities in late innings. Their 21-45 home record looks weak on paper, but the Cubs’ recent road inconsistencies level the playing field. With Chicago Cubs’ bats cooling and Colorado Rockies’ lineup still capable of situational damage, the Rockies profile as the sharper side here.
- Batting Average: 0.238
- Total Runs Scored: 497
- Home Runs: 134
- OBP: 0.295
- SLG: 0.39
- OPS: 0.685
- ERA: 5.95
- WHIP: 1.61
Away Record: 17-51 • Home Record: 21-45
Last 5 Games: 1-4 (2.0 RPG)
Last 10 Games: 3-7 (3.1 RPG)
Head-to-Head History
Chicago Cubs lead 3–0 (Last 3 games)
- May 28, 2025: COL 1 @ CHC 2
- May 27, 2025: COL 3 @ CHC 4
- May 26, 2025: COL 1 @ CHC 3
Over/Under Trends
Chicago Cubs’ last 10 games have averaged 8.1 total runs, with 2 games that would have cleared today’s total of 11.5.
Colorado Rockies’ last 10 games have averaged 8.4 combined runs, with 2 games clearing the same number of 11.5.
Moneyline Betting Prediction
Colorado Rockies’ underdog appeal stems from Chicago Cubs’ uneven 2-3 stretch paired with the Rockies’ ability to generate situational offense at home through bats like Hunter Goodman and Mickey Moniak. With the Cubs faltering on the road and Colorado Rockies’ recent scoring keeping games tight, the Rockies are the sharper moneyline side in this matchup.
The Colorado Rockies at +195 fit a live underdog profile on recent numbers.
Over/Under Prediction
In their last five, the Colorado Rockies have produced 2.0 RPG and the Chicago Cubs 4.8. That output frames how this total sets up.
These teams are combining for 6.8 runs per game recently — below the posted total of 11.5. That points toward the Under 11.5.
Bookmakers
Data pulled from: FanDuel, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag, LowVig.ag, Caesars, DraftKings, Bovada, BetUS, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics.
Parlamaz may earn affiliate commissions from links in this article.
MLB Predictions FAQ
How should I size my bets?
Use a consistent unit (about 1–2% of bankroll). Singles should be most of your volume. We like parlays—smart ones. Keep legs tight (2–3), cap risk to 0.25–0.5u, and pass when the price isn’t there.
How does Parlamaz make Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies MLB predictions?
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